⚾ Venezuela vs. Italy Player Props Tonight: World Baseball Classic 2026 Prop Picks for Semifinals

My Italy vs. Venezuela player props will give you a good idea as to who I think will be booking a trip to the finals to take on Team USA. I'm highlighting Luis Arraez, Vinnie Pasquintino, and Aaron Nola to shine under the bright lights tonight.

The first pitch of the second semifinal matchup gets fired at 8 p.m. ET tonight (FS1, Sportsnet), with Venezuela walking into the semifinal matchup as -195 betting favorites. Let's dig in and sweep the board.

⚾ Italy vs. Venezuela WBC player props: Tonight, 8 p.m. ET

Here are our World Baseball Classic player prop picks for tonight's Italy vs. Venezuela matchup. Odds via FanDuel.

* Lines were made prior to Aaron Nola replacing Michael Lorenzen, I will update as soon as new lines are published

Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 5.29 units

💰 Venezuela vs. Italy player props: My best bet

Luis Arraez 2+ bases (-140)

Arraez simply rises to the occasion when playing for his country, cashing this bet in three of five games so far in the WBC. He's collected at least one hit in four of five along the way, too. He's an easy player to back in this type of atmosphere - he doesn't strike out (he hardly ever whiffs), and his xBA was among the best in the major leagues in 2025. If Venezuela wins tonight, Arraez will have something to do with it.

🔥 More Venezuela vs. Italy player props

Vinnie Pasquantino 2+ bases (+100)

It's a small sample size for Pasquantino against Keider Montero, but I like what I see. The Italian is 2-for-4 with a bomb against the Venezuelan right-hander and is seeing the ball incredibly well, collecting four hits over his last two games. All of this leads me to believe this play is mispriced - I have this line closer to -120 betting odds than the even-money value we're getting at our best sports betting sites. Fire this up with confidence as part of our best Venezuela vs. Italy player props.

Aaron Nola 4+ strikeouts (-150)

This is a fine play to anchor your parlay, as Nola has become the ace of this Italian staff. After pitching five innings of shutout baseball against Mexico while recording five Ks, Nola gets a Venezuela club that struck out 11 times against Japan. Yes, he's not the most dominant strikeout pitcher in baseball, but if he goes anywhere near four innings, he'll be able to record four strikeouts.

⚖️ How I'm betting Venezuela vs. Italy

As part of my WBC bankroll management, I won't be betting more than a full unit on a given wager. Even in the semifinals of the tournament, there's too much variance to expose your bankroll to more than that (Team Italy just pulled Michael Lorenzen for Aaron Nola hours before first pitch as an example), especially when it comes to pitching. However, I've targeted two specific matchups where I see a potential mismatch - ride with me and take advantage. 

🎟️ Most-bet tickets for Venezuela vs. Italy 

If you're looking at straight pitching matchups, the best bets on the board are undoubtedly Ronald Acuna Jr. and Vinnie Pasquantino. Acuna has four home runs against Nola in a small sample size, while Vinnie has been Italy's hero with a three-homer game already under his belt. 

📺 How to watch Venezuela vs. Italy 

• When: Monday, March 16
• First pitch: 8 p.m. ET
• Where: LoanDepot Park (Miami, Florida)
• TV: FS2
• Streaming: Fubo

❓ Venezuela vs. Italy World Baseball Classic FAQ

Here's what people are asking about Venezuela vs. Italy tonight:

Who is the favorite in Venezuela vs. Italy

Venezuela is the betting favorite (ranging from -194 to -200) to defeat Italy in their World Baseball Classic semifinal matchup.

What time is the Venezuela vs. Italy WBC game?

First pitch flies at 8 p.m. ET.

Who are the starting pitchers for Venezuela vs. Italy?

The game features a pitching duel between right-handers Keider Montero for Venezuela and Aaron Nola for Italy at loanDepot park in Miami.

Where can I watch the Venezuela vs. Italy WBC game?

You can watch this game on FS2 or stream it on Fubo.