Skip to main content

Purdue vs. LSU Odds, Picks, Predictions College Football: Will Daniels Be Enough to Push Citrus Bowl Total?

Brenden Schaeffer

Last Updated: January 2, 2023 4:28 AM EST • 2 min 26 sec read.

Jayden Daniels of the LSU Tigers looks to pass against the Georgia Bulldogs.
Jayden Daniels of the LSU Tigers looks to pass against the Georgia Bulldogs. Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images via AFP.

The Purdue Boilermakers will be without their head coach, starting quarterback, and several other offensive starters against the LSU Tigers in Monday’s Citrus Bowl. Will those absences make the Under a savvy play? Read on for our top Purdue-LSU pick based on the top odds.

Purdue (8-5) earned its Citrus Bowl berth with a strong season and Big Ten Championship Game appearance, but the Boilermakers are ravaged by opt-outs including former head coach Jeff Brohm.

LSU (9-4) was also hit by the opt-out trend, but dynamic quarterback Jayden Daniels keeps the Tigers’ offense intact. Will his playmaking ability carry the total against a ravaged Purdue side?

Here is our best Purdue vs. LSU college football Citrus Bowl pick (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our college football best bets.

Purdue vs. LSU Game Info

  • Date: Monday, Jan. 2, 1 p.m. ET
  • TV: ABC
  • Location: Camping World Stadium, Orlando, FL
  • Weather: 76 degrees, 1% chance of precipitation, 5-mph winds

Purdue vs. LSU Odds

Editor's note: Hey Ohio! Welcome to legal sports betting. Check out the best sites for Ohio sports betting and the best Ohio sportsbook promos!

Purdue vs. LSU Odds Analysis

The line opened at LSU -6 but since shifted considerably as news of Purdue’s personnel situation crystallized. LSU sits from -14.5 to -16 across our affiliated sportsbooks. However, sharps are looking to take advantage of this massive move, as 56% of the cash is on Purdue despite 62% of the tickets coming in on LSU.

The total saw some movement following the state of Purdue’s roster. After opening at 57.5, the line dropped to around 56 before hitting another dip during the day Saturday. It now ranges from 54 to 54.5 across affiliated books. 

Purdue vs. LSU Pick

Under 54.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

When this matchup was initially announced, we had dreams of a shootout between two strong offensive teams. LSU ranked 14th in adjusted offensive efficiency, while Purdue was 31st, 28 spots higher than the Boilermakers’ defense. As the weeks unfolded, though, it’s become imperative to remember these aren’t the same teams we saw during the season.

Although QB Daniels should play for LSU, he’ll be without lead receiver Kayshon Boutte. LSU dealt with significant attrition, particularly on the defensive line, but I’m not confident Purdue's offense can take advantage. 

LSU's defense gets the benefit of playing a Purdue O-line missing QB Aidan O’Connell. The Boilermaker's offense averaged 25.8 points per game this season. But with Purdue lacking its QB, head coach, two starting pass-catchers and a left guard, the Tiger's D has the edge.

Purdue was held to 3 points against Iowa and 17 against Northwestern within its last five matchups. With no sense of direction, it’s hard to imagine a quality outing against an LSU defense that ranks a college football 20th in adjusted defensive efficiency.

Purdue vs. LSU Best Odds 

DraftKings: Under 54.5 (-110)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsPointsBet
54N/A5455.5N/A
-110uN/A-110u-110uN/A

The sportsbooks are a mess for the Citrus Bowl as the game is off the board in several jurisdictions. New Jersey ordered its sportsbooks to pull Citrus Bowl bets related to Drew Brees’ affiliation with PointsBet because of a conflict of interest with his affiliation as interim assistant on Purdue’s coaching staff for this game.

The offerings depend on your state, so do some research to find the best odds. As of this writing, Caesars has the preferred line at 55.5. BetMGM and DraftKings both moved the line down to 54. All spots have the same standard -110 Under odds, so seek out the best number.

Purdue-LSU pick made 12/31/2022 at 5:31 p.m. ET.

Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:

* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Related Pages

Written By:
Brenden Schaeffer
Since graduating from the University of Missouri in 2016, Brenden Schaeffer has covered the St. Louis Cardinals and Blues hockey as a writer for KMOV in St. Louis. He also co-hosts 'The Big Show' on KTGR radio in Columbia, Missouri. The show airs in afternoon drive, weekdays from 4-6 p.m. Brenden has contributed to SBR since 2021, providing insights on NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB, and the NBA. You can download his daily baseball podcast, B-Schaeff Daily, on Spotify or Apple podcasts, and you can find Brenden across social media @bschaeffer12.