⚾ Dodgers vs. Blue Jays Prediction & Picks: MLB Odds for Monday, April 6
The game of the night in MLB on Monday is a World Series rematch, and our Dodgers vs. Blue Jays prediction expect plenty of fireworks, and perhaps even for Toronto to get some revenge.
It'll be Justin Wrobleski vs. Max Scherzer on the mound, and my MLB picks feature a strikeout prop for one of them.
This one gets underway at 7:07 p.m. ET (FS1) from Rogers Centre, and I expect a white-hot crowd in Toronto.
⚾ Dodgers vs. Blue Jays picks & odds today
See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| ⚾ Pick | 💵 Units | 📝 Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays moneyline (+125 via bet365) | 0.4u → 0.90u | Crowd will be white-hot in revenge game |
| Justin Wrobleski Over 3.5 strikeouts (-104 via FanDuel) | 1u → 1.96u | Should have longer leash after 60 pitches in first appearance |
| George Springer home run (+500 via FanDuel) | 0.33u → 1.98u | World Series rematch should light a fire under him |
Total wagered: 1.73 units | Max profit: 3.11 units
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🏆 Who will win Dodgers vs. Blue Jays?
I'm not especially confident in this prediction, because neither team is exactly sending out its ace in this one - that'll come later this week.
However, I do think the Jays will bounce back from a handful of brutal performances against the Colorado Rockies and Chicago White Sox to take Game 1 of this three-game set. With Yoshinobu Yamamoto on the mound tomorrow and Shohei Ohtani after him, they kind of need to win tonight if they hope to exit this series with even one victory.
Score prediction: Blue Jays 6, Dodgers 4
💰 Dodgers vs. Blue Jays prediction & best bet
Freddie Freeman to hit a home run (+450)
I'm bypassing a prediction on the game and making a Freddie Freeman home run my best bet of the game. I'd bet this at 0.33 units, just as I did with Springer.
Freeman is off to a strong start this season, even if his .237/.275/.474 slash line doesn't indicate so. He's due for some positive regression based on his batted-ball data, and it could come in hitter-friendly Rogers Centre.
Based on Freeman's home run projection, we're getting roughly 35% +EV on this bet. I'd play it to odds as short as +395, and none of our best sports betting sites are close to that price yet.
📡 SBR Edge: Sometimes, just leave the game props alone
I don't have a real edge on any game picks for tonight's affair. I think it could go Over, but I'm not super confident, and I believe the Jays should win, but they've also stunk lately. However, I have a serious edge on a Freeman homer, so that's what I'm betting on.
🔥 Best Dodgers vs. Blue Jays player prop bet
Justin Wrobleski Over 3.5 strikeouts (-104)
I featured Wrobleski in my MLB player props today, so I'm including him here, too.
Wrobleski has made only one appearance out of the bullpen this season, but he threw 60 pitches during it and should have a decently long leash today. Really, it's been the action on the Under that drove the Over price to a point I'm comfortable betting. The Over opened at odds hovering around -150.
I would play this to odds as short as -145, and all of our best sports betting sites are significantly longer than that. Based on Wrobleski's projection of around 4.5 strikeouts today, we're getting better than 25% +EV on this.
💣 Dodgers vs. Blue Jays home run prediction
George Springer home run (+500)
George Springer was featured alongside Freeman in my home run predictions today, so I'm sticking with them here.
Springer is off to a bit of a cold start at the plate, but he's still popped two homers this season and is projected to add to that tally today.
With Wrobleski on the mound, this is the game for the Jays hitters to attack Los Angeles' pitching, as Yamamoto and Ohtani loom large over the rest of the series. We're getting roughly 50% +EV on this bet and I'd play it as short as +375.
🚀 Dodgers vs. Blue Jays same-game parlay
I'm combining the three players I've bet on in this game, but I'm changing the home run bets to Over on their total bases. The implied probability of these odds is 12.50%, so I've increased my wager from my usual 0.08 on parlays to 0.2.
💵 Dodgers vs. Blue Jays same-game parlay today
- Justin Wrobleski Over 3.5 strikeouts (-110)
- Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 bases (-107)
- George Springer Over 1.5 bases (+114)
Best odds: +700 via DraftKings (0.2u -> 1.6u)
💵 My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks have been tracked since March 25.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-56 | -10.87 units ❌ | -32.9% ❌ |
| Home runs | 3-24 | -3.90 units ❌ | -46.5% ❌ |
| Strikeouts | 7-11 | -3.95 units ❌ | -23.5% ❌ |
| Parlays | 1-13 | +0.18 units ✅ | +16.5% ✅ |
💡 How I'm betting Dodgers vs. Blue Jays: MLB strategy
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
I wager one full unit on all my main player prop bets and 0.33 units on my of home run bets, which you can also find on X.
If a player prop bet doesn't quite meet my criteria but still looks good, I'll drop my wager to 0.4 units. The same goes for my home run bets, as I'll drop my wager from 0.33 units to 0.20.
I continue to tinker with my process as the season progresses. The more information you have, the better, but you also don't want to get buried in numbers and forget what you know about the sport. That's something I'm still working through even now after years of finding success with baseball betting.
📊 Live Dodgers vs. Blue Jays odds
I'm fading the public with my pick for the Blue Jays to win, as 73% of the moneyline bets at DraftKings are on the Dodgers to win. Bettors are a bit more split on the run line, with 56% backing the Dodgers. Meanwhile, 64% of bets on the total are riding with the Over, which is 9 at DraftKings but 8.5 at FanDuel. The Dodgers are as long as -142 on the moneyline.
📈 Dodgers vs. Blue Jays betting trends
| Dodgers | Statistic | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| 7-2 | W-L record | 4-5 |
| 5-4 | Run line record | 2-7 |
| 5-4 | O/U record | 4-5 |
| 7-2 | Last 10 games | 4-5 |
| 3.78 | Team ERA | 3.70 |
| .285 | Team batting avg. | .239 |
| .837 | OPS | .681 |
🚑 Dodgers vs. Blue Jays injuries
📺 How to watch Dodgers vs. Blue Jays
- Date: Monday, April 6
- First pitch: 7:07 p.m. ET
- Ballpark: Rogers Centre (Toronto)
- TV: Sportsnet, Sportsnet LA, FS1
- Streaming: MLB TV
- Dodgers starter: Justin Wrobleski (0-0, 6.75 ERA)
- Blue Jays starter: Max Scherzer (1-0, 1.50 ERA)
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