Dodgers vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Is L.A. Justified as an Underdog?
Even though the Los Angeles Dodgers won yesterday’s series opener against the Boston Red Sox by a score of 5-2, our Dodgers vs. Red Sox prediction determines if L.A. is justified as a rare road +125 moneyline underdog. First pitch from Fenway Park is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX).
MLB MVP odds favorite Shohei Ohtani has homered in five of the last six games, and though he headlines our home run predictions today, it is a Boston slugger we are backing with our Dodgers vs. Red Sox best bets.
- Dodgers vs. Red Sox prediction: Red Sox to win (-138 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Best Dodgers vs. Red Sox player props: Trevor Story Over 0.5 RBIs (+165 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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💰 Dodgers vs. Red Sox prediction & best bet
✅ Dodgers vs. Red Sox prediction: Red Sox moneyline (-138 via FanDuel)
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Two things the Red Sox do well are win at home and win interleague matchups. Thus, with their ace on the mound, we are getting great value by backing Boston’s moneyline odds with our Dodgers vs. Red Sox prediction.
Considering Boston is just five games over .500, its 32-21 home record, 34-33 record against teams over .500, and 19-15 record in interleague play are all more than respectable. Throw in the fact that Boston is 8-1 in Garrett Crochet’s last nine starts, and that is all the makings of my Dodgers vs. Red Sox best bet.
Crochet is a workhorse who leads the league in innings pitched, strikeouts, and ERA+. He is difficult to square up, ranking in the 70th percentile or better in barrels and hard-hit rate. Meanwhile, opposing southpaw Clayton Kershaw has allowed an OBA of .303 in three July starts, which should get him into trouble in hitter-friendly Fenway Park.
Boston had its seven-game home winning streak snapped yesterday, but I am backing it to get back into the win column today. These -138 odds are justified, considering Los Angeles is only 4-8 as a road underdog this season. FanDuel offers the best price for Boston backers, as it is the only one of the best sports betting sites with lower than -145 odds on the home favorites.
💰 Best Dodgers vs. Red Sox player props
✅ Best Dodgers vs. Red Sox player prop: Trevor Story Over 0.5 RBIs (+165 via Caesars)
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Trevor Story has enjoyed the backdrop of the Green Monster, as his home OPS is .732 compared to his .665 OPS on the road. He has six RBIs in 10 home games this month, and I am backing him to drive in another as my best Dodgers vs. Red Sox player prop.
Story has a great chance of plating himself tonight, as his two hits in nine career at-bats against Kershaw are home runs. Right-handed batters are also more likely to do damage against Kershaw, as his slugging percentage allowed to righties is 90 points higher than lefties.
Story’s four-game hitting streak makes the +165 odds at Caesars appealing for him to drive in a run. A winning $10 wager would net $16.50 in profits, compared to the $16 based on the +160 odds at the competing best sports betting apps.
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❓MLB betting FAQs
How do betting odds work?
Betting odds represent the probability of a specific outcome and determine how much money you can win on a bet. There are three main formats: American odds, Decimal odds, and Fractional odds. In the U.S., American odds are most common.
What is the run line in baseball?
The run line in baseball is a form of point spread betting unique to MLB. It typically sets a standard spread of 1.5 runs, meaning the favored team must win by at least two runs to cover the run line, while the underdog can lose by one run or win outright to cover.
What does moneyline mean in betting?
The moneyline in betting refers to a wager on which team or player will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. It’s the most straightforward type of sports bet - just pick the winner.
💵 Best MLB betting sites
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