Best Home Run Predictions Today: MLB Odds, Picks & Prop Bets for Aug. 12

Last Updated: August 12, 2025 8:55 AM EDT • 3 minute read X Social Google News Link

It's Dinger Tuesday once again, and my best home run predictions today look to an in-form Rafael Devers to keep the round-trippers coming against a National League West foe this evening.
Devers has hit 13% of his total home runs for the season in the last four games, so I'm banking on him staying hot against the San Diego Padres tonight. I'm also placing my dinger eggs in the baskets of Randy Arozarena, Joc Pederson, and Manny Machado.
If all four of my home run bets today manage to cash, a $10 parlay would profit nearly $8,500 at the best MLB betting sites.
💰 MLB best home run predictions & odds today: Aug. 12
Here are my best MLB home run predictions and odds today with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. You can also check out our MLB player prop odds tool for the latest MLB odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.
🧨 Randy Arozarena to hit a home run (+425 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🧨 Joc Pederson to hit a home run (+400 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
🧨 Manny Machado to hit a home run (+560 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
🧨 Rafael Devers to hit a home run (+500 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🚀 Best home run parlay picks
Here is our best MLB home run parlay for Dinger Tuesday; use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any parlay.
💣 Randy Arozarena to hit a home run (+400 via FanDuel)
💣 Joc Pederson to hit a home run (+400 via FanDuel)
💣 Manny Machado to hit a home run (+560 via FanDuel)
💣 Rafael Devers to hit a home run (+480 via FanDuel)
Parlay odds: +84578 via FanDuel ($10 to win $8,457.81)
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💣 Best home run prediction today: MLB expert picks & prop bets
Here are my best home run bets today. Check out the rest of our MLB picks along with our guide on how to bet on MLB.
⚾ Rafael Devers (Giants) to hit a home run ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +500 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $50)
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Remember when Devers started the year off slowly, and social media mercilessly mocked him? To quote British politician and subject of a popular meme, Nigel Farage, "Well, I have to say, you're not laughing now, are you?" Devers hasn't exactly set the world ablaze, slashing .256/.381/.853 this season. However, there is perhaps no hotter hitter in baseball right now.
San Francisco's slugger has clubbed three homers in his past four appearances. The former Red Sox star is also very familiar with San Diego's starter tonight, former New York Yankees southpaw Nestor Cortes. Devers is 4-for-18 in his career against Cortes, with two of those hits leaving the yard altogether.
Devers' form and history against the Padres' pitcher lead me to believe his +500 betting odds are a value play for Dinger Tuesday at the best sports betting sites. This line implies a 16.67% probability that he goes yard for a fourth time in five games. Bet this player prop at DraftKings, which is the only sportsbook to offer odds as long as +500.
📊 Padres vs. Giants odds
💡 Expert MLB predictions today
- MLB home run predictions
- Best NRFI bets today
- Twins vs. Yankees prediction
- Cubs vs. Blue Jays prediction
- Braves vs. Mets prediction
- Pirates vs. Brewers prediction
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