Best MLB Player Props Today Tuesday, Oct. 7: Best Bets for Divisional Series

My best MLB player props today back the New York Yankees to shorten their World Series odds thanks to a home victory as one of their best two pitchers on the mound.

The MLB picks below feature two batter props and two pitcher props from the American League Division Series matchups.

⚾ Best MLB player props today

MLB player prop bets for Wild Card Series; odds subject to change.

• Logan Gilbert Over 6.5 strikeouts (-104 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
• Gleyber Torres Over 0.5 runs (+145 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
• Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 total bases (+141 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
• Carlos Rodon Under 1.5 earned runs allowed (+128 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

💰 MLB prop bets for Oct. 7 

Our MLB player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.

⬆️ Logan Gilbert Over 6.5 strikeouts (-104) ⭐⭐⭐

Seattle Mariners ace Logan Gilbert has outstanding career numbers at Comerica Park. In 17 innings in Detroit’s home stadium, Gilbert has allowed three earned runs while pitching to a 22:4 K:BB ratio and a .235 wOBA.

Gilbert has struck out 19 Tigers in just 10 ⅓ innings this year, so the righty may only need to pitch into the fifth inning today to cash this Over. Detroit did generate 14 baserunners (11 hits and three walks) in those 10 ⅓ innings, but if it continues to struggle with runners in scoring position (10-for-52 in the postseason), Gilbert has a path to a lengthy start. 

If he records at least seven strikeouts, my $10 wager through FanDuel’s -104 price at a 50.98% implied probability would net $9.62 in profits.

⬆️ Gleyber Torres Over 0.5 runs (+145) ⭐⭐⭐

Tigers leadoff man Gleyber Torres is slashing just .190/.261/.238 in five postseason games. But he has hit safely in four of the five, and in the two games against the Mariners thus far, he turned in his first extra-base hit of the playoffs and his first game with reaching base safely twice.

Torres is 6-for-16 in his career against Gilbert and bats in front of two players (Kerry Carpenter and Riley Greene) who have a .833 OPS or better in a small sample size against the righty.

Detroit may be batting just .192 with runners in scoring position this postseason, but it has had 11-plus at-bats in that split in three of its last four postseason games. I expect positive regression from the Tigers with men on base, especially against a pitcher that they have had success generating traffic against. 

There is a sizable difference between the +130 odds (43.48% implied probability) at the low end of the market and BetMGM’s generous +145 odds (40.82% implied probability). If Torres scores a run, my $10 winning wager at BetMGM would return $14.50 in profits.

⬆️ Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 total bases (+141) ⭐⭐⭐

The Blue Jays made history with the most runs scored (23) by any team in their first two playoff games.

Despite the Blue Jays' offense not performing nearly as well in the Bronx as it did at home against the Yankees this season, I still expect catcher Alejandro Kirk to have a big day offensively. 

Kirk has a .930 OPS in his career against Yankees southpaw Carlos Rodon. And all three of his hits against him have gone for extra bases, so he has a great chance to cash this Over with one swing of the bat.

DraftKings is the only of the best sports betting sites offering a price better than +135. Through its +141 odds, a $10 winning wager would net $14.10 in profits.

⬇️ Carlos Rodon Under 1.5 earned runs (+128) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

With their season on the line, the Yankees need a herculean effort from southpaw Carlos Rodon. The good news is that Toronto’s red-hot offense did not perform particularly well at Yankee Stadium in the regular season, and the cooler temperatures should suppress its power even more.

Toronto won just two of the six regular-season meetings with New York at Yankee Stadium. In that split, it owned a minus-8 run differential, batted .230 as a team, and belted just three home runs.  

The Blue Jays ranked outside of the top 10 in the majors in wOBA and wRC+ against left-handed pitchers in road games since the start of July. And though they make contact at an elite rate, that is mitigated by their 17th-ranked BABIP in that split. 

BetMGM offers much steeper -185 odds at a 64.91% implied probability for the Under of 2.5 earned runs. But I am opting for better value at a lower number, as a $10 winning wager through Caesars’ +128 odds would return $12.80 in profits.