⚾ Best Venezuela vs. Italy Same-Game Parlay: SGP Picks for World Baseball Classic

My Italy vs. Venezuela same-game parlay highlights Ronald Acuna and for Italy to keep it close under the bright lights of the World Baseball Classic semifinals.

The first pitch gets fired at 8 p.m. ET tonight (FS1, Sportsnet), with Venezuela walking into the semifinal matchup as -195 betting favorites. Let's dig in and cash this +581 parlay.

⚾ Italy vs. Venezuela same-game parlay: World Baseball Classic Semifinals

Here are our World Baseball Classic player prop picks for tonight's Italy vs. Venezuela matchup. Odds via FanDuel.

💰 Venezuela vs. Italy SGP predictions: My best bet

Italy +1.5 vs. Venezuela (-102)

If you've watched the Italians at all during the World Baseball Classic, you understand that this team simply does not stop hitting. Keider Montero of Venezuela is not going to be the pitcher to slow them down tonight, either. While our own Sean Tomlinson goes the other way in his Italy vs. Venezuela prediction, the value we're getting with the hottest hitting team in the tournament is too good to pass up. They've already rolled over better pitching in Javier Assad and Nolan McLean - rock with Aaron Nola and Italy tonight.

Italy vs. Venezuela Under 10.5 runs (-122)

While both of these offenses have been scorching, I still think 10.5 runs is just too much to cover here and should be priced closer to -130 at our best sports betting sites. With the move from Michael Lorenzen to Aaron Nola, who limited Mexico to four hits across five innings of shutout baseball, the confidence behind this play continues to build. 

Ronald Acuna Jr. 2+ bases (-140)

One of my favorite plays on the board. Acuna simply has Nola's number throughout his career, hitting .308 with four homers vs. the right-hander. In a high-pressure, World Series environment like the World Baseball Classic semifinal, I expect Acuna to be dialed in and cash this play early on. Acuna has cashed this play in three of five WBC games and is coming off a home run against Japan.

⚖️ How I'm betting Venezuela vs. Italy

As part of my WBC bankroll management, I won't be betting more than a full unit on a given wager. Even in the semifinals of the tournament, there's too much variance to expose your bankroll to more than that (Team Italy just pulled Michael Lorenzen for Aaron Nola hours before first pitch as an example), especially when it comes to pitching. However, I've targeted specific matchups where I see a potential mismatch - ride with me and take advantage. 

🎟️ Most-bet tickets for Venezuela vs. Italy 

If you’re focusing strictly on pitching matchups, the strongest plays on the board are clearly Acuna and Vinnie Pasquantino. Acuna has already taken Nola deep four times in a limited sample, while Pasquantino has emerged as Italy's standout hitter, highlighted by a three-homer game earlier in the tournament against Team USA.

📺 How to watch Venezuela vs. Italy 

• When: Monday, March 16
• First pitch: 8 p.m. ET
• Where: LoanDepot Park (Miami, Florida)
• TV: FS2
• Streaming: Fubo

❓ Venezuela vs. Italy World Baseball Classic FAQ

Here's what people are asking about Venezuela vs. Italy tonight:

Who is the favorite in Venezuela vs. Italy

Venezuela is the betting favorite (ranging from -194 to -200) to defeat Italy in their World Baseball Classic semifinal matchup.

What time is the Venezuela vs. Italy WBC game?

First pitch flies at 8 p.m. ET.

Who are the starting pitchers for Venezuela vs. Italy?

The game features a pitching duel between right-handers Keider Montero for Venezuela and Aaron Nola for Italy at loanDepot park in Miami.

Where can I watch the Venezuela vs. Italy WBC game?

You can watch this game on FS2 or stream it on Fubo.