Best Home Run Predictions Today: MLB Odds, Picks & Prop Bets for Aug. 17

Last Updated: August 17, 2025 11:45 AM EDT • 3 minute read X Social Google News Link

Sunday’s MLB slate offers a juicy list for the best home run predictions today.
We start with backing a pair of players (Nick Castellanos and Kyle Schwarber) in the first game of the day. We also like Ketel Marte and Fernando Tatis Jr. to send one over the fence in their respective games for our best home run bets today.
Each player offers value in the home run props market, while a four-leg parlay provides a tantalizing price of +22354.
💰 MLB best home run predictions & odds today: Aug. 17
Here are my best MLB home run predictions and odds today with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. You can also check out our MLB player prop odds tool for the latest MLB odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.
🧨 Nick Castellanos to hit a home run (+450 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
🧨 Kyle Schwarber to hit a home run (+210 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
🧨 Ketel Marte to hit a home run (+400 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
🧨 Fernando Tatis Jr. to hit a home run (+390 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🚀 Best home run parlay picks
Here is our best MLB home run parlay for Sunday's baseball action; use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any parlay.
💣 Nick Castellanos to hit a home run (+450 via FanDuel)
💣 Kyle Schwarber to hit a home run (+190 via FanDuel)
💣 Ketel Marte to hit a home run (+300 via FanDuel)
💣 Fernando Tatis Jr. to hit a home run (+360 via FanDuel)
Parlay odds: +22354 odds via FanDuel ($10 to win $2,235.41)
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💣 Best home run prediction today: MLB expert picks & prop bets
Here are my best home run bets today. Check out the rest of our MLB picks along with our guide on how to bet on MLB.
⚾ Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres) to hit a home run ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +390 via bet365 (bet $10 to win $39)
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San Diego Padres star Fernando Tatis Jr. hasn’t hit a home run since July 24, but I like his chances of ending that drought as my favorite home run prediction in Sunday’s series finale against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
The Padres have fallen back one game behind the Dodgers in the NL West after losing twice this weekend. Tatis has logged a pair of hits, including one double, in six at-bats during this series.
However, his recent drought has led to some favorable prices in the home run market. THE BAT X’s model projects 0.27 homers for Tatis, showing significant value when his +390 price tag comes with an implied probability of 20.4%.
As long as the price is +350 or better, I’ll back Tatis to send one to the seats. We dove further into this game too as part of our Padres vs. Dodgers predictions.
📊 Padres vs. Dodgers odds
💡 Expert MLB predictions today
- MLB home run predictions today
- Padres vs. Dodgers prediction
- Mariners vs. Mets prediction
- Phillies vs. Nationals prediction
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Shane Jackson X social