College Football ATS Picks for Bowl Season: Will Sam Hartman Win Finale With Wake Forest?

In 2022, there are 43 bowl games this postseason including the three College Football Playoff games. Read on for our three best spread bets for the college football bowl season.
It can be tough to find against the spread value in bowl season because there are matchups between teams that have no common opponents, matchups between teams who played in leagues of varying difficulty, and there are always players who sit out as they attempt to stay healthy for the NFL Draft. Yet, of the 43 games, there are three against-the-spread bets that we feel offer great value this bowl season.
Here are our three best ATS picks for the 2022 college football bowl season (odds via Caesars and FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5 star scale).
College Football ATS Bets for Bowl Season
- UConn +10.5 (-115 via FanDuel)
- Wake Forest -1 (-110 via Caesars)
- Washington +5.5 (-110 via FanDuel)
Top ATS Picks College Football Bowl Season
UConn +10.5 (-115) ★★★★
The only thing preventing Jim Mora from being Coach of the Year is that his team doesn’t play in the Power Five. He took over a program that had not won more than three games since 2015, and had a combined four wins in their last three seasons, and he made them bowl-eligible in the first year.
His team played incredibly well down the stretch, winning three of four and knocking off the Liberty Flames and Boston College Eagles. The Marshall Thundering Herd are a tough team, and they have won four in a row. Yet, they primarily win with their defense, which makes it difficult for them to pull away from opponents.
The Huskies should be able to hang around in this game, and keep the deficit to single digits. After all, they have only lost one game by more than 10 points since Oct. 1.
Wake Forest -1 (-110) ★★★★
The Missouri Tigers are a trendy upset pick heading into bowl season, because they are going against a struggling Wake Forest Demon Deacons’ defense. Yet, while the Demon Deacons have lost four of five and have allowed at least 30 points in five consecutive games, the Tigers’ offense simply isn’t good enough to keep up with the Demon Deacons.
Quarterback Sam Hartman has already stated that he won’t be returning to Wake Forest next season. Therefore, this will be his last game to light up the scoreboard and defeat an SEC opponent.
The Demon Deacons averaged 36.8 points per game this season, and Missouri allowed 25 per contest. Meanwhile, the Tigers have scored just 30 points three times all season, and none of those instances were against Power Five competition. If the Demon Deacons can get into the 30s offensively, no matter how bad their defense plays, they’re going to win.
Washington +5.5 (-110) ★★★★
The Washington Huskies have the best passing attack in all of college football, while the Texas Longhorns are allowing 239 passing yards per game. Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. threw for 4,354 yards, 29 touchdowns, and just seven interceptions all while playing in a very tough Pac-12.
The Big 12 was solid this season as well, and it should not be disregarded that Texas has a win over the Kansas State Wildcats. Yet, the Longhorns have struggled with good offensive teams this season. They lost 41-34 to the Oklahoma State Cowboys, and though their defense played great against the TCU Horned Frogs, they still lost 17-10.
The Huskies have scored 30 points in all but two games this season, yet they are 2-0 in games where they scored in the 20s. Texas is 0-2 when allowing opponents to score 30 or more points. The Huskies may not win, but this is going to be a close game from start to finish, and with their offense, there is no reason to think they don’t keep this within a field goal.
Where to Bet on Bowl Season
College football ATS picks made 12/13/2022 at 10:24 a.m. ET