[serc]

What do you have for today Erkan? you think Marin Cilic and David Nalbandian parlay is likely to cash? Thanks for your response and good luck!

[erkanua]

I haven't looked at all games for today. I probably have one big play and I will post my plays in 3-4 hours. Now, I am just interested in soccer and european basketball games...

[serc]

I see, do you have thread for eurobasket and soccer. as well? Thanks

[erkanua]

No, in SBR I'm just posting my tennis plays.

[erkanua]

Tomic vs F.Lopez : Tomic is in his home-court and I know he is very young, talented boy. He will probably be in Top 20 in few years. He passed Jeremy Chardy in straight sets at first round and prove that he is able to beat higher ranked players. However, when I looked at his previous Autralian Open matches, this is regular for him. He won first matches and then lost the second matches three times in this tournement. I think beating Lopez will be too much for him at this moment and this age. #30 ranked player against #199 ranked player and we have almost even odds. I think there is lot of value in Lopez side here.


Feliciano Lopez ML @ 1.70 (x4)
Feliciano Lopez -2.5 games @ 1.95 (x3)

[erkanua]

Nalbandian -6 games @ 2.00 (x1)
Cilic ML + Nalbandian ML @ 1.80 (x2)
Seppi +6.5 games @ 1.90 (x1)
Stepanek ML @ 1.75 (x2)
Isner - Stepanek over 41.5 @ 1.85 (x1)
Youzhny -1.5 set + Nadal 3-0 + Garcia Lopez -1.5 set @ 2.12 (x1)

[erkanua]

Navarro - Clijsters under 16.5 @ 1.90 (x1)
Jankovic ML + Clijsters 2-0 + Stosur ML @ 2.15 (x1)

[erkanua]

Clijsters is just playing unbelievable tennis right now..and it was an easy winner also

[erkanua]

I can't believe that Lopez lost this match and as well in straight sets...

[erkanua]

Stepanek -1.5 games + Nalbandian -1.5 sets @ 2.80 (x5)

[erkanua]

wow absolutely the worst day of my life..I almost won nothing..

[Mirar Baseball]

I almost joined you in this chase. Lost both on Stepanek and Nalbandian, but could have lost double (or triple) the amount. It's a good thing I slept through most of this nightmare.

The only good thing about a night like this is ... the next day is always better.

Well, shit.

[erkanua]

Feliciano Lopez ML @ 1.70 (x4) = -4.00
Feliciano Lopez -2.5 games @ 1.95 (x3) = -3.00

Nalbandian -6 games @ 2.00 (x1)
Cilic ML + Nalbandian ML @ 1.80 (x2) = -2.00
Seppi +6.5 games @ 1.90 (x1) = +0.90
Stepanek ML @ 1.75 (x2) = -2.00
Isner - Stepanek over 41.5 @ 1.85 (x1) = -1.00
Youzhny -1.5 set + Nadal 3-0 + Garcia Lopez -1.5 set @ 2.12 (x1) =-1.00

Navarro - Clijsters under 16.5 @ 1.90 (x1) = +0.90
Jankovic ML + Clijsters 2-0 + Stosur ML @ 2.15 (x1) = -1.00

Stepanek -1.5 games + Nalbandian -1.5 sets @ 2.80 (x5) = -5.00

-17.20

Overall record : 34 - 35 - 3 = -03.03

[erkanua]

wow...let's start it again..who is with me?

[JC2008]

Think Sharapova wins today?

[erkanua]

Yes, she will probably win it but I can't see any value in these odds which is between 1.40-1.50.

[erkanua]

Wozniacki - Cibulkova : Revenge of their last match which was few days ago in Sydney and Cibulkova won it in straight sets. Now, it is more serious match in Grand Slam and I think this time Caroline will win it in straight sets as she did 5 times against his opponent.

Henin - Kuznetsova : Do you really pay me 1.40 if I am with 16-2 h2h? I don't really care about Kuznetsova's form because she just defeated +100 ranked players in this tournement. Justine beat her exactly 16 times in 18 matches and she did this 12 times in straight sets. I just can't see Svetlana will be the winner here.

Wozniacki 2-0 + Henin ML @ 2.35 (x5)
Henin 2-0 @ 1.95 (x2)

[erkanua]

Wozniacki ML + Azarenka 2-0 + Roddick ML + Djokovic ML + Federer 3-0 @ 3.00 (x2)
Djokovic -6.5 games @ 1.90 (x1)
Federer - Malisse under 30.5 games @ 1.90 (x1)

[erkanua]

Wozniacki 2-0 + Henin ML @ 2.35 (x5) = -5.00
Henin 2-0 @ 1.95 (x2) = -2.00

Wozniacki ML + Azarenka 2-0 + Roddick ML + Djokovic ML + Federer 3-0 @ 3.00 (x2) = +4.00
Djokovic -6.5 games @ 1.90 (x1) = +0.90
Federer - Malisse under 30.5 games @ 1.90 (x1) = +0.90

-1.20

Overall record : 37 - 37 - 3 = -04.23

[erkanua]

I have an early play for tonight games. I think this best should be the bet of this thread so far and will be the highest one.

Isner vs Cilic : First of all, I think Cilic is more talented and completely better player than Isner in this one. The only problem was his mental quality and his shot selections in critical points. However, Isner's game is just based on his serves and Cilic will be dominant in rallies when Isner starts to miss his first serves. Cilic played against Young and Giraldo so far and won both matches in straight sets. Isner played against Serra and Stepanek, lost first set against Stepanek. I don't believe Isner is %100 fit and in his top form. Cilic proved me that he is better than last year in his previous matches. Cilic is 3 age younger than Isner but he played 57 matches in Grand Slams whereas Isner only played 26 times. Isner just won 15 of 26, Cilic won 39 of that 57 matches in Grand Slams. Cilic also won %63 of his matches against Big Servers whereas Isner's performance is %58. Isner is 16-19 when his odds is between 2.00-2.99 and I can't see him winning as an underdog again after Stepanek match. Also, I'm not sure this will be a 5 setter.


Cilic ML @ 1.70 (x10)
Cilic -1.5 set @ 2.30 (x3)
Cilic -3 games @ 1.95 (x2)

[erkanua]

Dolgopolov ML @ 2.55 (x1)
Dolgopolov +1.5 set @ 1.85 (x1)
Over 3.5 set @ 1.55 (x2)

[mlb]

all over this one as well .. good luck dude

[erkanua]

Youzhny ML + Soderling 3-0 + Ferrer ML @ 2.12 (x1)
Nadal - Tomic under 26.5 @ 1.90 (x2)
Petrova -1.5 games @ 1.85 (x1)
Nadal 3-0 + Pavlyuchenkova ML + Zvonareva ML @ 1.95 (x1)

[Mitch Buchannon]

Dolgopolov ML @ 2.55 (x1)
Dolgopolov +1.5 set @ 1.85 (x1)
Over 3.5 set @ 1.55 (x2)

We Ukies haven't been this far in men's singles in a while! Go Alex!

[erkanua]

Cilic ML @ 1.70 (x10) = +7.00
Cilic -1.5 set @ 2.30 (x3) = -3.00
Cilic -3 games @ 1.95 (x2) = +1.90

Dolgopolov ML @ 2.55 (x1) = +1.55
Dolgopolov +1.5 set @ 1.85 (x1) = +0.85
Over 3.5 set @ 1.55 (x2) = +1.10

Youzhny ML + Soderling 3-0 + Ferrer ML @ 2.12 (x1) = -1.00
Nadal - Tomic under 26.5 @ 1.90 (x2) = -2.00
Petrova -1.5 games @ 1.85 (x1) = -1.00
Nadal 3-0 + Pavlyuchenkova ML + Zvonareva ML @ 1.95 (x1) = -1.00

+4.40

Overall record : 42 - 42 - 3 = +00.17

[erkanua]

I like Azarenka more than Na Li but I have to go with Chinese girl in this one. She is unstoppable right now.

Na Li ML @ 1.90 (x3)
Na Li -1.5 games @ 2.10 (x2)

[erkanua]

Kuznetsova ML + Sharapova ML @ 2.10 (x1)
Berdych-Verdasco over 3.5 set + Roddick-Wawrinka over 3.5 set @ 2.25 (x2)
Federer 3-0 + Djokovic-Almagro under 3.5 set @ 1.95 (x1)
Almagro-Djokovic under 34 @ 1.90 (x1)

[erkanua]

One late play ;

Roddick ML @ 2.12 (x2)

[erkanua]

Na Li ML @ 1.90 (x3) = +2.70
Na Li -1.5 games @ 2.10 (x2) = +2.20

Kuznetsova ML + Sharapova ML @ 2.10 (x1) = -1.00
Berdych-Verdasco over 3.5 set + Roddick-Wawrinka over 3.5 set @ 2.25 (x2) = -2.00
Federer 3-0 + Djokovic-Almagro under 3.5 set @ 1.95 (x1) = -1.00
Almagro-Djokovic under 34 @ 1.90 (x1) = +0.90

Roddick ML @ 2.12 (x2) = -2.00

-0.20


Overall record : 45 - 46 - 3 = -0.03

[erkanua]

Clijsters 2-0 + Radwanska ML @ 2.10 (x3)
Raonic - Ferrer over 3.5 set @ 2.05 (x4)
Pennetta ML @ 2.45 (x1)
Cilic ML @ 7.80 (0.5x)
Cilic - Nadal over 3.5 set @ 2.40 (x1)
Cilic - Nadal over 33 games @ 1.90 (x1)

[Mirar Baseball]

dolgopolov knocks off another favorite!

cilic RAONIC with a first set break!!!!

[erkanua]

dolgopolov knocks off another favorite!

I've thought about that but can't be brave enough to predict the Ukrainian to beat Soderling!

[erkanua]

Clijsters 2-0 + Radwanska ML @ 2.10 (x3) = +3.30
Raonic - Ferrer over 3.5 set @ 2.05 (x4) = +4.20
Pennetta ML @ 2.45 (x1) = -1.00
Cilic ML @ 7.80 (0.5x) = -0.50
Cilic - Nadal over 3.5 set @ 2.40 (x1) = -1.00
Cilic - Nadal over 33 games @ 1.90 (x1) = -1.00

+4.00

Overall record : 47 - 50 - 3 = +3.97

[erkanua]

I can't miss that one. Tomas is not an hard court specialist as Novak. He is 1-8 against Top 10 players at Hard Courts in Grand Slams and 8-23 against Top 10 players in hard court matches. Also, Tomas Berdych has lost 7 of last 8 when priced as Moderate Underdog ($3.00 to $5.999).

Djokovic -1.5 set @ 1.65 (x10)
Djokovic -4.5 games @ 1.90 (x5)

[erkanua]

Don't know why but I really can't see any underdog for today..