Texas A&M vs. Texas Prediction & Opening Odds for College Football Black Friday

My best Texas A&M vs. Texas prediction based on the opening odds for the Black Friday matchup focuses on the recent excellent offensive play of both teams. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, Texas (ABC), with Texas A&M a 2.5-point road betting favorite.

Can No. 17 Texas slow down No. 3 Texas A&M, or will the Aggies punch their ticket to the SEC title game? The Over is rightfully one of the more popular early picks (60%), and that's where I'm looking for my college football Week 14 predictions.

🏈 Early Texas A&M vs. Texas prediction & betting preview

Stay ahead with the rest of our early college football picks for Week 14.

⬆️ Over 51.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Entering Friday’s game, Texas A&M is averaging 38.1 points per game. The Aggies have scored at least 31 in all but one contest, and they’ve topped 40 in six of their 11. 

Texas is only allowing 20.0 points per game, but the defensive play has been lackluster in recent weeks. The Longhorns have allowed at least 34 points in four consecutive contests, and on Friday, they face the 10th-best scoring offense in the nation.

The only way this total goes Under is if the Texas offense completely disappears. But this is a unit averaging 29.8 points per game, and the Longhorns have scored at least 34 in three of their last four contests. Plus, Texas A&M only ranks ninth in scoring defense in the SEC. 

BetMGM’s price of -110 implies a 52.38% chance that this Over hits. A $10 bet would pay $9.09.

📊 Live Texas A&M vs. Texas odds: Black Friday

See the latest college football odds for every game in Week 14.

🔢 Texas A&M vs. Texas opening odds

• Moneyline: Texas A&M -128 | Texas +106
• Spread: Texas A&M -2.5 (-110) | Texas +2.5 (-110)
• Over/Under: Over 51.5 (-110) | Under 51.5 (-110)

↔️ Texas A&M vs. Texas line movement

Early betting trends suggest that this total will increase and the spread will shift in favor of Texas A&M. The majority of bettors (60%) back the Over in this game, and with how well both offenses have played all year - especially Texas A&M - I wouldn’t be surprised to see this number hit 53 or more before kickoff. 

As for the spread, 64% of bettors back undefeated Texas A&M to cover as a 2.5-point favorite. With so much support for Texas A&M, I’d be shocked if this spread doesn’t hit -3 or -3.5 for at least a brief period.

📈 Texas A&M vs. Texas trends & betting notes

• The Over is 8-3 in Texas A&M games, going above the posted total by an average of 6.3 points.
• The Over has hit in just five of 11 Texas games this season. However, the Over is 3-1 in Texas’ last four contests.
• Texas is 3-8 against the spread and 0-2 against the spread as an underdog.

📺 How to watch Texas A&M vs. Texas

• Date: Friday, Nov. 28
• Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Location: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium (Austin, Texas)
• TV: ABC