Genesis Invitational Power Rankings & Best Bets: Plus-Money PGA Tour Prop Bets
Another PGA Tour Signature Event means we need to once again navigate an oddsboard skewed by outright favorites Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy. My Genesis Invitational power rankings seek out the proper profit opportunities with plus-money prop bets and long-shot outright picks for my top 10 golfers in this week's 72-man field.
Unlike most Signature Events, The Genesis Invitational features a 36-hole cut, with the top 50 golfers and ties advancing to the weekend.
🔋 Genesis Invitational power rankings & best bets
Here are our 2026 Genesis Invitational power rankings, with the best odds from our best golf betting sites and a bet to make for all 10 golfers:
| 📊 Ranking | 🏌️ Golfer | 🔢 Best odds to win | 💰 Bet to make |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Max Homa | +8000 via Caesars | Top 30 finish (+108 via DraftKings) |
| 9 | Viktor Hovland | +4200 via DraftKings | Top Continental European (+280 via bet365) |
| 8 | Min Woo Lee | +4500 via bet365 | Top 20 finish (+136 via DraftKings) |
| 7 | Tommy Fleetwood | +2200 via DraftKings | Top English (+182 via DraftKings) |
| 6 | Cameron Young | +3500 via Caesars | Top 5 finish (+600 via BetRivers) |
| 5 | Xander Schauffele | +2100 via DraftKings | Top 10 after Round 1 (+285 via DraftKings) |
| 4 | Patrick Cantlay | +2700 via DraftKings | Top 10 finish (+240 via FanDuel) |
| 3 | Hideki Matsuyama | +2800 via BetRivers | Top Rest of World (+430 via FanDuel) |
| 2 | Scottie Scheffler | +335 via BetRivers | Top North American (+220 via Caesars) |
| 1 | Rory McIlroy | +1400 via BetRivers | Top 5 finish (+300 via BetRivers) |
💰 Best bets for our Genesis Invitational top 10
Here's the analysis for our top 10 Genesis Invitational power rankings to help with your golf picks this week:
🥇 Rory McIlroy
Best odds to win: +1400
Best Genesis Invitational finish: T-4 (2019)
Bet to make: Top 5 finish
Why I'm Rory McIlroy: The best driver on the PGA Tour can show that off at Riviera after a Sunday round of 64 at Pebble Beach capped a T-14 finish in his season debut
🥈 Scottie Scheffler
Best odds to win: +335
Best Genesis Invitational finish: T-7 (2022)
Bet to make: Top North American
Why I'm betting Scottie Scheffler: Shot Sunday's round of the day at Pebble Beach but has struggled on approach shots from 175-200 yards this season
🥉 Hideki Matsuyama
Best odds to win: +2800
Best Genesis Invitational finish: Win (2024)
Bet to make: Top Rest of World
Why I'm betting Hideki Matsuyama: The defending tournament champion at Riviera shook off his heartbreak from the WM Phoenix Open with a T-8 finish last week while continue to ride a red-hot putter
4️⃣ Patrick Cantlay
Best odds to win: +2700
Best Genesis Invitational finish: 3 (2023)
Bet to make: Top 10 finish
Why I'm betting Patrick Cantlay: He's second on the PGA Tour in proximity to the pin on approach shots from 175-200 yards and has three top-5 finishes at Riviera
5️⃣ Xander Schauffele
Best odds to win: +2100
Best Genesis Invitational finish: T-4 (2024)
Bet to make: Top 10 after Round 1
Why I'm betting Xander Schauffele: Another of the top California natives in the field with a strong course history at Riviera but has struggled with approach shots from this week's key distance
6️⃣ Cameron Young
Best odds to win: +3500
Best Genesis Invitational finish: T-2 (2022)
Bet to make: Top 5 finish
Why I'm betting Cameron Young: Through 21 such shots, ranks 14th on Tour in proximity on approaches from 175-200 yards and has maintained strong stats in key metrics despite middling finishes so far this year
7️⃣ Tommy Fleetwood
Best odds to win: +2200
Best Genesis Invitational finish: T-10 (2024)
Bet to make: Top English
Why I'm betting Tommy Fleetwood: Started his PGA Tour season with a T-4 finish last week while excelling on and around the greens; his approach game remained sharp from his fall swing on the DP World Tour
8️⃣ Min Woo Lee
Best odds to win: +4500
Best Genesis Invitational finish: Cut (2022)
Bet to make: Top 20 finish
Why I'm betting Min Woo Lee: Missed the cut in his only appearance at Riviera to date, but was the co-runner-up amid miserable conditions last week thanks to expert play off the tee and on the greens
9️⃣ Viktor Hovland
Best odds to win: +4200
Best Genesis Invitational finish: T-4 (2022)
Bet to make: Top Continental European
Why I'm betting Viktor Hovland: An expert ball striker who ranks fifth in proximity from 175-200 yards but has struggled around the greens in his career at Riviera (and elsewhere)
🔟 Max Homa
Best odds to win: +8000
Best Genesis Invitational finish: Win (2021)
Bet to make: Top 30 finish
Why I'm betting Max Homa: One of my first Genesis Invitational picks, the Burbank, Calif., native has won here before, and a return could spark a turnaround amid horrible form for nearly two years
💡 How I'm betting The Genesis Invitational
The Genesis Invitational returns to Riviera Country Club this year after moving to Torrey Pines a year ago due to wildfires in the Los Angeles area. As such, 2025 tournament stats can be ignored and have been in the above best tournament finishes.
Riviera Country Club is a favorite of many PGA Tour pros. It's long for a par 71 at 7,383 yards with tight and windy fairways. The course had typically favored bombers off the tee for a long time but there's been a recent shift more toward accuracy off the tee with the rough grown out and being more penal.
The greens are relatively small and play firm and fast, with the added difficulty of the Poa annua greens being bumpier and more unpredictable.
I value course history at Riviera as much as anywhere on the PGA Tour, and will favor the many California-born golfers int he field. As is often the case, strokes gained: approach is the most important stat this week, and we're also heavily weighing proximity on approach shots from 175-200. I'll slightly favor accuracy over distance off the tee while trusting the top long iron ball-strikers.
Course stats
Here are the course stats for Riviera Country Club:
| Riviera Country Club | |
|---|---|
| Par | 71 |
| Yardage | 7,383 |
| Greens | Poa annua |
| Architect | George C. Thomas Jr. |
| Comparable courses | Nine Bridges, Augusta National Golf Course |
Key stats
Here are the key stats I use to handicap The Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club, and the weight I give to each stat:
- Strokes gained: approach (35%)
- Proximity from 175-200 yards (20%)
- Strokes gained: around-the-green (20%)
- Strokes gained: off-the-tee (15%)
- Bogey avoidance (10%)
🧮 Genesis Invitational bankroll management
Properly managing your bankroll is the most crucial aspect of sports betting, regardless of the sport or your preferred bet types. Our betting calculators can help you decide how much to commit to each wager, and we advise tracking your deposits, withdrawals, and bets.
Here is my split for my Genesis Invitational card. I'm not as heavily invested in Scottie Scheffler this week due to his lackluster history at Riviera Country Club.
| Bet type | % of tournament bankroll | Amount ($100 tournament bankroll) |
|---|---|---|
| Outright bets (Scottie Scheffler) | 10% | $10 (to win $33.50) |
| Outright bets (other golfers) | 10% | $10 |
| Long-shot outrights | 10% | $10 |
| Prop bets | 70% | $70 |
⛳ Genesis Invitational tournament info
- Where: The Riviera Country Club (Pacific Palisades, Calif.)
- When: Thursday, Feb. 19 - Sunday, Feb. 22
- Field: 72
- Cut: 36 holes (top 50 and ties)
- Favorite: Scottie Scheffler (+335 via BetRivers)
- Defending champion: Ludvig Aberg (Torrey Pines)
- Purse: $20 million ($4 million to first)
- FedEx Cup points: 700
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