How to Bet on the Worst Team in Baseball: Best Colorado Rockies MLB Odds & Predictions

The Colorado Rockies are easily the worst team in baseball with a 7-33 record, and they just fired manager Bud Black on Sunday. However, while others zig and fade the Rockies, we zag and look for value in backing them.

This is how I'm attacking Colorado Rockies odds and predictions as they enter the middle of May amid a historically bad campaign.

📊 How bad are the Rockies? 2025 betting trends

So, what would happen if you bet on the Rockies moneyline every single game so far this season? Well, if you placed a $10 wager on the Rockies to win on all 40 of their games, you would have lost more than $211. Hopefully, you're not a Rockies fan blindly betting on your team to win.

In terms of the Over/Under, games have trended Under despite Colorado's pitching being abysmal, likely due to the fact that its hitting is also very bad. For those wondering if games at Coors Field have been more profitable to the Over or if the best sports betting sites nail the lines, those contests are 11-9-1 on the total, so the Over has hit slightly more frequently.

However, that's not enough to suggest you just blindly bet the Over at Coors Field.

🧑‍🏫 How to bet on the Colorado Rockies

All Colorado Rockies odds via our best MLB betting sites.

First, let's look at the Rockies' MLB projected win total odds. As you'd expect, they own the lowest total in the league, but is it too low? Let's dive in.

Rockies win total odds

As you can see, the Rockies' projected win total by our best sports betting apps is hovering right around 43 roughly a quarter of the way into the 2025 season.

However, FanGraphs projects the Rockies to finish with 55 wins (going 48-74 the rest of the way), while PECOTA has Colorado finishing with a record of 48-114. That's seven fewer projected wins, but either record would still cash the Over on currently dismally low betting line.

Therefore, you can see that we're in a potential buy period for the Rockies when it comes to their win total odds. For Colorado to finish under 42.5 wins, the Rockies would be nearly as bad as the historically bad Chicago White Sox were last year.

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Could we see history rewritten this season, or will the Rockies avoid being the modern era's new worst team?

The real value, though, lies in the player props, particularly hitting ones.

Rockies player prop odds

These are the bets that intrigue me the most when it comes to the Rockies, and it's topical because I bet on three of their players today. This isn't necessarily something that you can do every day, but I'll tell you this absolutely isn't the first time Mickey Moniak's Over has popped based on projections.

That's because we've gotten to the point that the Rockies are so bad (crowd responds with "how bad are they!?") that they're actually ... good? Well, not good good, but good when it comes to betting.

We need to remember what our best sportsbooks seem to have forgotten, and that's the fact that these are still major leaguers.

Am I going out of my way to back Rockies hitters? No, but I'm also not fading them based strictly on the idea that they stink. I found value on three Overs today, and I wouldn't be surprised if that's a trend for weeks to come.

I can't recommend a single player to target, but continue to check projections for Rockies players and compare those to either their total bases prop or the H+R+RBI market. I prefer the latter because the team's success - or lack thereof - is baked into that market, so you can take advantage of the Rockies "sucking" even more by betting on Overs there.

❓Why you should bet on the Rockies now

You should bet on the Rockies now because they genuinely can't get much worse. If they stay on this trajectory, they'd finish with just 28 or 29 wins. That is impossibly bad.

So, keep an eye out for the moneyline odds in series against teams that are closer to the Rockies than the records suggest (i.e. the Miami Marlins, Washington Nationals, Pittsburgh Pirates, and Cincinnati Reds, and any interleague showdowns with the Chicago White Sox and Los Angeles Angels), and continue to look for value on player prop Overs.

Sure, the Rockies haven't been as good as those teams by any metric so far this season, but you can reasonably expect a ton of positive regression from Brenton Doyle, as well as some for Michael Toglia and Mickey Moniak, while Ezequiel Tovar and Thairo Estrada could soon provide the team with a boost when they return from the injured list.

It's still a terrible team, but if you see the Rockies serving as significant underdogs against the Pirates (and Paul Skenes isn't on the mound), then you know what to do.

When it comes to futures, the only one you're going to want to bet on is the win total, and perhaps explore other teams to finish with the worst record in baseball. However, regarding the latter, I think it's entirely possible Colorado both goes Over its win total and finishes with the worst record.

Basically, whatever you do, don't fall for the trap that betting "experts" are setting for you online. If you see someone suggesting you should auto fade the Rockies on the moneyline against "good" teams and roll that over each day because they'll just continue losing, run away as fast as you can.

MLB betting odds pages

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