Orioles vs. Yankees Player Prop Predictions, Odds: Expert Picks for Tuesday

The Yankees will try to get back on track against the Orioles after losing three of their last four games, and we're offering our top player props for the matchup.

Rob Paul

Last Updated: June 18, 2024 5:04 PM EDT • 4 minute read

New York Yankees center fielder Aaron Judge hits a home run against the Boston Red Sox during the first inning at Fenway Park. We're backing Judge in our Orioles vs. Yankees Player Props. — New York Yankees center fielder Aaron Judge hits a home run against the Boston Red Sox during the first inning at Fenway Park. Photo by Eric Canha/USA TODAY Sports via Imagn.

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The Baltimore Orioles head to the Big Apple to take on the New York Yankees on Tuesday, as we dive into our top Orioles-Yankees player props based on the best MLB odds.

Besides recent losses in Beantown, the New York Yankees (50-24) have surged in June. They face the Baltimore Orioles (47-24) in the first of a three-game series, with the first pitch at 7:05 p.m. ET (TBS) from Yankee Stadium in New York.

Despite the recent skid, the Yankees are a -150 moneyline favorite and remain the top AL team by the World Series odds. That's thanks in large part to Aaron Judge, who is beginning to runaway with the MLB MVP odds in the AL.

Here are our best Orioles vs. Yankees player props and MLB picks.

Orioles vs. Yankees player props

Odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

Aaron Judge Over 1.5 total bases (-123 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Albert Suarez Over 2.5 walks allowed (-117 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Adley Rutschman Over 1.5 total bases (+115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐

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Orioles vs. Yankees expert picks

Aaron Judge Over 1.5 total bases ⭐⭐⭐⭐

It's crazy to think that Judge looked like he had lost a step at the beginning of the season. But it didn't take long for him to start playing like the clear MVP, with Judge bouncing back in May and playing unbelievably well in June.

He's slashing .392/.508/.863 with a 1.371 OPS in 14 games this month. That could mean trouble for Orioles pitcher Albert Suarez. Suarez primarily uses his four-seamer (53.6% of the time), a pitch that Judge has hit .313 or better against from 2020-2023 and has a .627 xSLG against this season.

Suarez's other primary pitch is his cutter (23%), which Judge is batting .500 with a jaw-dropping 1.250 SLG against in 2024. Against fastballs, he has 27 extra-base hits. The -123 odds imply a 55.16% win probability, according to our odds converter, with a $10 bet paying out $18.13

Best odds: -123 via Caesars

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Albert Suarez Over 2.5 walks allowed ⭐⭐⭐⭐

I'm not sure enough credit has been given to Suarez for his magical ride back to the majors. He hadn't pitched in the big leagues since 2017, spent several years playing in Japan and South Korea, and has been integral to the Orioles success this season both out of the bullpen and as a starter.

With that said, he's going to take his lumps against the Yankees. New York has one of the most explosive offenses in baseball, and no team in the AL walks more. Judge and Juan Soto rank top two in the AL in walks with 112 between them. For as good as Suarez has been, he issued eight walks in his last 19 1/3 innings pitched - including three in his last start.

The odds imply a 53.92% probability he issues at least three walks with a $10 bet paying an $8.55 profit.

Best odds: -117 via Caesars

Adley Rutschman Over 1.5 total bases ⭐⭐⭐

The Yankees are the scariest offense in the AL, but the Orioles are no slouches. Gunnar Henderson might be Judge's biggest competition for AL MVP this season, but it's Adley Rutschman who has the more appetizing matchup against New York starting pitcher Nestor Cortes.

The last time Cortes pitched against Baltimore in April, Rutschman went 2-for-4 flexing his dominance against lefties. This season, the Orioles' All-Star is crushing left-handers with a slash line of .421/.452/.693. And not only does Rutschman have that going for him, he also has been killing Cortes' top two pitches this season.

Cortes uses his four-seamer 47.9% of the time - a pitch Rutschman is batting .362 against with a .650 SLG - and his cutter 29.8% of the time - Rutschman's hitting .316 against them. The odds imply a 46.51% win probability with a $10 bet paying out $21.50.

Best odds: +115 via BetMGM

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Orioles vs. Yankees odds & game info

When: Tuesday, June 18
First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET
Where: Yankee Stadium (New York)
How to watch: TBS
Favorite: Yankees (-150 via bet365)

Orioles-Yankees player props made Tuesday at 10:30 a.m. ET.

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Written by:
Rob Paul

Rob is a Publishing Editor and Analyst at Sportsbook Review. He’s been with the team since early 2024. Rob's main focus is collegiate sports, specifically college football and college basketball. He uses a combination of advanced stats and film to find betting value, and aims to exploit specific matchups with plus-money player props. A college sports junky, Rob's betting process tends to revolve around which games he plans on watching on a given day/week. He begins the day/week by looking at the college football/basketball schedule and making a list of what he plans on watching before diving into advanced numbers to help inform how to bet each matchup. Typically, Rob bets at FanDuel and bet365, as they tend to offer a wider array of player props. Rob loves the way sports betting can act as a catalyst for telling stories and growing interest in certain sports, particularly Group of Six and FCS football, WNBA, and mid-major college basketball. Before joining SportsbookReview.com, he contributed to various sports outlets, including FanSided and Pro Football Network, building his college football and NFL experience and expertise while working as a full-time local community journalist. Rob values the way sports betting acts as a catalyst for telling stories and growing interest in certain sports, particularly FCS football, WNBA, and mid-major college basketball. He’s always been drawn to the more obscure teams and conferences in major college sports, but most of all, Rob loves using stats to find the best player props to back.