Alabama vs. Oklahoma Prediction & Picks: College Football Week 13

We make the best Alabama vs. Oklahoma prediction, as the two SEC foes meet in Week 13.

Philip Wood

Last Updated: November 23, 2024 12:30 PM EST • 5 minute read

Alabama linebacker Jihaad Campbell peeks into the backfield against Vanderbilt. We're backing the Crimson Tide in our Alabama vs. Oklahoma prediction. — Alabama linebacker Jihaad Campbell peeks into the backfield against Vanderbilt. Photo by Steve Roberts via Imagn Images.

The Oklahoma Sooners (5-5) host the No. 7 Alabama Crimson Tide (8-2) as they look to pull an upset and secure bowl eligibility.

It’s hard to ignore what the Crimson Tide have done in their last three games when making our Alabama vs. Oklahoma prediction. They’ve outscored their opponents 128-20, beating LSU 42-13 on the road and defeating Missouri 34-0 - they've been so impressive that they're -1000 by the College Football Playoff odds.

But can they cover a 13.5-point spread in Saturday night’s 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC) game at Memorial Stadium in Norman, Okla.?

The Sooners have lost four consecutive games against SEC opponents, and four of their five conference losses have been by at least 10 points. Our Week 13 college football predictions don't expect them to turn it around against Bama.

Alabama vs. Oklahoma prediction & best bet

College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. Odds subject to change.

Against the spread pick: Alabama -13.5 (-110 via BetMGM) vs. Oklahoma ⭐⭐⭐
My best bet: Jackson Arnold Under 178.5 passing yards (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Alabama vs. Oklahoma ATS prediction: Week 13

Alabama to cover the spread: - 13.5 ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 52.38%

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The first year in the SEC hasn’t been kind to the Sooners. They’re averaging just 21.3 points per game, 172.4 passing yards per game, and 116.8 rushing yards per game. Those offensive statistics rank 103rd, 116th, and 106th, respectively, in the nation.

So how will the offense come to life against a defense allowing just 18 points and 338.3 yards per game? They won’t.

The Crimson Tide haven’t allowed more than 25 points in any of their last five games. Over the last three weeks, they’ve held every opponent to fewer than 14 points.

Crimson Tide roll over Sooners’ defense

As if the offensive struggles for the Sooners weren’t bad enough, their defense has been a disaster as well. While they’re only allowing 22.8 points per game, they’ve allowed three of the last four SEC opponents they’ve faced to score 30 points against them, and in home SEC games, they’ve been outscored 94-27.

The Crimson Tide are averaging 38.1 points per game, which ranks sixth in the nation. With very little resistance, they should put up over 30 points in this game.

However, I’m only making this a three-star play, as the Sooners did mostly shut down the offenses of Ole Miss and Tennessee, and lost those games by fewer than 13 points.

Our C Jackson Cowart is also backing the Crimson Tide as part of his college football Week 13 expert picks.

Alabama vs. Oklahoma best bet

Our NEW college football player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Jackson Arnold Under 178.5 passing yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -115 via bet365 | Implied probability: 53.49%

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Arnold has thrown for more than 200 yards in just two games this season.

One of those performances came against Maine two weeks ago, while the other came in a 35-9 loss to South Carolina. He has thrown for 182 yards or fewer in his other six games, and he’s thrown for fewer than 100 yards twice this season.

The Crimson Tide have the 34th-ranked pass defense in the nation. They’re allowing just 198.3 passing yards per game, and they’ve kept most of their opponents in check, despite playing with massive leads.

Arnold has been behind by multiple scores many times this season, but his season-high is just 225 yards. So even if his team trails by double digits for most of the game, he won’t be able to pick up easy yards against this defense.

FanDuel has this total set at 173.5, which is five yards less than the number that bet365 and Caesars are offering. Since bet365 is offering the best price of the two sportsbooks with the total set at 178.5, it's the place to wager.

Alabama vs. Oklahoma odds

See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.

Alabama vs. Oklahoma live odds

Alabama vs. Oklahoma opening odds:

Alabama: -2.5 (-105)
Oklahoma: +2.5 (-115)

Alabama vs. Oklahoma game info

When: Saturday, Nov. 23
Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
Where: Memorial Stadium (Norman, Okla.)
How to watch: ABC
Weather: 57 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, wind 17 mph S
Favorite: Alabama -13.5 (-110 via BetMGM)

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Written by:
Philip Wood

Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.