Ball State vs. Toledo Picks, Predictions College Football Week 11: Rockets Ready for Midweek Matchup
The Ball State Cardinals and Toledo Rockets are the top two teams in the MAC West. With a win, Toledo would all but wrap up a berth in the MAC title game. Read on for our top Ball State-Toledo picks and predictions.
The Cardinals won four of their last five games to move within one game of a bowl berth and one game of the MAC West lead. They have won back-to-back road games, despite being touchdown underdogs in both outings, and will look to pull a third road upset in a row this week against Toledo.
The Rockets also won four of their last five games, and they are 4-1 in conference play. With a win this week, they would hold a two-game lead over their next closest competitor in the MAC West with just two games remaining.
Here are our Ball State vs. Toledo college football picks for Week 11 (odds via BetMGM, PointsBet, and DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Check out our college football picks roundup for Week 11.
Ball State vs. Toledo Game Info
Date: Tuesday, Nov. 8, 8 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Location: Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH
Weather: 36 degrees, 1% chance of precipitation, 7-mph winds
Ball State vs. Toledo Odds
Ball State vs. Toledo Odds Analysis
Toledo opened as a consensus 12-point favorite but that has dipped to 11 points with 70% of the ATS tickets accounting for 81% of the handle on Ball State.
The Over/Under has also dropped, from a consensus opening line of 51.5 to 50.5. This seems to be reverse line movement with 86% of the tickets accounting for 80% of the handle on the Over.
Ball State vs. Toledo Picks
Ball State vs. Toledo ATS Pick
Toledo -11.5 (-110) ★★★★
The Rockets are perfect at home this season, and they have been dominating their opponents. In conference play, they have outscored their opponents by an average of 21 points per game. When you include nonconference games, the margin increases to 31.
The Cardinals have been quite good on the road this season. They are 2-2 straight up, with one of their losses coming to Tennessee in Week 1. They have been at least touchdown-underdogs in all of their road games, including both MAC games that they have won.
Yet, the edge in this one goes to the Rockets because of what their offense can do. They’re averaging 35.9 points per game, and they have scored 27 in all but two games this season. At home their lowest total is 37.
Ball State vs. Toledo O/U Pick
Over 51.5 (-110) ★★★
If this was being played at Ball State, then the Under might actually be the better play. However, as it stands, the Rockets have been great offensively at home this season, and the Cardinals are allowing 27.2 points per game.
The key to this game going Over will be the offensive play of the Cardinals. They’re averaging just over 21 points per game in their last four contests. If they can get to that number again this week, against a defense allowing 26.9 points per game, then this one may get into the 60s.
Ball State vs. Toledo Prop Pick
Ball State to score 20-plus points (-135) ★★★
Though the Cardinals have failed to clear this number in two of their last three games, the Rockets have allowed four consecutive opponents to score at least 20 points. When the Rockets blow out their opponents, they do so by simply out-scoring them.
In their three biggest wins of conference play, they outscored their opponents by at least 20 in all of the contests, but they also gave up 30 or more points in two of the three games.
Where to Bet on Ball State vs. Toledo Picks
Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:
Ball State vs. Toledo picks made 11/7/2022 at 11:20 a.m. ET
Related Articles
