⛳ Memorial Tournament Picks: Best Bets to Win, Top Finishes & Sleeper Pick

The Memorial Tournament returns to Muirfield Village Golf Club this week as golfers tee it up in Dublin, Ohio, from its scheduled tournament window at one of the PGA Tour’s most iconic and demanding venues. Unlike more forgiving setups on Tour, Muirfield Village rewards precision, strong iron play, and disciplined course management, as we look to make our Memorial Tournament picks.

With a star-studded field typically assembled for this signature event, bettors are already targeting outright winners and placement markets in a highly competitive field. Rory McIlroy enters as one of the betting favorites and headlines our Memorial Tournament picks, while elite ball-strikers and accurate drivers should have a major edge on this Jack Nicklaus-designed layout.

Let’s dive into my outright winner, long-shot winner, and top finish market picks.

💰 Memorial Tournament picks

Here are our top golf picks for Memorial Tournament.

🏆 Memorial Tournament pick to win: Rory McIlroy (+1200)

Rory McIlroy has the skill set to win The Memorial Tournament because Muirfield Village rewards strong ball striking and controlled power off the tee. When his driver is clicking, he can separate from the field on long par 4s while still creating birdie chances on the par 5s. 

His iron play and ability to gain strokes on approach make him a strong fit for a Jack Nicklaus design that demands precision. If McIlroy keeps the ball in play and avoids big mistakes, his ceiling is higher than most in this field, making him a legitimate win threat this week.

🎯 Memorial Tournament sleeper pick: Ben Griffin (+3300)

Ben Griffin is a strong sleeper to win The Memorial Tournament because his recent form shows steady improvement across elite PGA Tour fields. He already proved he can handle Muirfield Village after finishing runner-up here last year, showing he fits the course’s demand for precision iron play and patience.

His ball-striking has been trending positively, and when he gains confidence with his approach game, he consistently puts himself in contention. If Griffin continues his current form and avoids big mistakes, he has the consistency and course history needed to outperform his odds and break through this week.

🔥 Best Memorial Tournament bets

Russell Henley top 10 finish (+140)

Russell Henley is a strong candidate for a Top 10 finish at The Memorial Tournament because his strong iron play and accuracy off the tee are perfectly suited for Muirfield Village. He consistently ranks among the best ball strikers on Tour, which is critical on a course that punishes missed greens and poor positioning.

Henley also excels in tough scoring conditions where patience and precision matter more than distance. If he maintains his usual approach consistency and avoids big mistakes on the greens, his steady all-around game gives him one of the highest floors in the field for a Top 10 finish.

💵 My betting record for golf picks

All golf picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 7.

⚖️ How I'm handicapping Memorial Tournament

I am handicapping The Memorial Tournament by prioritizing elite ball striking, especially strokes gained on approach and overall tee-to-green performance, since Muirfield Village consistently rewards precision over power. Course history and comfort on Jack Nicklaus designs are also key factors, along with current form over the last few starts. I place added emphasis on players who avoid big numbers and handle difficult scoring conditions well. Finally, I consider putting on fast Bentgrass greens and how each golfer fits the expected tournament setup, balancing statistical trends with recent momentum to identify both top-tier favorites and value-based long-shot opportunities in the field.

⛳ Memorial Tournament info 2026

• Where: Muirfield Village Golf Club (Dublin, OH)
• When: Thursday, June 4 - Sunday, June 7
• Field: 72
• Favorite: Scottie Scheffler (+310 via FanDuel)
• Defending champion: Scottie Scheffler
• Purse: $20 million
• FedEx Cup points: 700