Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua AI Picks: Who Does ChatGPT Predict to Win the Fight Tonight?

Everyone has an opinion about the blockbuster fight tonight on Netflix, but what does the robot think? We trained ChatGPT to make its Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua AI predictions and offer its best prop bets for this heavyweight fight at Kaseya Center in Miami. You can catch all of our (human) expert picks with our Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua fight card predictions and odds.

🤖 Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua AI predictions: Who will win tonight?

Stay ahead with the latest Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua betting odds & fight lines.

🥊 Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua fight preview

Anthony Joshua enters this matchup with clear structural advantages that are difficult to ignore from a betting perspective: size, power, and extensive experience against elite heavyweights. This is an eight-round professional fight, but even in a shortened format, Joshua’s ability to apply controlled pressure and punish defensive lapses stands out as the defining factor.

The fight is most likely to take shape in phases rather than as a sustained back-and-forth. Joshua should control the early rounds with reach and discipline, gradually increasing output as he gauges Paul’s durability. The eight-round limit slightly compresses the timeline, making the middle rounds particularly important for stoppage-based markets.

Jake Paul’s success hinges on minimizing damage early and forcing Joshua to work longer than expected. If Paul can remain composed and defensively responsible through the opening rounds, the fight becomes less about immediate knockout risk and more about whether Joshua accelerates or settles into a measured pace.

From a wagering standpoint, this matchup is best viewed through the lens of timing and method, not competitiveness. Joshua’s advantages point toward sustained control and accumulated damage, while Paul’s relevance comes primarily from how long he can extend the fight rather than how often he can swing it in his favor.

💰 Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua best bet

See our Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua best bet for tonight's fight in Miami.

Anthony Joshua to win by KO/TKO

The AI model strongly favors Joshua winning inside the distance, driven by a combination of size disparity and power edge. While Joshua could win a decision if he boxes conservatively, the highest-probability outcome remains a stoppage as damage accumulates.

Joshua’s knockout equity increases as the fight moves into the middle rounds, where Paul’s defensive margin for error narrows and fatigue becomes more pronounced. Even without an all-out early push, Joshua’s pressure and physicality project to overwhelm Paul before the scorecards become a meaningful factor.

From a betting standpoint, backing Joshua by KO/TKO captures the most likely path to victory without requiring perfect timing on a specific round. The model assigns a clear majority of Joshua’s win probability to a stoppage, making this the most efficient way to align with the projected fight script.

Best bet: Anthony Joshua to win by KO/TKO (-400 or better)

🔥 Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua prop bet

See our best Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua prop bets for the best value on this fight.

Anthony Joshua to win in Round 4

The AI model projects Round 4 as the single most likely finishing point for Joshua, aligning with the expected fight progression and the eight-round structure. This is the point where Joshua’s pressure and power intersect most strongly with cumulative damage, while still leaving enough time for a stoppage to materialize.

Early rounds project as more controlled, with Joshua establishing distance and tempo rather than forcing exchanges. By the middle of the fight, Paul’s defensive burden increases, and the probability of a decisive moment rises sharply. That makes Round 4 the modal outcome among individual round props.

This prop offers a sharper expression of the same edge driving the KO/TKO pick, but with improved payout potential for bettors willing to accept more variance. It’s best deployed as a smaller stake complement, not a replacement, to the primary method-of-victory bet.

Best prop bet: Anthony Joshua to win in Round 4 (+650 or better)

💡 Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua AI betting takeaways

See our expert (human) tips on how to bet on Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua.

• The AI model strongly favors Anthony Joshua inside the distance, but the eight-round format shifts the betting focus toward when the fight ends rather than if it ends early.
• Middle-round outcomes project as the most efficient way to express that edge, as early-round volatility and late-round survival scenarios both carry higher uncertainty.
• Jake Paul’s limited viable paths are tied to durability and time, not offensive output, making decision-based markets more relevant than knockout props for underdog bettors.
• Markets that combine method and timing most closely align with the projected fight script and offer better precision than moneyline bets alone.

Anthony Joshua vs. Jake Paul expert picks

• How to bet Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua at Kalshi
• Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua expert picks
• Do you think Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua is scripted?
• Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua AI predictions
• Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua walkout song predictions
• Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua best bet
• Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua prop bets
• Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua method of victory
• How long will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua last?
• Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua novelty picks
• Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua betting action

📺 How to watch Paul vs. Joshua: Fight info & start time tonight

• When: Friday, Dec. 19
• Where: Kaseya Center (Miami)
• How to watch: Netflix (8 p.m. ET)
• Weight class: Heavyweight
• Favorite: Anthony Joshua (-1200 via DraftKings)

Our Sean Tomlinson broke down how to watch Paul vs. Joshua with the entire fight card free for subscribers on Netflix.