⚾ Cubs vs. Rockies Prediction & Picks: MLB Odds for Thursday, June 11

The Colorado Rockies have the worst record in Major League Baseball, but are still in a position to sweep a three-game series against the injury-plagued Chicago Cubs. First pitch from Coors Field in Denver is set for 3:10 p.m. ET (ESPN Unlimited), with the starting pitching matchup featuring Edward Cabrera against Ryan Feltner. The Cubs are a -155 betting favorite.

My Cubs vs. Rockies prediction backs the road favorites in the hopes of a big bounce-back start from Edward Cabrera. And even though I am expecting a Chicago victory buoyed by a home run from one of its sluggers, I am fading a struggling Cubs hitter with one of my MLB picks.

⚾ Cubs vs. Rockies picks & odds today

See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.

Total wagered: 2.25 units | Max profit: 2.94 units

🏆 Who will win Cubs vs. Rockies?

Colorado snapped a four-game losing streak in a 7-3 victory in the series opener, but the fact that it is 3-7-1 in its 11 home series doesn’t inspire confidence that it will finish the sweep today.

Score prediction: Cubs 5, Rockies 4

💰 Cubs vs. Rockies prediction & best bet

Cubs ML (Odds)

Chicago’s imminent struggles may continue with four key members of the starting rotation alone on the IL. But I expect Edward Cabrera to rebound from his first start after a 15-day IL stint where he allowed a season-high eight runs.

Prior to that poor outing, Cabrera had allowed three earned runs or fewer in nine of his first 10 starts. He has a respectable 3.12 ERA and 1.096 WHIP in three appearances at Coors Field, which is one of four NL ballparks where he has recorded a 11.9-plus K/9 rate.

🔥 Best Cubs vs. Rockies player prop bet

Alex Bregman Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (+151)

There is an argument to be made that simply hitting in Coors Field will be enough to turn Alex Bregman’s poor fortune around, especially after he went 2-for-3 with a run scored and an RBI in the series opener. But he had struggled for so long prior to that, which adds value to this wager regardless of ballpark.

Entering this series, Bregman was batting just .227 with a .621 OPS, two home runs, and nine RBI over his previous 39 games. His low RBI total in that span was a direct byproduct of his .128 batting average with runners in scoring position, including a 26-at-bat hitless streak in that split coming into the week.

💣 Cubs vs. Rockies home run prediction

Pete Crow-Armstrong to hit a home run (+310)

Prior to Tuesday’s 0-for-4 effort in the series opener, Pete Crow-Armstrong was amid a 12-game hitting streak (the longest of his career). Over that span, Crow-Armstrong batted .392 with five home runs, eight total extra-base hits, nine RBI and a 1.201 OPS. That torrid streak saw his OPS jump from .676 to .783.

Crow-Armstrong’s improved power numbers seem to be a direct product of better plate discipline. In March and April, Crow-Armstrong had a 45.8% chase rate, 29.9% whiff rate and 46.8% hard-hit rate. In May and June (entering this week), those numbers improved to 33.1% and 26%, respectively.

🚀 Cubs vs. Rockies same-game parlay

While the Under on Alex Bregman's hits/runs/RBIs prop hurts Chicago's chances of scoring runs, it can still win the game in a multitude of other ways, like getting offense from other sources. That is why I am leaving the Crow-Armstrong home run wager as the last leg of my same-game parlay, though I'd likely go a more conservative route like the Over on his RBI total if the game were played at any ballpark other than Coors Field.

💵 My betting record for MLB picks

All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.

💡 How I'm betting Cubs vs. Rockies: MLB strategy

Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.

Had Chicago's moneyline odds been -160 or steeper, I likely would've opted for laying the -1.5 runs with the runline. And while those odds are still a better value (+100 at several of the best sports betting sites), I'm simply looking for the Cubs to just scratch out a win before the series ends.

Chicago’s starting lineup leading up to this series had slashed .312/.388/.569 with 17 home runs in 403 career plate appearances at Coors Field, which is why I wanted to get behind a Cubs slugger for my home run prop.

📊 Live Cubs vs. Rockies odds

Even though Chicago has lost the first two games of this series by a combined score of 10-5, the line has shaded in its direction after several of the best sports betting apps opened with moneyline odds around -150. That signals a case of massive reverse line movement, considering the underdog Rockies have attracted 55% of the initial wagers.

Perhaps based on the first two games totaling 10 or fewer runs, the O/U has also ticked down from an opening number of 11.5 to 11 for many operators. This is likely also a product of sharps weighing in on the Under, as the line has been bet down despite the early betting splits being 2/1 in favor of the Over.

📈 Cubs vs. Rockies betting trends

🚑 Cubs vs. Rockies injuries

📺 How to watch Cubs vs. Rockies

• Date: Thursday, June 11
• First pitch: 3:10 p.m. ET
• Ballpark: Coors Field (Denver)
• TV: ESPN Unlimited
• Streaming: MLB.TV
• Cubs starter: Edward Cabrera (3-3, 4.99 ERA)
• Rockies starter: Ryan Feltner (2-1, 4.22 ERA)