⚾ Best NRFI Bets Today: MLB No Run First Inning Picks for Monday, April 6
📡 SBR Edge: Best NRFI Bets Today for Monday (April 6)
We've won three staight, and we're here to do it again across a heavy, 14-game schedule on this fine Monday. We're targeting the Tigers vs. Twins and Mariners vs. Rangers to get us six simple outs to kick off the week. Let's stay hot and build our bankroll today, shall we?
βΎ Best NRFI bets today: April 6
See all of our expertsβ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| βΎ NRFI pick | π΅ Units | π Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Tigers vs. Twins NRFI (-175) | 1u β .57u | Joe Ryan strikes out Tigers at 31.9% clip. |
| Mariners vs. Rangers NRFI (-160) | 1u -> .62u | Mariners own .180 xBA vs. deGrom. |
Total wagered: 2 unit | Max profit: 1.19 units
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π° Best NRFI bets today for Thursday
Tigers vs. Twins NRFI (-175) - 7:40 p.m. ET
- Casey Mize (1.50 ERA) vs. Joe Ryan (4.82 ERA)
- NRFI records: Tigers (4-5) vs. Twins (1-8)
Casey Mize will get the job done against the Twins, who are hitting .196 across 99 plate appearances against the righty - we absolutely love that sample size. The top four hitters for Minnesota are a combined 8-for-34, which should be enough to get us three outs. On the other side, the Tigers own a .178 xBA against Twins ace Joe Ryan, who's also striking that lineup out at a 31% rate. This is the perfect recipe for a NRFI, lock it in.
🤑 More MLB player props today
Looking for more bets on this big Monday slate? Take a look at Andrew Brennan's MLB player props today.
Mariners vs. Rangers NRFI (-160) - 8:05 p.m. ET
- Logan Gilbert (6.75 ERA) vs. Jacob deGrom (5.79 ERA)
- NRFI records: Mariners (6-4) vs. Rangers (4-5)
We've got a case of two aces on the bump in the Mariners vs. Rangers, giving me enough confidence to drop a full unit on six simple outs here. The Mariners own just a .180 xBA and a .284 xwOBA vs. deGrom over 89 plate appearances, and should live in the strike zone in the first inning. Gilbert hasn't gotten off to a strong start this season, but he's owned this Rangers lineup over 138 plate appearances. He'll get us the three outs we need.
π΅ My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-4 | +1.02 units β |
| NRFI picks | 4-4 | +1.02 units β |
π‘ How I'm betting NRFI picks today (April 6)
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
No matter the day, I look at how a pitcher matches up specifically to the lineup he's taking on. What's their expected batting average against him? What's their strikeout rate? More specifically, how do the top three batters fare against a specific pitcher? These are all thoughts that need to run through your mind before placing a high-variance bet like a NRFI, and slide your units accordingly.
β NRFI betting FAQ
What does NRFI mean in baseball betting?
NRFI stands for "No Run First Inning." It's a popular MLB bet that neither team will score in the first inning of a game, and the bet settles after just six outs (three per half-inning).
What does YRFI mean?
YRFI stands for "Yes Run First Inning" - the opposite of an NRFI. This MLB prop bet cashes if there's at least one run by either team in the first inning.
What should I look for when betting NRFIs?
Each team's starting pitcher is the biggest factor in cashing a NRFI bet, but you should also focus on each team's NRFI records (home vs. away) and each lineup's first-inning tendencies. Recent form can also play a bigger role than full-season numbers.
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