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NASCAR Cup Series driver Kyle Larson celebrates as we look at the Iowa Corn 350 odds and picks for Sunday
NASCAR Cup Series driver Kyle Larson celebrates after affixing his third finish flag sticker on his race vehicle. Photo Credit: Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports.

Kyle Larson is the new favorite by the Iowa Corn 350 odds as the pole sitter for Sunday's race, as we offer our best Iowa Corn 350 expert picks and predictions based on the best NASCAR odds for Iowa Speedway from our best sports betting sites.

The NASCAR Cup Series makes its first-ever trip to Iowa Speedway this weekend for the Iowa Corn 350, with the green flag set to wave at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday (USA Network).

Though the sport's top circuit has never raced at this track, Christopher Bell won the last Xfinity Series race held in Iowa. He's among the contenders to win on Sunday.

Ahead of Bell on the oddsboard are favorite Kyle Larson (the pole-sitter for Sunday), Denny Hamlin, and Ryan Blaney.

The former two are the favorites by the NASCAR Cup Series championship odds.

Here's a look at the updated Iowa Corn 350 odds, favorites, and our picks to win:

Odds to win Iowa Corn 350 2024

Odds as of June 16 at 10 a.m. ET

Kyle Larson+350 +350+400+400 +400
Denny Hamlin+475 ❄️+500+550 +525+550
Ryan Blaney+700+700+750 🔥+700 +700
Christopher Bell+750+750+825 🔥+625+600 ❄️
Chase Elliott+1100+1100+1400 🔥+1200+1200
Tyler Reddick+1200+1200+1100 +1200 +1100
Joey Logano+1400 +1400+1200 +1200 +1400
William Byron+1600+1600+1400+1600 +1400
Brad Keselowski+1600+1600+1500 +1500+1400 ❄️
Ross Chastain+1800+1800+2000 🔥+1800 +1800

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Iowa Speedway track analysis

While Sunday's race will be the first for the Cup Series at Iowa Speedway, this 0.875-mile oval short track has played host to the Xfinity Series and Truck Series for over a decade. That was before it was partially repaved this spring to fix some issues uncovered in a track inspection last fall.

The decision to partially repave - instead of fully repave or leave it alone - was much to the chagrin of drivers, who bemoaned the possibility of a "one-groove racetrack" where the untouched top half of the track is virtually unusable. That's an issue given how much grip we'll see lower on the track in what should be a high-speed race.

Sunday's race will also feature the same primary tires used last week at Sonoma and in the previous tire test at North Wilkesboro, which will likely feature very little tire wear for this weekend's night race. That could place an extra emphasis on pit strategy and restarts with passing at a premium.

Because the Cup Series has never raced here, this inaugural Iowa Corn 350 could benefit those with prior experience in the Xfinity and Truck Series. Christopher Bell, Kyle Larson, and Brad Keselowski all raced here in a tire test in May, and Bell owns two Xfinity wins on this track before the partial repave.

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Iowa Corn 350 predictions, race preview

Picks made Friday.

Christopher Bell (+450) is a rare favorite to win Sunday's race at Iowa at some of our best sportsbooks, though it shouldn't surprise anyone given what we've seen from him in recent weeks and in past years on this track.

The No. 20 has been the fastest car in the field as of late, winning the rain-shortened Coca-Cola 600 and leading 80 laps at St. Louis before a late engine issue sabotaged a likely win. He also boasts two wins and two runner-up finishes in five Xfinity starts at Iowa Speedway, leading 668 of 1,257 total laps in those races.

That's why Bell took sharp money immediately after opening as high as +600. He didn't seem so confident after his tire test in May, though, and it's hard to justify laying such short odds on any driver on a partially repaved track that lacks concrete data.

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If you're targeting one of the favorites, I'd much rather grab longer odds on Kyle Larson (+700), who won his third race of the season last week and joined Bell in that tire test in May.

Larson is yet to win at a short track this season, but he led 144 laps at Richmond - a comparable track to Iowa - and has two poles on one-milers or shorter. In a race where quality passes will be tough to come by, a strong run in qualifying could mean everything, and I'll be wagering a small amount on Larson as my "anchor" for this race.

Otherwise, I'm leaning into the volatility of the repave (and the lack of sim racing data available to Cup Series drivers) and targeting drivers with longer odds.

Ty Gibbs (+1400) has been one of the faster cars in the Cup Series this year, and his ultra-aggressive style should serve him well in a race where track position is key. While his day ended early at Sonoma, he's qualified well of late and finished third at Phoenix earlier this year - another track similar to this one.

Chris Buescher (+2000) finished second in that race at Phoenix with top-10s at the short tracks in Bristol and Richmond. He's also coming off a third-place running last week and has quietly been one of the fastest cars in the field over the last month as Ford finds its speed heading into the second half of the season.

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All of that said, my favorite value in this entire field is Ross Chastain (+2500), who feels like a strong value to win this race and to finish in the top 10 (-110).

The No. 1 car is famously tough to pass even without the limitations of this track, and Chastain is one of NASCAR's best drivers on restarts. He also has experience here with 14 previous starts at Iowa Speedway - winning once before a post-race disqualification - and he's one of the only drivers in the field who will also be racing in Saturday's Xfinity Series.

Finally, I can't help but sprinkle the smallest of wagers on Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (+50000), whose three wins at Iowa are tied with Brad Keselowski (+1200) for the most by any driver in the field. He hasn't been back here since 2012, though, and he's finished outside the top 15 in all but two races this season.

Do I think Stenhouse will win Sunday's race? Not really. But I'll gladly take a shot at these long odds, and I don't mind sprinkling a little on a top-10 finish (+1600).

Iowa Corn 350 expert picks to win

Pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale; odds via our best sports betting apps.

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Iowa Corn 350 props, best bets for Sunday

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Past Iowa Corn 350 winners


Sunday's race marks the first trip to Iowa Speedway for the NASCAR Cup Series for the inaugural Iowa Corn 350. Christopher Bell is the last driver in this field to win an Xfinity Series race on this track in the 2019 Hy-Vee PERKS 250, with William Byron (2017) and Chris Buescher (2015) previously winning that race at Iowa Speedway.

Brad Keselowski and Ricky Stenhouse Jr. have also won three times at this track, tied for the most by any driver in the field, though neither has driven here in roughly a decade.

How to watch Iowa Corn 350 at Iowa Speedway

  • Date: Sunday, June 16 at 7 p.m. ET
  • Track: Iowa Speedway (Newton, Iowa)
  • Length: 0.875 miles (350 laps, 306 total miles)
  • How to watch: USA Network
  • Defending winner: N/A

Iowa Corn 350 picks made Friday at 5:30 p.m. ET

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