Red Sox vs. Astros Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Can Correa Extend Hitting Streak?

Can the Boston Red Sox live up to the hype as massive favorites, or will the Houston Astros continue rolling as underdogs?

Mike Spector

Last Updated: August 11, 2025 9:12 AM EDT • 4 minute read

Red Sox vs. Astros Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Monday, Aug. 11 — Pictured: Garrett Crochet throws a pitch against the Kansas City Royals as we offer our Red Sox vs. Astros Prediction. Photo by David Butler II via Imagn Images

Two American League teams look to improve their playoff chances in what could be a possible playoff preview as the Houston Astros host the Boston Red Sox.

First pitch from Daikin Park is set for 8:10 p.m. ET, and thanks to Boston's starter, we like the sizable -175 moneyline favorites at our top sports betting sites in our Red Sox vs. Astros prediction.

Houston has enjoyed success against left-handed starting pitching all season, and we are backing one of its sluggers with our Red Sox vs. Astros best bets despite facing potential Cy Young Award winner Garrett Crochet.

Red Sox vs. Astros prediction: Red Sox to win (-170 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Best Red Sox vs. Astros player props: Carlos Correa Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (+100 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

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✅ Red Sox vs. Astros prediction: Red Sox to win (-170 via bet365)

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Boston finished a three-game sweep of Houston at Fenway Park nine days ago, in which it outscored the Astros 15-5.

And now that Boston sends one of the best pitchers in the majors to the mound, we are projecting a fourth straight win in this head-to-head series as my Red Sox vs. Astros prediction.

Crochet is closing the gap on Detroit Tigers southpaw Tarik Skubal for the AL Cy Young Award, and a Triple Crown is in his sights (strikeouts is the only category he does not lead).

But the most fascinating part of Crochet’s league-leading 13 wins is that he has seven other no-decisions, allowing one or fewer runs five times and surrendering seven earned runs in 41 ⅔ innings in those starts.

Crochet did not pitch in Boston’s recent sweep of Houston, which makes my Red Sox vs. Astros best bet a slightly more confident play since the home team hasn’t seen his arsenal recently.

Since June, Boston is 10-1 in Crochet’s last 11 starts. Still, this is only a three-star play as Houston is a perfect 6-0 as an underdog of +145 or higher, including yesterday’s win in the series finale against the New York Yankees.

💰 Best Red Sox vs. Astros player props

✅ Best Red Sox vs. Astros player prop: Carlos Correa Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (+100 via bet365)

While we are backing Boston to win outright, don't discredit Houston’s respectable 13-7 record against left-handed starting pitchers.

It made its lineup even more formidable against southpaws with the trade deadline acquisition of Carlos Correa, and he is the subject of my best Red Sox vs. Astros player prop.

Since being traded back to the Astros, Correa is batting .405 with four extra-base hits, six RBIs, and a 1.098 OPS. Correa has hit safely in eight consecutive games and has multi-hit games in five straight.

Another multi-hit day is Correa’s easiest path to cashing this Over. However, extending his hitting streak with a base hit (he has as high as -195 odds to record a hit at DraftKings) and then scoring a run, or driving in a run where he does not produce a hit, will also get you there.

bet365 offers the best value at our top sports betting apps, where a $10 bet will yield a $10 profit.

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How do betting odds work?

Betting odds represent the probability of a specific outcome and determine how much money you can win on a bet. There are three main formats: American odds, Decimal odds, and Fractional odds. In the U.S., American odds are most common.

What is the run line in baseball?

The run line in baseball is a form of point spread betting unique to MLB. It typically sets a standard spread of 1.5 runs, meaning the favored team must win by at least two runs to cover the run line, while the underdog can lose by one run or win outright to cover.

What does moneyline mean in betting?

The moneyline in betting refers to a wager on which team or player will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. It’s the most straightforward type of sports bet - just pick the winner.

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Written by:
Mike Spector

Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”