Best Red Sox vs. Yankees Player Prop Picks for AL Wild Card Series Game 3
It is a winner-take-all matchup from Yankee Stadium in the Bronx at 8 p.m. ET (ESPN), and I am diving into my best Red Sox vs. Yankees player props for AL Wild Card Series Game 3.
New York’s World Series odds received a big boost after yesterday’s victory, and the Yankees are a -160 betting favorite to win tonight's elimination game.
My MLB picks from yesterday went 2-1, including a +222 cash when Ben Rice recorded at least one RBI. Today’s trio of picks back the Overs on two sluggers’ player props and looks to cash an Under at plus-money odds in rookie Cam Schlittler’s first postseason start.
⚾ Best Red Sox vs. Yankees player props: Game 3
MLB player prop bets for AL Wild Card Series Game 3; odds subject to change.
- Aaron Judge Over 0.5 RBI (+132 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
- Cam Schlittler Under 4.5 strikeouts (+123 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
- Masataka Yoshida Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (+114 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐
💰 Best player prop picks for Game 3
Our MLB player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
⬆️ Aaron Judge Over 0.5 RBI (+132) ⭐⭐⭐
My best Red Sox vs. Yankees player prop pick is in line with me backing Aaron Judge as one of my best home run predictions today.
Before Judge struck out with a runner on second base in the seventh inning of yesterday’s win, he had started the series 4-for-4 with men on. That has resulted in just one RBI through two games as all four of his hits in the series have been singles. But it also suggests that he is seeing the ball well and is in line for positive regression from an RBI standpoint if he continues to find his way on base.
With Boston starting the game with southpaw Connelly Early, that increases Judge’s RBI chances, as he had an eye-popping .789 slugging percentage and 1.279 OPS against left-handed pitchers this season.
A $10 bet using these +132 odds from DraftKings would translate to a $13.20 profit, with an implied probability of 43.10%.
⬇️ Cam Schlittler Under 4.5 strikeouts (+123) ⭐⭐⭐
Both Max Fried and Carlos Rodon pitched well enough for the Yankees that they should already be home resting to get ready for a weekend series against the Toronto Blue Jays. But Boston held just an 85 wRC+ with the fourth-worst BB/K ratio over the last 30 days against left-handed pitchers, and I expect more success from its lineup against the righty Cam Schlittler.
The Red Sox had the ninth-lowest strikeout rate in road games against right-handed pitchers since the start of August. And while Schlittler averaged a 10.5 K/9 rate in eight home starts, his gaudy strikeout numbers are inflated by the fact that he made 10 of his final 12 starts against non-playoff teams.
Schlittler has an O/U of 11.5 outs recorded (down from 13.5 overnight), and he would stay Under this projected total even if he averages one strikeout per inning if oddsmakers are correct and he is out by the end of the fourth.
Schlitter has as high as 48.78% implied odds to stay Under this total through the +105 price at the opposite end of the market. But the best return is through DraftKings’ +123 odds, where a $10 winning wager would net $12.30 in profits.
🔥 Masataka Yoshida Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (+114) ⭐⭐
Masataka Yoshida has two hits in three at-bats in pinch-hit and relief roles this series but should be a fixture in today’s starting lineup now with a right-handed pitcher on the mound.
Yoshida has 22 RBI in 31 games (regular season and postseason) against the Yankees, and manager Alex Cora will likely take advantage of his production from the end of the regular season by inserting him in the leadoff spot. Yoshida cashed this Over in nine of the final 12 regular-season games, as he has slashed .364/.383/.568 over the last 15 days.
If Yoshida totals some combination of at least two hits, runs, and RBI, a $10 winning wager at these +114 betting odds would lead to an $11.40 profit, with an implied probability of 46.73%.
📊 Red Sox vs. Yankees odds: Game 3
Latest MLB odds updated live in real time.
📺 How to watch Red Sox vs. Yankees: Game 3
- Date: Thursday, Oct. 2
- First pitch: 8 p.m. ET
- Where: Yankee Stadium (Bronx, N.Y.)
- TV: ESPN
💡Expert MLB predictions today
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