⚾ Best NRFI Bets Today: MLB No Run First Inning Picks for Thursday, April 2
📡 SBR Edge: Best NRFI Bets Today for Thursday (April 2)
We swept the slate last time out, and we'e here to do it again across a light, three-game schedule on this fine Thursday. We're targeting the Twins vs. Royals to get us six simple outs before the weekend. Let's build our bankroll and move to .500 today, shall we?
βΎ Best NRFI bets today: April 2
See all of our expertsβ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| βΎ NRFI pick | π΅ Units | π Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Twins vs. Royals NRFI (-115) | 1u β 1.86u | Twins own .163 xBA vs. Ragans. |
Total wagered: 1 unit | Max profit: 1.86 units
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π° Best NRFI bets today for Thursday
Twins vs. Royals NRFI - 2:10 p.m. ET
- Taj Bradley (2.08 ERA) vs. Cole Ragans (9.00 ERA)
- NRFI records: Twins (0-5) vs. Royals (1-4)
The NRFI records from the Twins and Royals this season don't give me cause for concern here today, as each pitcher owns fantastic numbers in this specific matchup. Across 58 plate appearances, the Royals are hitting just .109 against Bradley, which includes Bobby Witt Jr. and Maikel Garcia going a combined 0-for-16 against the righty. On the other side, the Twins own a .164 xBA against Ragans, who is striking out that lineup at a 35% rate across 48 plate appearances. Sounds like a NRFI recipe to me.
π΅ My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-4 | -0.22 units β |
| NRFI picks | 3-4 | -0.22 units β |
π‘ How I'm betting NRFI picks today (April 2)
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
No matter the day, I look at how a pitcher matches up specifically to the lineup he's taking on. What's their expected batting average against him? What's their strikeout rate? More specifically, how do the top three batters fare against a specific pitcher? These are all thoughts that need to run through your mind before placing a high-variance bet like a NRFI, and slide your units accordingly.
β NRFI betting FAQ
What does NRFI mean in baseball betting?
NRFI stands for "No Run First Inning." It's a popular MLB bet that neither team will score in the first inning of a game, and the bet settles after just six outs (three per half-inning).
What does YRFI mean?
YRFI stands for "Yes Run First Inning" - the opposite of an NRFI. This MLB prop bet cashes if there's at least one run by either team in the first inning.
What should I look for when betting NRFIs?
Each team's starting pitcher is the biggest factor in cashing a NRFI bet, but you should also focus on each team's NRFI records (home vs. away) and each lineup's first-inning tendencies. Recent form can also play a bigger role than full-season numbers.
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