College Football Parlay Picks for Week 6: Wisconsin Gets Back to Strong Defense

Last Updated: September 11, 2024 2:42 PM EDT • 3 minute read X Social Google News Link

A whopping 10 ranked teams lost in college football last week, one more than had lost in the previous two weeks combined. Will more top programs be vulnerable this Saturday? Read on for our best parlay picks for college football's Week 6.
This week’s three-leg college football parlay involves a moneyline and two Over/Under picks, one involving a highly ranked team with significant injury concerns.
Below, we offer our parlay picks for Week 6 in college football (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook).
College Football Parlay Picks for Week 6

College Football Parlay Predictions
Wisconsin-Northwestern Under 44.5 (-105)
Wisconsin went 67-26 in eight seasons under recently fired head coach Paul Chryst. That is the third-most wins in school history, and the team was an underdog against Ohio State only in the last four seasons. Chryst's undoing was partly a defensive regression unlike anything seen before in his tenure. From 2015-21, the Badgers averaged 16.5 points per game allowed (second in FBS) and 285.0 yards per game allowed (first). However, in 2022, Wisconsin has allowed 22.0 PPG (T-46) and 316.2 YPG (T-27).
This week’s game against Northwestern represents a “get-right” opportunity against the Wildcats’ struggling offense. Northwestern is averaging 19.8 PPG (13th out of 14 Big Ten teams), and we expect the Badgers to play with emotion for interim coach Jim Leonhard, who spent six seasons as the school’s defensive coordinator.
Texas A&M-Alabama Under 52 (-110)
Alabama went into last week’s game at Arkansas, allowing 24 points per game on the road since 2021. That was a big reason the Tide had point differentials of plus-2, minus-3, plus-40, plus-2, and plus-1 in games in which they were favored by an average of 18.4 points. In that same span, the Crimson Tide defense has allowed 13.5 points per game at home and should dominate a struggling Texas A&M offense.
The Aggies’ two quarterbacks have not fared well at all this season. Haynes King has a 35 QBR, has completed 61% of his passes, has three touchdowns against four interceptions, and averaged 8.0 yards per attempt. Meanwhile, Max Johnson’s QBR is 51 while completing 61% of his passes. While he has three touchdowns to zero interceptions, he has been underwhelming with a 7.3 YPA. Johnson left the Mississippi State game due to a thumb injury and is day-to-day.
The biggest reason to like this Under is that we project Alabama QB Bryce Young to miss the game after being considered day-to-day due to an AC sprain. Backup quarterback Jalen Milroe is a former four-star prospect who had played in seven games before last week.
Milroe had 65 pass yards, 91 rush yards, and two total touchdowns while filling in for Young last week. However, Nick Saban will likely not ask Milroe to do too much in terms of pushing the ball downfield, as he does not have the top-level accuracy of Young. Thus, look for more zone reads to take advantage of Milroe’s athleticism while limiting the Crimson Tide’s offensive ceiling.
Florida ML (-410)
Underdog Missouri will likely get much of the betting attention this week after its near upset of Georgia last week. The Tigers led 22-12 with 14 minutes left against a Bulldogs team that people were starting to declare was better than last year’s national championship team. However, the Tigers squandering such a lead and now having to go on the road to play a solid Florida team after the physical toll Georgia took on them is a tough ask.
Gators quarterback Anthony Richardson has back-to-back games with two touchdown passes after not throwing a single touchdown over the first three weeks. This week, he will continue his evolvement as a pocket passer and help cash our easiest leg of the parlay.
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College football parlay picks made 10/5/2022 at 6:47 a.m. ET.

Mike Spector X social