WM Phoenix Open Odds, Favorites & Pick to Win: Scheffler Priced to Win 2nd Event of 2026

We have our strongest field of the 2026 PGA Tour season to date, with Scottie Scheffler once again the heavy betting favorite by the WM Phoenix Open odds. His +240 outright odds from BetMGM represent an implied win probability of 29.41%. That has Scheffler leading the likes of fellow two-time tournament champions Brooks Koepka (+5000) and Hideki Matsuyama (+2800) in the 121-man field. Last year's winner, Thomas Detry, isn't in the field.

Dubbed The People's Open, the WM Phoenix Open is annually played at TPC Scottsdale in Scottsdale, Ariz., and will conclude on Super Bowl Sunday, typically a couple hours before kickoff.

📊 WM Phoenix Open odds to win

Here are the live WM Phoenix Open odds via our best golf betting sites; odds will update in real time:

🏆 Who's favored to win the WM Phoenix Open?

Scottie Scheffler (+240)

Scheffler's playing his second event of the season after winning his 2026 debut two weeks ago by four strokes. His odds to win that event were around +300, and we're now seeing a sizeable reduction in his odds to win a tournament he has won twice before.

The two-time WM Phoenix Open champion, who won back-to-back three and four years ago, has won seven of 22 events dating back to last season. That's a 31.8% win rate, meaning his 29.41% implied win probability at the +240 odds represents the slightest value. We would need Scheffler's WM Phoenix Open odds to be at least +215 (31.75% win probability) to warrant an outright bet, and can bet him down to that number this week.

💰 My first click to win the WM Phoenix Open: Nick Taylor (+7500)

Here is my early pick to win the WM Phoenix Open, part of our best golf picks this week.

Nick Taylor struggles to get much respect from our best sports betting sites. The Canadian returns to the WM Phoenix Open, where he won two years ago, at No. 55 in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR). He finished T-13 in the season-opening Sony Open (where he shared the first-round lead) and tied for 27th in The Americana Express two weeks ago.

Like Scheffler, he returns to play after a week of rest, and he'll look to join Scheffler, Koepka, and Matsuyama as a two-time champion at TPC Scottsdale. The +7500 odds are far too high and represent an implied win probability of just 1.32%. Taylor's putting and short game (0.46 strokes gained: around-the-green per round) make him an excellent course fit.

💡 How I'm betting the WM Phoenix Open

The WM Phoenix Open is one of my favorite tournaments to be each year. I find the tournament and course a little more predictable than most each year, as course history and past experience (and success) matter greatly in this event.

The last two winners (Nick Taylor and Thomas Detry) had pre-tournament odds of at least +10000, but five of the previous eight winners were priced between +2000 and +5000, offering a real profit opportunity despite the star-caliber of those typically in attendance.

Here's what you need to know about the course and key stats:

TPC Scottsdale course stats

• Par: 71
• Yardage: 7,261
• Greens: Bermuda
• Architect: Tom Weiskopf
• Comparable courses: Glen Oaks Club, TPC Craig Ranch, Pinehurst No. 2

Key stats

Here are the key stats I use to handicap the WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale, with a heavy weight toward course history and past success in this particular tournament, given the one-of-a-kind fan environment and its impact on golfers:

• Strokes gained: approach
• Proximity from 150-175 yards
• Strokes gained: around-the-green
• Driving distance

⚖️ WM Phoenix Open odds: Top 20 finish

As said above, there have been several long-shot winners of the WM Phoenix Open, including Detry and Taylor. While it's wide to sprinkle on a few golfers with longer odds this week, one has to remember that Scheffler is still in attendance and has won nearly a third of his past 22 events. It's important to hedge your long-shot outright bets with some top finish wagers, including Top 5, Top 10, and Top 20. Here are the odds for the latter betting market, with all but Scheffler available at plus-money:

⛳ WM Phoenix Open tournament info

• Where: TPC Scottsdale (Scottsdale, Ariz.)
• When: Thursday, Feb. 5 - Sunday, Feb. 8
• Field: 121
• Favorite: Scottie Scheffler (+240 via BetMGM)
• Defending champion: Thomas Detry
• Purse: $9.6 million
• FedEx Cup points: 500

📜 WM Phoenix Open betting history

Here are the recent winners of the WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale. Historical golf odds via GolfOdds.com:

❓ WM Phoenix Open FAQs

Who is favored to win the WM Phoenix Open?

Scottie Scheffler is the betting favorite to win this week's WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale, with his +240 outright odds representing an implied win probability of 29.41%.

Who won the WM Phoenix Open last year?

Thomas Detry won last year's WM Phoenix Open by seven strokes at 24 under par.

Where is the WM Phoenix Open?

The WM Phoenix Open is played annually at TPC Scottsdale's Stadium Course in Scottsdale, Ariz.

When is the WM Phoenix Open?

The 2026 WM Phoenix Open will be played from Thursday, Feb. 5 through Sunday, Feb. 8. The tournament finishes on Super Bowl Sunday each year, typically a couple hours before the Big Game.