Padres vs. Dodgers Predictions, Odds & Best Bets: Back Los Angeles to Complete Sweep
First place in the National League West is up for grabs in another massive clash, as the Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Diego Padres for their third of six meetings in 10 days.
Our Padres vs. Dodgers prediction backs the home favorites, priced at -150 moneyline at our best sports betting sites, to continue exerting their dominance in this series.
Our Padres vs. Dodgers best bets doubles down on an L.A. victory while backing one of its sluggers who has produced a large sample size of at-bats against today’s starting pitcher.
First pitch from Dodger Stadium is set for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLBN).
⚾ Padres vs. Dodgers prediction & odds
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💰 Padres vs. Dodgers prediction & best bet
✅ Padres vs. Dodgers prediction: Dodgers to win (-150 via bet365)
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Two streaks were snapped in L.A.’s series-opening victory, as San Diego had a five-game winning streak scuppered while Los Angeles won for the first time in five games.
Los Angeles is now a dominant 7-2 head-to-head against San Diego, and I expect it to complete the sweep of this three-game series as my Padres vs. Dodgers prediction.
Yu Darvish improved his ERA from 9.18 to 5.61 in a three-start stretch in which San Diego went 3-0.
I am not buying into Darvish’s struggles being behind him, as those wins came against a New York Mets team in freefall, an Arizona Diamondbacks team that traded much of its best talent at the trade deadline, and a San Francisco Giants lineup that was amid a stretch where they averaged fewer than two runs per game over double-digit home games.
My Padres vs. Dodgers best bet has more confidence in Tyler Glasnow, whose 2.15 ERA and .160 OBA in home games are vastly better than his 5.40 ERA and .200 OBA in road starts.
With all the other top sports betting apps offering odds of -154 or higher to back Los Angeles, I am headed to bet365 for the best value, where a $10 winning wager would net $6.67 in profits.
💰 Best Padres vs. Dodgers player prop
✅ Best Padres vs. Dodgers player prop: Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 total bases (+110 via bet365)
Freeman is one of two Dodgers hitters with at least 43 career at-bats against Darvish. His success in that sample size has me confidently backing him with my best Padres vs. Dodgers player props.
Freeman is 11-for-43 with three home runs off Darvish. The righty has also allowed a slugging percentage of .448 to left-handed hitters compared to a .390 slugging percentage to righties, and nine of his 15 extra-base hits allowed have been to lefties (in just eight more at-bats).
Freeman has gone over this projected total in two of his last six games, but is still slashing .308/.367/.519 in August. That makes these +110 odds enticing, especially compared to the competing sportsbooks at +105 or lower for the same wager.
Elsewhere, our Shane Jackson is looking toward the opposing dugout in his best home run predictions today.
📈 Padres vs. Dodgers betting insights
Here are some betting insights from BetMGM in the hours before first pitch:
- There isn't a significant lean tied to the moneyline, with the underdog Padres getting 57% of the bets, but the favored Dodgers receiving 52% of the handle
- However, there's a notable lean in at least one area when looking at the total, with the Under on 8.5 runs generating 83% of the action
- Similarly, the Dodgers are getting significant attention to cover -1.5 runs while drawing 75% of the bets and 89% of the handle
💡 Expert MLB predictions today
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