Best Red Sox vs. Yankees Player Prop Picks for AL Wild Card Series Game 2

I am diving into my best Red Sox vs. Yankees player props for AL Wild Card Series Game 2 as the Red Sox’s World Series odds received a big boost after yesterday’s win, putting the Yankees on the brink of elimination. First pitch from Yankee Stadium in the Bronx is set for 6 p.m. ET (ESPN).

My MLB picks recognize how big of a dropoff there is from Boston ace Garrett Crochet to today’s starter, Brayan Bello, which is reflected in New York’s -180 moneyline odds. The more advantageous pitching matchup has me backing a Yankee slugger, while making my best player prop wagers on both starting pitchers.

⚾ Best Red Sox vs. Yankees player props

MLB player prop bets for AL Wild Card Series Game 2; odds subject to change.

• Brayan Bello Under 14.5 outs recorded (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
• Carlos Rodon Under 1.5 earned runs (-106 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
• Ben Rice Over 0.5 RBI (+222 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐

💰 Best Red Sox vs. Yankees player prop picks

Our MLB player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.

⬇️ Brayan Bello Under 14.5 outs recorded (-114) ⭐⭐⭐

This is Bello’s first career postseason start, and that will likely have Red Sox manager Alex Cora on pins and needles hoping he can navigate the early innings well.

Bello was not a huge innings eater for the club in September, as he recorded 15 or fewer outs in four of five starts. And in his career, the righty allows a .305 BAbip and a .758 OPS when facing batters for a third time. That suggests Cora will be eager to turn things over to a bullpen that ranked in the top 12 in xFIP and K-BB% over the final month of the regular season.

A $10 bet using these -114 odds from FanDuel would translate to an $8.77 profit, with an implied probability of 53.27%.

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⬇️ Carlos Rodon Under 1.5 earned runs (-106) ⭐⭐⭐

After cashing this play for Max Fried with my best MLB player props yesterday, I am going back to the well tonight with the same play for Yankees southpaw Carlos Rodon, since Boston ranked 22nd in wRC+ since Roman Anthony landed on the IL.

Rodon finished the regular season with eight quality starts in his final nine appearances. The lone non-quality start was when he lasted 5 2/3 innings on the road against Boston, as he struggled with command (five walks) despite allowing just one base hit. But Rodon got his control issues in order with one walk allowed in each of his final four starts, so I expect a dominant outing tonight.

The southpaw has been especially tough on two batters that project to be in the top four of the Red Sox lineup, as Jarren Duran and Trevor Story have combined to go 4-for-26 with nine strikeouts against Rodon.

Rodon’s 38.9% hard-hit rate was his second-lowest of the last seven seasons, and his xERA and xBA that rank in the 79th percentile or better gives me confidence in this play.

A $10 winning wager through Caesars’ -106 betting odds (carrying a 51.46% implied probability) would return $9.43 in profits.

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🔥 Ben Rice Over 0.5 RBI (+222) ⭐⭐

Ben Rice batted .304 with a .943 OPS over his final 44 games. Fellow Yankee sluggers Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton are a combined 4-for-31 with one extra-base hit and 15 strikeouts against Bello, so more of New York’s lefty bats like Rice will likely have to do more of the heavy lifting from a run-production standpoint.

I am not banking on a lefty like Jazz Chisholm Jr. to record an RBI, as he is still dealing with soreness in his forearm from being hit by a pitch in the regular season finale. But these are great odds for a batter like Rice, who ended the regular season with eight RBI over his final six games.

If Rice records at least one RBI, a $10 winning wager on these +222 betting odds would lead to a $22.20 profit, with an implied probability of 31.06%.

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📊 Red Sox vs. Yankees odds

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