Cy Young Odds & Favorites 2025: Skenes is Growing his Lead

Last Updated: August 19, 2025 1:35 PM EDT • 5 minute read X Social Google News Link

The Cy Young odds are tightening in one league, while there's a new challenger in the other.
Garrett Crochet, who's getting +220 betting odds, is starting to get larger in Tarik Skubal's rearview in the AL, with the leader sitting at -250 odds after some recent stumbles.
Meanwhile, Paul Skenes still owns a healthy lead in the NL while sitting at -475 odds, but he's now facing a different Philadelphia Phillies pitcher as his primary challenger with Zack Wheeler on the IL. Wheeler's teammate Cristopher Sanchez had been lurking as an intriguing long shot for a while, and now he's getting +280 odds.
🔢 American League Cy Young odds 2025
Live odds for the 2025 AL Cy Young from our best MLB betting sites.
🔢 National League Cy Young odds 2025
Live odds for the 2025 NL Cy Young from our best sports betting apps.
🏆 Who’s the betting favorite to win the NL Cy Young?
🏴☠️ Paul Skenes
📊 Best odds: -425 via DraftKings ($10 to win $2.35)
🔢 Implied win probability: 80.95%
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Skenes has endured the odd hiccup, but he's been mostly dominant and/or downright scary. A prime example came throughout the month of July, when he allowed a mere two earned runs across 27 innings.
That boosted his pursuit of the league's highest individual pitching honor even further, one year after Skenes was named the NL Rookie of the Year.
🎯 My best NL Cy Young pick
🔔 Cristopher Sanchez
📊 Best odds: +280 via Caesars ($10 to win $28)
🔢 Implied win probability: 26.32%
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Wheeler is on the IL after needing to undergo a procedure to resolve a blood clot near his right shoulder. His absence will be painful for the World Series odds-contending Phillies, though they boast enough quality pitching talent elsewhere, and Sanchez is central to that.
Sanchez's rise up began last year when he finished on the outskirts of the Cy Young voting in 10th, which came after he posted what was a career-best 3.32 ERA. His output in that area is significantly better now, especially in July when Sanchez's ERA sat at a shining 1.95 during the month.
Like Wheeler before him, Sanchez faces a tough climb while looking to chase down Skenes. But his lethal changeup could make things interesting down the stretch.
🏆 Who’s the betting favorite to win the AL Cy Young?
🐯 Tarik Skubal
📊 Best odds: -250 via BetMGM ($10 to win $4)
🔢 Implied win probability: 71.43%
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The defending AL Cy Young winner took the honor last year after shining with a 2.39 ERA that sat second MLB-wide while also leading with 228 strikeouts.
He's on a similar trajectory now, and Skubal could benefit from spearheading the efforts of a World Series contender, albeit one that's been scuffling at times during the second half after the Tigers' torrid start.
🎯 My best AL Cy Young pick
🧦 Garrett Crochet
📊 Best odds: +220 via BetMGM ($10 to win $22)
🔢 Implied win probability: 31.25%
The first-year ace for the Boston Red Sox is the only realistic challenger for Skubal, as there's a cliff dive in odds after him. The dominant lefty has already set a career high in innings pitched, and he's well on his way to doing the same in strikeouts. Crochet is among the league leaders in both of those categories now, in addition to ERA.
🗠 MLB Cy Young opening odds
Odds as of March 2025.
American League | Odds | National League | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Garrett Crochet | +350 | Paul Skenes | +210 |
Tarik Skubal | +350 | Zack Wheeler | +700 |
Cole Ragans | +900 | Blake Snell | +1000 |
Logan Gilbert | +1000 | Chris Sale | +1400 |
Jacob deGrom | +1200 | Corbin Burnes | +1600 |
Pablo Lopez | +1800 | Spencer Strider | +1800 |
Framber Valdez | +2000 | Cristopher Sanchez | +2000 |
Hunter Brown | +2000 | Sandy Alcantara | +2000 |
Max Fried | +2500 | Tyler Glasnow | +2000 |
Bryan Woo | +3500 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | +2000 |
📜 AL Cy Young betting history
Year | Player | Team | Preseason odds |
---|---|---|---|
2024 | Tarik Skubal | Detroit Tigers | +1000 |
2023 | Gerrit Cole | New York Yankees | +700 |
2022 | Justin Verlander | Houston Astros | +2000 |
2021 | Robbie Ray | Toronto Blue Jays | N/A |
2020 | Shane Bieber | Cleveland Guardians | +900 |
2019 | Justin Verlander | Houston Astros | +1500 |
2018 | Blake Snell | Tampa Bay Rays | +10000 |
2017 | Corey Kluber | Cleveland Guardians | +400 |
2016 | Rick Porcello | Boston Red Sox | +20000 |
2015 | Dallas Keuchel | Houston Astros | +15000 |
📜 NL Cy Young betting history
Year | Player | Team | Preseason odds |
---|---|---|---|
2024 | Chris Sale | Atlanta Braves | +3000 |
2023 | Blake Snell | San Diego Padres | +3500 |
2022 | Sandy Alcantara | Miami Marlins | +600 |
2021 | Corbin Burnes | Milwaukee Brewers | +3500 |
2020 | Trevor Bauer | Cincinnati Reds | +2500 |
2019 | Jacob deGrom | New York Mets | +350 |
2018 | Jacob deGrom | New York Mets | +2500 |
2017 | Max Scherzer | Washington Nationals | +350 |
2016 | Max Scherzer | Washington Nationals | +1000 |
2015 | Jake Arrieta | Chicago Cubs | +4000 |
❓ MLB Cy Young FAQs
Who are the Cy Young award odds favorites?
Paul Skenes is the Cy Young odds favorite in the NL (-425), while Tarik Skubal holds the top spot in the AL (-250).
Who won the Cy Young awards last year?
Tarik Skubal of the Detroit Tigers won the American League Cy Young award last year. Atlanta Braves southpaw Chris Sale took home the award for the National League.
When will the Cy Young winners be announced?
The Cy Young Award winners last year were announced on Wednesday, Nov. 20, so we can expect a similar timeline this year.
How does Cy Young voting work?
The Cy Young awards are given out based on the voting from members of the Baseball Writers' Association of America. Writers from NL cities vote for the NL Cy Young, and the same is true for AL writers. In total, there are 30 votes tied to each award, with one representative from each team.
Writers submit their ballots before the beginning of the posteason. They rank their top-five selections, and points are given in descending order (first place gets seven points, second place gets four, third place gets three, fourth place gets two, and fifth place gets one). The player with the most points wins. In the event of a tie, the award is shared.
Who has won the most Cy Young awards?
Roger Clemens, seven, won more Cy Young awards than any other pitcher in MLB history. Randy Johnson, five, is second on the all-time list.
🏟️ MLB betting odds pages
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Sean Tomlinson X social