Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Odds & Best Bet: Wimbledon 2025 Expert Picks

Carlos Alcaraz continues his three-peat quest at the All England Club as we provide our best two picks for his quarterfinal match against Cameron Norrie.
Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Odds & Best Bet: Wimbledon 2025 Expert Picks
Pictured: The two-time defending champion in action at the All England Club as we offer our Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz Prediction. Photo by Susan Mullane via Imagn Images
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Our Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz prediction, odds, and best bet analyzes the chances of the Brit keeping things competitive in this morning's quarterfinal. 

Alcaraz, who is receiving the shortest Wimbledon odds to complete the three-peat, is looking for his 18th straight wins at the All England Club. He is the prohibitive favorite to beat Norrie at our best sports betting sites

๐ŸŽพ Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz prediction & best bet

๐Ÿ”Ž Our NEW player props odds tool can help you find the best Wimbledon odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!

โœ… Pick to win: Alcaraz 3-1 (+240 via DraftKings) โญโญโญ
โœ… Best prop bet: Cameron Norrie Over 12.5 games (-122 via FanDuel) โญโญโญโญ

Read on for the latest odds and full analysis of our best bets โคต๏ธ

๐Ÿ“Š Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz odds: Wimbledon 2025

Latest Wimbledon odds via BetMGM; implied probability via our odds converter.

Player Odds to win Probability
Carlos Alcaraz  -1600 94.12%
Cameron Norrie  +850  10.53%

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๐Ÿ† Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz expert pick to win

Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Odds & Best Bet: Wimbledon 2025 Expert Picks
Pictured: The two-time defending champion in action at the All England Club as we offer our Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Odds & Best Bet. Photo by Susan Mullane via Imagn Images 

โœ… Alcaraz 3-1 โญโญโญ

๐Ÿ“Š Best odds: +240 via DraftKings ($10 to win 24)
๐Ÿ”ข Implied probability: 29.41%

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Norrie is into the quarterfinal for the second time at Wimbledon, with three of his four matches thus far requiring at least four sets. Alcaraz, while avoiding a five-set bout, is in a similar boat, needing four sets in three of his four matches. 

Overall, Alcaraz has won four of six encounters against the Brit, with three of those wins coming in straight sets. 

Alcaraz to win in straight sets has an implied probability of 60%, the most likely outcome at our best sports betting apps.

However, Norrie is playing some inspired tennis at his home tournament and has enjoyed some success against the sensational Spaniard, as we discuss below. I am, however, slightly concerned about his fitness after enduring a grueling five-set Round of 16 match against Nicolas Jarry. 

๐Ÿ’ฐ Best Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz prop bet

โœ… Cameron Norrie Over 12.5 games โญโญโญโญ

๐Ÿ“Š Best odds: -122 via FanDuel ($10 to win $12.20)
๐Ÿ”ข Implied probability: 54.95%

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The world no. 2 hasn't been at his sharpest throughout, suffering from momentary lapses. I expect a similar turn of events against an opponent he has struggled against recently, with Norrie winning two of the last three head-to-head meetings.

Both of Norrie's victories - one on clay and one on hard court - went the distance, requiring three sets (non-majors). A lot has changed since Norrie's triumphs in 2022 and 2023 over the indomitable Spaniard.

That said, Norrie knows how to keep things competitive against him and is riding a massive wave of momentum. 

Plus, the crowd will be feverishly backing their homegrown talent. That should be enough to win 13 or more games. FanDuel offers the most competitive price among our best sportsbooks

๐Ÿ“บ How to watch Cameron Norrie vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Wimbledon 2025

๐Ÿ“ Date: Tuesday, July 8 
๐Ÿ•˜ Time: Approximately 10:30 a.m. ET
๐ŸŸ๏ธ Location: All England Club (London)
๐Ÿ“ก How to watch: ESPN, ESPN+

๐Ÿ’ก More Wimbledon predictions

๐Ÿ’ต Best tennis betting sites

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