LF Tennis Predictions (2012)

**adila1401** · 07-09-12, 11:14 AM

thx Lou..really appreciate your pricks

**Dad** · 07-09-12, 11:20 AM

Solid work, Lou.

**greenhippo** · 07-09-12, 11:27 AM

Will start tailing for the action, guy looks solid as a rock.

**loufunk** · 07-09-12, 11:36 AM

Tournament: Umag
Match: Sousa vs Bachinger
Pick: Sousa
Odd: 1.89 (BF)
Stake: 10 u

My Rating
Sousa 120.67
Bachinger 111.40

Tournament: Stuttgart
Match: Darcis vs Montanes
Pick: Darcis +2.5 games
Odd: 1.78
Stake: 10 u

My Rating
Darcis 126.93
Montanes 110.71

GL

**greenhippo** · 07-09-12, 11:49 AM

Lou, should I still take Darcis +2(-110)?

**cheven** · 07-09-12, 12:10 PM

Hi Lou, I just finished making my model, and both of your picks (J Sousa and Darcis) agree with my model. I'm going to take Darcis outright at 2.44 odds because the +2.5 was a bit wider. Thanks again for you picks and BOL

**loufunk** · 07-09-12, 01:20 PM

Tournament: Newport
Match: Sela vs Dancevic
Pick: Dancevic +2.5 games
Odd: 1.74 (BF)
Stake: 10 u

My Rating
Sela 91.25
Dancevic 93.47

Tournament: Newport
Match: Rochus vs Soeda
Pick: Rochus
Odd: 1.60 (BF)
Stake: 10 u

My Rating
Rochus 99.13
Soeda 87.32

Tournament: Newport
Match: Young vs Russell
Pick: Russell
Odd: 1.71 (BF)
Stake: 10 u

My Rating
Young 56.37
Russell 90.07

GL

**greenhippo** · 07-09-12, 01:22 PM

Darcis looking good

**msetai** · 07-09-12, 01:27 PM

hey LF, thanks for the picks man!

would you be able to provide some insight...my book only has money line, NO total or spread. so for Pick: Dancevic +2.5 games it seems like that is a spread bet. my book shows Dancevic (+120), would you take the money line or just skip the bet?

also moving forward (im assuming there will be similar bets to the Dancevic one) would you skip it or bet the money line?

thanks for all your help, i really appreciate it

**loufunk** · 07-09-12, 01:49 PM

uhm.. before I answer, could you write me down wich book you use? Just to see the lines.. but if you don't have handicaps, just bet ML.
if I were you, I would look for a book that gives me much opportunities to bet

**msetai** · 07-09-12, 02:20 PM

LF, its a local book

but tennis is limited, this is an example i guess:

Jul 09	4605	M. LARCHER DE BRITO		-112
	3:30 PM	4606	J. GAJDOSOVA		-108
	Jul 09	4607	G MIN		+173
	5:00 PM	4608	C SCHEEPERS		-205
	Jul 09	4621	M. CZINK		-125
	11:30 PM	4622	C. VANDEWEGHE		+105
	Jul 09	4627	S. STEPHENS		-155
	10:10 PM	4628	H. WATSON		+135

**loufunk** · 07-09-12, 02:42 PM

mmm very hard to bet in this situation.. .

try ml when I say handicap, but you know better than me, it's not the same

**msetai** · 07-09-12, 02:51 PM

yes you are 100% correct. but when you list Pick: Rochus that is just the money line right? only when it says Pick: Darcis +2.5 games or Pick: Dancevic +2.5 games then i am at a disadvantage because i dont have this option. when you say handicap would it look like Pick: Dancevic +2.5 games (Handicap)? and then i know it would be ok to do ml?

thanks again man, i know this can be annoying for you

**colout** · 07-09-12, 03:39 PM

Sousa is the biggest cun't on the court.. how many chances did he have to close the match? Total garbage!

**benandjerry** · 07-09-12, 04:21 PM

Originally posted by colout

Sousa is the biggest cun't on the court.. how many chances did he have to close the match? Total garbage!

Think he went 1/10 break points in the 3rd, terrible... was on him too.

**Dmoneytx** · 07-09-12, 04:55 PM

Tough loss on Dancevic Lou. I don't think he is 100% healthy from his injury, which is why I stayed away from him today for sure. But also this was a match where he should of been really favored if he was healthy, but that line told ya something was up, or so I thought. I think you have done well on your other picks! GREAT JOB!!
Also, Sousa I saw play earlier this year live, he is a typical Challanger player.........can go from hot to cold & choke it up at a big moment. That was a tough loss too. He should of won that match, but he really has no weapons at all on the court & steady play by Bachinger was all it took to force that tiebreaker.
The one that really surprised me was Darcis. I saw him in Dallas, again not any weapons at all. Montanes just made the finals of a tment on clay before Wimbledon, so I knew he would be wanting to quickly get back on that surface. Montanes played a terrible first set & then got the break up 3-1 in the second. From there he was even worse & made it way too easy for Darcis to steal a few games. Good call there Lou! But I really thought Montanes would take that match from the way both players have been playing the last month.

I wish you alot of luck & hope we get those books to send us some green!!! BOL to you!

**loufunk** · 07-09-12, 05:56 PM

I don't like to loose in two ways : like sousa did and like dancevic did.
lack of mental power first case, lack of form the second.
you can win or loose, but fighting till the end, not throwing away what you had on your hand. I'm sorry for these silly calls.

**loufunk** · 07-09-12, 07:12 PM

Picks = 65
Won = 42
Lost = 23
Void = 0
Pending = 0
Winning % = +64.61%
Staked = 650.00 u
Won = 761.00 u
Profit = +111.00 u
ROI: +17.07%

**loufunk** · 07-09-12, 07:44 PM

Tournament: Stanford
Match: Stephens vs Watson
Pick: Watson +2.5 games
Odd: 2.04 (BF)
Stake: 10 u

My Rating
Stephens 92.51
Watson 113.86

GL

**loufunk** · 07-09-12, 07:49 PM

Tournament: Stanford
Match: Czink vs Vanderweghe
Pick: Czink
Odd: 2.04 (BF)
Stake: 10 u

My Rating
Czink 100.19
Vanderweghe 89.60

GL

**loufunk** · 07-09-12, 07:50 PM

.. and now I go to sleep, here it's 2.50 am

good night

**swordsandtequila** · 07-09-12, 09:21 PM

**imzdeals** · 07-09-12, 09:43 PM

good stuff LF... bovada gave me a free $10 tennis bet, I'll be going all in on every bet to try to get up to $100. went all in on harrison today and won, now all in on czink

**That Guy** · 07-10-12, 12:48 AM

What a b!tch.. Didn't even bother showing up today.

**adila1401** · 07-10-12, 12:51 AM

Originally posted by That Guy

What a b!tch.. Didn't even bother showing up today.

haha my thoughts exactly..Czink just r@aped me for a cool 5 hundo...i hope she twists an ankle in the last game

**Jong** · 07-10-12, 12:58 AM

Yup she was scando im having bad luck today missing thenlou winners making it just in time to bet a loser haha on to the next day

**loufunk** · 07-10-12, 03:27 AM

Picks = 67
Won = 43
Lost = 24
Void = 0
Pending = 0
Winning % = +64.17%
Staked = 670.00 u
Won = 781.40 u
Profit = +111.40 u
ROI: +16.62%

**loufunk** · 07-10-12, 03:49 AM

Tournament: Stuttgart
Match: Phau vs Fischer
Pick: Phau
Odd: 1.55 (BF)
Stake: 10 u

My Rating
Phau 110.24
Fischer 101.72

GL

**cheven** · 07-10-12, 04:00 AM

hey Lou, thanks for the pick, i also have some on Phau
I'd be interested in your thoughts on the Paire v Petzschner match
Petzschner looks like good value to me, what do you think?

**loufunk** · 07-10-12, 04:02 AM

Originally posted by cheven

hey Lou, thanks for the pick, i also have some on Phau
I'd be interested in your thoughts on the Paire v Petzschner match
Petzschner looks like good value to me, what do you think?

Am I on time if I check this match in half an hour?

**cheven** · 07-10-12, 04:04 AM

Originally posted by loufunk

Am I on time if I check this match in half an hour?

yeah, i think it starts in a couple hours, cheers
p.s. odds have come down a bit, was 2.9 before, now 2.72 on BF

**slimey** · 07-10-12, 05:41 AM

Hey Lou.. love your work (;

any value inRobin Haase vs Lukas Rosol ??? Lukas Rosol seems good value?

**loufunk** · 07-10-12, 06:00 AM

Tournament: Bastad
Match: Bautista vs Minar
Pick: Bautista
Odd: 1.70 (BF)
Stake: 10 u

My Rating

Bautista 113.54
Minar 112.70

GL

**loufunk** · 07-10-12, 06:02 AM

Originally posted by slimey

Hey Lou.. love your work (;

any value inRobin Haase vs Lukas Rosol ??? Lukas Rosol seems good value?

Haase is crazy horse, I won't play that match, I just give a little edge to him
Rosol 120.03
Haase 122.07

**loufunk** · 07-10-12, 06:09 AM

Tournament: Stuttgart
Match: Paire vs Petzschner
Pick: Paire
Odd: 1.57 (BF)
Stake: 10 u

My Rating
Paire 123.36
Petzschner 95.13

GL