⛳ Arnold Palmer Invitational Round 2 Picks & Predictions: Daniel Berger Leads the Pack
Last Updated: March 5, 2026 7:17 PM EST • 4 minute read Google News Link
Arnold Palmer Invitational Round 2 picks and predictions are set as the tournament heads into what should be an eventful day at Bay Hill Club & Lodge in Orlando, Florida. That makes this a great opportunity for golf bettors. With the event moving into the second round - and Bay Hill proving once again to be a demanding test - there’s still plenty of value available across nearly every betting market.
Second-round props can be especially profitable if you’ve been tracking how Thursday’s action unfolded. Weather could also play a role, with storms expected to impact the afternoon wave. The field will be chasing Daniel Berger, who sits atop the leaderboard at -9.
Let’s dive into the best value plays heading into Friday’s action, with tee times beginning at 7:40 a.m. ET.
⛳ Arnold Palmer Invitational Round 2 leaderboard & odds
Here is Arnold Palmer Invitational leaderboard heading into Round 2 at Bay Hill Club & Lodge; outright odds via FanDuel.
| Position | Golfer | Score (to par) | Odds to win |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Berger | -9 | +550 |
| T-2 | Collin Morikawa | -6 | +500 |
| T-2 | Ludvig Aberg | -6 | +850 |
| T-4 | Jhonattan Vegas | -5 | +10000 |
| T-4 | Cameron Young | -5 | +1200 |
| T-6 | Ryan Fox | -4 | +4000 |
| T-6 | Xander Schauffele | -4 | +1300 |
| T-6 | Adam Scott | -4 | +2500 |
| T-9 | Billy Horschel | -3 | +17500 |
| T-9 | Min Woo Lee | -3 | +3500 |
| T-9 | Corey Conners | -3 | +6000 |
| T-9 | Harris English | -3 | +3300 |
| T-9 | Keith Mitchell | -3 | +6000 |
| T-9 | Bud Cauley | -3 | +12500 |
| T-9 | Kurt Kitayama | -3 | +3000 |
| T-9 | Chris Gotterup | -3 | +3300 |
| T-9 | Rickie Fowler | -3 | +3500 |
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🏆 Who'll win the Arnold Palmer Invitational?
Here are my golf picks for Round 2 of the Arnold Palmer Invitational on Friday:
Collin Morikawa (+500)
Collin Morikawa is in an excellent position to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational after opening the tournament with a -6 round. Sitting tied for second place and just three shots behind leader Daniel Berger, Morikawa is well within striking distance heading into the weekend.
Bay Hill rewards elite iron play, and few players on the PGA Tour strike their approach shots better than Morikawa. His precision allows him to consistently attack pins while avoiding the big mistakes that the course often punishes. If his putter stays cooperative and he continues to generate birdie opportunities, Morikawa has all the tools to climb the leaderboard and capture the title.
💰 Best Round 2 props for the Arnold Palmer Invitational?
Tommy Fleetwood: Top-20 finish (+550)
Tommy Fleetwood still has a strong chance to finish inside the top 20 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational despite opening the tournament with a 4-over-par round. While the start wasn’t ideal, Bay Hill is known for producing volatile leaderboards, and there is still plenty of time for experienced players to climb back into contention over the remaining rounds.
Fleetwood currently sits six shots outside the projected top-20 mark, a gap that can quickly disappear on a course where conditions are challenging and scores can swing dramatically. His elite ball-striking and ability to navigate demanding layouts make him well equipped to rebound. Fleetwood has a history of bouncing back after slow starts, especially on difficult tracks that reward patience and precision. If he sharpens his approach play and finds rhythm with the putter, he has more than enough talent to erase the deficit and work his way comfortably into the top 20 by Sunday.
Justin Rose: Top English (-115)
Justin Rose is well positioned to finish as the top English player at the Arnold Palmer Invitational after opening the tournament with a solid 2-under-par round. That start puts him in striking distance of the leaders and gives him a foundation to build on over the remaining rounds. Bay Hill rewards precision, course management, and strong approach play - all strengths in Rose’s game.
While other English golfers are in the field, none combine experience, accuracy, and putting touch at this level as consistently as Rose. If he continues to capitalize on scoring opportunities and avoids costly mistakes on Bay Hill’s challenging greens, he is well equipped to climb the leaderboard. His veteran savvy and ability to handle pressure make him a strong candidate to finish as the top English player by Sunday.
Scottie Scheffler: Top-5 finish (-105)
Scottie Scheffler is in an excellent position to finish inside the top 5 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational after opening the tournament with a solid 2-under-par round. That start puts him within striking distance of the lead and gives him plenty of momentum heading into the weekend. Bay Hill demands precision off the tee, strong iron play, and an elite short game - all areas where Scheffler excels.
With his consistent approach shots and ability to capitalize on birdie opportunities, he can steadily climb the leaderboard over the next three rounds. Scheffler’s poise under pressure and experience in big PGA Tour events make him well equipped to handle the challenging conditions at Bay Hill. If he maintains accuracy, avoids mistakes, and keeps putting at a high level, he has all the tools needed to finish in the top 5 by Sunday.
Our Esten McLaren is also backing a few golfers in prime position in his Arnold Palmer Invitational picks.
🌦️ Friday's weather at Bay Hill Club & Lodge
Weather from Accuweather.com
| 🌤️ Category | 📊 Details |
|---|---|
| 🌡️ High Temperature | 86 degrees |
| 🌫️ Conditions | Partly sunny and very warm; breezy in the afternoon with a brief shower |
| 🌬️ Wind | 12 mph |
| 💨 Wind Gusts | 28 mph |
| 🌧️ Precipitation Probability | 55% |
| 🌧️ Expected Precipitation | 0.02 in |
| ☁️ Cloud Cover | 30% |
LJ Blut