Yankees vs. Rays Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Rasmussen Can Thrive Against New York Again

Rays ace Drew Rasmussen has been mowing down the Yankees this year, and we expect more of the same tonight.
Yankees vs. Rays Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Wednesday, Aug. 20
Pictured Tampa Bay Rays pitcher Drew Rasmussen throws a pitch as we look at our Yankees vs. Rays prediction. Photo by Sergio Estrada / Imagn.

The New York Yankees have been vaulting themselves closer to the top tier of World Series odds contention again, and they'll look to inch up more as we make our Yankees vs. Rays prediction.

In an entirely unsurprising development, clobbering everything in sight has been key to the Yankees' surge. They launched a club-record tying nine home runs yesterday during a 13-3 rout of the division-rival Rays.

The Yankees have now won six of their last seven games. They enter as the narrow underdogs today, with the Rays trotting out Drew Rasmussen to the mound as the -120 betting odds favorites for our Yankees vs. Rays best bets. First pitch is slated for 7:35 p.m. ET at George Steinbrenner Field (YES).

⚾ Yankees vs. Rays prediction & odds

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πŸ’° Yankees vs. Rays prediction & best bet

βœ…  Yankees vs. Rays prediction: Rays to win (-118 via FanDuel)

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The Yankees' bats might be smoldering right now as we make our Yankees vs. Rays prediction, but Rasmussen has often been a silencing force.

He's been dominant against the Yankees this season while holding them to just three earned runs across 10 2/3 innings. Rasmussen also hasn't allowed more than two earned runs in his last seven starts too, a stretch that includes two shutouts.

The righty achieves his success through baffling movement and deception rather than sheer power, though his fastball doesn't lack for velocity while averaging 95.6 mph. His two most effective weapons are his four-seamer and cutter, with the latter generating an opposing batting average of just .176, according to Baseball Savant.

He's the central figure as we make out Yankees vs. Rays best bet, especially with the Yankees rolling with the promising though at times erratic youngster Cam Schlittler to start on the mound. His BB/9 sits at 4.2, far above the league average of 3.2.

πŸ“Š Live Yankees vs. Rays odds: Wednesday, 7:35 p.m. ET

πŸ’° Best Yankees vs. Rays player prop

βœ… Best Yankees vs. Rays player prop: Drew Rasmussen Under 5.5 strikeouts (-160 via BetMGM)

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The Rays can win without Rasmussen racking up strikeouts in bunches, and we know this because it happens often. They've notched a victory during 14 of his 24 starts this season, and he's gone Under this strikeout line of 5.5 in 12 of those outings.

Yes, the Yankees strike out a fair bit, which makes the Over tempting while making our best Yankees vs. Rays player props. But so do the Seattle Mariners, who have struck out the second-most times in MLB, and yet just two starts ago Rasmussen sat down just four of their hitters. Ditto for an outing against the Boston Red Sox (fifth in strikeouts) not long ago when he tallied a mere one strikeout.

As effective as he's been, Rasmussen achieves his success through weak contact while often leaning on the aforementioned lethal fastball-cutter combo. That approach has led to a shining 2.60 ERA, but also a K/9 of 7.8, which is easily under the league average this season of 8.4.

BetMGM was offering an outlier price of -145 for Rasmussen to go Under 5.5 strikeouts earlier this morning. Hopefully you were able to pounce on that, as now most of our best MLB betting sites are in line, though there's still a mild discount at BetMGM compared to the -168 at FanDuel.

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