EP36's Lucky 7 Lounge

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  • beefcake
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-26-09
    • 14029

    #71
    Like the over here..2 meetings between them and both over 20...+ money..Good luck man on wozi..
    Comment
    • EaglesPhan36
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-06-06
      • 71662

      #72
      Going to put these up for the final slots if Woz hits because I am going to be busy training in the morning, this is the order:

      Slot 5: Youzhny [St.Petersburg] -325
      Slot 6: Janowicz [Szczecin] -320
      Slot 7: Tsonga [Metz] -885
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #73
        Don't know what the fukk has happened to Youzhny. Since he won the opening set, he's barely been able to do anything - losing eight of nine games. Looks like this one is fried.
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #74
          Holy Balls! Youzhny broke back and broke again. Now up 5-2 in the 3rd. Quick f-ing turnaround and the parlay may stay intact to Slot 6!
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #75
            Youzhny survives!
            Comment
            • tevari
              SBR MVP
              • 02-02-07
              • 4959

              #76
              The guy's got heart. I backed him a lot back in 2009-2010 but for some reason I never like the odds listed on him these days - favorite or underdog. I think a streak of unfavorable retirements lead to me quasi blacklisting him when he had back issues. I know you have a man-crush on him and a hetero-crush on Zvonareva. Should I call you Eaglesphanov now?
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #77
                I dunno but I am going to lead the I Hate Jersey Janowicz club. He's in the shitter and will be the parlay killer instead.
                Comment
                • Demonata
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 07-12-11
                  • 25829

                  #78
                  Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                  I dunno but I am going to lead the I Hate Jersey Janowicz club. He's in the shitter and will be the parlay killer instead.
                  Can I join? Going to screw my parlay.
                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #79
                    Well Tsonga was indeed a good play @ +150 to win Metz. Here's a quickie preview for this week:

                    ATP Bangkok [Indoor]
                    Tipsarevic, Gasquet, Raonic & Simon as the top four seeds. A seeded player has won eight of nine titles @ this event. Tipsarevic has a nice semifinal draw. Verdasco is the toughest potential opponent. Haase probably first-up, but on this surface Tipsarevic has the power edge. Simon is the seed in the next quarter. He has a 6-1 record at this event, but his form is sketchy at-best. Monfils, Troicki & Stakhovksy all loom in the bottom of his quarter. Simon could get through here, but the quarter looks pretty open with Monfils potentially a good shot here after a nice start with his comeback last week @ Metz.

                    Gasquet will be up against it right off the bat in his quarter. He could face Dimitrov who is solid on this surface. The winner of that 2nd round match is likely the semifinalist from this quarter. Tomic & Garcia-Lopez will be an interesting 1st rounder with the winner the favorite to go to the quarters, but I like Gasquet or Dimitrov here. Raonic's quarter has Karlovic potentially as his first match. Nieminen and Petzschner litter the other part of the quarter. There's nothing here to trouble Raonic if his serve is pumping. He can be a bit lazy even and get through here on serve alone.


                    Tipsarevic +250
                    Monfils +700
                    Raonic +350


                    ATP Kuala Lumpur [Indoor]
                    Ferrer, Monaco, Nishikori and Dolgpolov as the seeds. That list right there should tell you this is the lesser of the two tourneys and also the one that looks likely to feature more upsets. Ferrer has a semifinal draw with Feliciano Lopez potentially the only road block in the quarters and it might be a stretch for his inconsistent ass to get there. Dolgopolov is in the quarter below. Really a simple draw for him to the semis, but what is ever simple for him? Benneteau could be the spoiler.

                    Monaco really isn't a guy who you would think of doing much on a quick surface, but he had quite a run in 2011 on the year-end indoor tourneys. He made the final in Valencia and the QFs in Paris. His draw should see him through to the quarters and a semifinal shot isn't far fetched with Melzer, Baker and Pospisil as the contenders in the top part of the quarter. Watch Baker. He has faded late this year, but this surface suits him and the draw also allots him a shot. Pospisil is confusing. I see him listed as withdrawing from qualis, but he's in the main draw. I'd avoid Melzer v. Pospisil at all costs. I'd give Monaco the edge to the semis.Nishikori still seems a gimpy play this week. He could make it through his 1st match, but he looks primed to be picked off before the semis. Intriguing first rounder with Klizan and Davydenko. Klizan won his first ATP title and I would look for a hangover potentially ... Davydenko was decent last week and young players often don't know how to follow up winning their first title as far as managing schedule/emotions. A huge learning experience for Klizan this week. If he has a good mindset, don't count him out of another run. I look at the winner between Davydenko and Klizan as the potential spoiler in this quarter & I have a feeling it might be the Donkey.


                    Ferrer +110
                    Monaco +800

                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #80
                      Parlay #1: +2.78 units
                      Parlay #2: -1.00 units
                      Parlay #3: -1.00 units
                      Parlay #4: -1.00 units
                      Parlay #5: +2.70 units
                      Parlay #6: -1.00 units
                      Parlay #7: -1.00 units

                      Lucky 7 OPEN Parlay #8
                      Slot 1: Dimitrov [Bangkok] -450
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #81
                        Barely survived Slot 1, but survived.

                        Lucky 7 OPEN Parlay #8
                        Slot 1: Dimitrov [Bangkok] -450 W

                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #82
                          Slot 2: Kerber [Tokyo] -600
                          Comment
                          • EaglesPhan36
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-06-06
                            • 71662

                            #83
                            Going to work some angles like I try with draws in soccer. Calling this the Split Dog Project. Just testing things out to wind down the season. Idea is to take two dogs, you win one and you profit. Flat betting of one unit per play.

                            WTA Split Dog Project #1
                            Bartoli +135
                            Martic +310
                            Comment
                            • beefcake
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-26-09
                              • 14029

                              #84
                              Good job man,Love Martic as well..
                              Comment
                              • bane
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 09-14-12
                                • 630

                                #85
                                A unit on Bartoli and half that on Martic. Thanks for the picks.
                                Comment
                                • EaglesPhan36
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 71662

                                  #86
                                  ATP Split Dog Project #1
                                  Andujar +145
                                  Inglot +800
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #87
                                    The first of many 0-2 tries on WTA
                                    Comment
                                    • QuangX
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-03-11
                                      • 2756

                                      #88
                                      Eaglephan, What do you think about Go seoda over the thailand dude?
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #89
                                        Lucky 7 OPEN Parlay #8
                                        Slot 1: Dimitrov [Bangkok] -450 W
                                        Slot 2: Kerber [Tokyo] -600 W

                                        Adding ...

                                        Slot 3: Sousa [Madrid] -520
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #90
                                          Dogs all lost.
                                          Comment
                                          • Dmoneytx
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-09-12
                                            • 6450

                                            #91
                                            What's up EP?? Hope you have been doing well man. I was out of town for about a week. We are finally getting some cool weather in Houston, hope Dallas is following suit.....
                                            Good luck today, just wanted to say hi. Laters.
                                            Comment
                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-06-06
                                              • 71662

                                              #92
                                              Another parlay about to crap out. Meh. Maybe I should just keep all my plays "off the table" so to speak. Seem to be the only ones I win.
                                              Comment
                                              • Bdolan33
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-02-12
                                                • 1255

                                                #93
                                                its all about the favorites this week
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #94
                                                  If this were true, my open parlay would be alive.


                                                  As far as the ATP-WTA level tourneys go, yes. Fortunately as I said - I have made a few off the board bets and mostly evened out for the week. End of the year is somewhat of a tough time as I remember ... not that all year isn't tough, but guys being banged up, worn out or uncertain on motivation ... sometimes difficult to figure out who is ready to do what. Really the only ones I should bet worth a shit other than recreational units are the two Masters events left and the Tour Finals.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Bdolan33
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-02-12
                                                    • 1255

                                                    #95
                                                    Any WTA bets?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #96
                                                      Petrova
                                                      Stosur
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #97
                                                        Parlay #1: +2.78 units
                                                        Parlay #2: -1.00 units
                                                        Parlay #3: -1.00 units
                                                        Parlay #4: -1.00 units
                                                        Parlay #5: +2.70 units
                                                        Parlay #6: -1.00 units
                                                        Parlay #7: -1.00 units
                                                        Parlay #8: -1.00 units

                                                        Time to charge forward with another.

                                                        Lucky 7 OPEN Parlay #9
                                                        Slot 1: Tipsarevic [Bangkok] -255
                                                        Slot 2: Kuznetsov [Lermontov] -390
                                                        Comment
                                                        • bettoradvice
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 09-26-12
                                                          • 22

                                                          #98
                                                          Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                          Slot 1: Tipsarevic [Bangkok] -255
                                                          Comment
                                                          • shimeon40
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-15-12
                                                            • 2319

                                                            #99
                                                            davydenko the criminal ..managed to make it to first set exactly before retiring..
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #100
                                                              Kuznetsov in action, but adding this for the next slot now ...

                                                              Slot 3: Benneteau [Kuala Lumpur] -360
                                                              Comment
                                                              • shimeon40
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-15-12
                                                                • 2319

                                                                #101
                                                                Easy money by the look ep..benneteau vs monkey...pays peanuts though
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #102

                                                                  Lucky 7 OPEN Parlay #9
                                                                  Slot 1: Tipsarevic [Bangkok] -255 W
                                                                  Slot 2: Kuznetsov [Lermontov] -390 W

                                                                  Slot 3: Benneteau [Kuala Lumpur] -360 W


                                                                  So far, so good.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Slot 4: Radwanska [Tokyo] -370
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • beermankirk
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-17-09
                                                                      • 1512

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Really enjoyed you doing these and your thoughts on -200 to -500 favorites, I didn't go for 7 in a row , but would take a 2 or 3 teamer on some of your bets...

                                                                      Get back on the Horse?
                                                                      Comment
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