Stanford vs. Miami Prediction & Odds: College Football Week 9 Betting Preview

Miami suffered its first loss of the season last week while Stanford was busy upsetting Florida State at home, and that should get the Hurricanes’ full attention as we make our Stanford vs. Miami prediction and picks.

Miami is a 30-point betting favorite ahead of kickoff at 7 p.m. ET Saturday from Hard Rock Stadium (ESPN). My college football picks are laying the massive number given Stanford’s distinct scheduling disadvantage. My college football predictions for Week 9 also limit a play on the total to the first half in case the Hurricanes get conservative with a huge lead late.

📊 Stanford vs. Miami odds: Week 9

See the latest college football odds for every game in Week 9.

✅ Stanford vs. Miami expert picks

See our experts' college football picks for every Week 9 game.

🏈 Stanford vs. Miami preview & score prediction

When Miami lost its first game last season after starting 9-0, that result tailspinned into the Hurricanes losing three of their final four games. But Miami did respond to that first loss with an immediate 28-point home win over Wake Forest, and I expect it to similarly avoid a second straight upset with a focused effort this week.

Stanford’s road struggles

The Cardinal have won both of their ACC home contests against east coast teams (Boston College and Florida State) that needed to travel across the country. Now Stanford makes the reverse trip to Miami, and the school has suffered 24-plus-point defeats in three of its four road games thus far.

Though it held Florida State to just 13 points in last week’s upset, Stanford’s defense is far from a polished product. It entered that game ranked outside the top 100 in EPA per pass and available yards allowed. And perhaps we should have seen Florida State’s offensive struggles coming, as it had scored 10 combined second-half points in the prior two games.

Stanford is 0-9 against the spread in its last nine road games against AP-ranked teams, which makes this 30-point spread at 52.38% implied odds at bet365 seem like a steal. Through bet365’s -110 odds, a $10 winning wager on a Miami cover would net $9.09 in profit.

✅ Score prediction: Miami 42, Stanford 10

🆚 Key matchup to watch

Carson Beck vs. Stanford's secondary

Hurricanes quarterback Carson Beck is coming off a career-high four-interception game. But he still completed more than 80% of his other pass attempts while averaging an elite 10.8 yards per completion. His ability to generate explosive plays will come in handy against a Stanford defense that entered last week ranked 26th nationally in third- and fourth-down defense.

Miami came into last week ranked 36th in available yards gained per drive and 33rd in early downs EPA. I therefore don't expect the Hurricanes to face many third and fourth downs early, nor do I hold confidence in Stanford’s defense if it does force those situations.

✅ Best player prop bet: Carson Beck Over 2.5 passing touchdowns (+130 via BetMGM)

📈 Stanford vs. Miami betting trends

🌤️ Stanford vs. Miami weather

Temperatures for this Stanford vs. Miami game on Saturday night will be in the high 70s, and there's an 85% probability of precipitation with a couple of showers in the area. That will make ball security important for two teams that have produced a minus turnover margin.

📺 How to watch Stanford vs. Miami

• Date: Saturday, Oct. 25
• Kickoff: 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, Fla.)
• TV: ESPN