erkanua's Tennis Thread 2011

[erkanua]

Arnaud Clement ML @ 2.65 (x1)
Benjamin Becker ML @ 1.80 (x1)
Jose Martinez Sanchez ML @ 1.85 (x1)
MJMS vs Hantuchova over 21.5 games @ 1.90 (x1)
Azarenka ML & Kirilenko ML & Giraldo ML @ 2.78 (x1)

[erkanua]

Peer vs Azarenka : Azarenka defeated his oponnent two times in straight sets. Shahar Peer has lost 5 in a row when Opponent is a Top 10 Player.

Azarenka ML @ 1.50 (x3)
Azarenka 2-0 @ 2.20 (x1)

[erkanua]

Stepanek ML & Simon ML @ 2.10 (x1)

[erkanua]

It would be nice to cover Clement bet which is around 1.60 now if you got it at 2.70 !

[ha1ogen]

why is the line dropping so much on clement?

[erkanua]

why is the line dropping so much on clement?

Oops!! I was sleeping that's why I couldn't answer you The odds movement was about Malisse's fitness. You know he played final in Chennai tournement just couple days ago and he is not a young player anymore. People taught he would be quite tired and can't get through with a new match with Clement. However, they are in 3rd set now and that shows it was not a good bet just because jumped on it for Malisse's fitness. He proved that he can fight until the end even though he lost the match right now

[erkanua]

Arnaud Clement ML @ 2.65 (x1) = +1.65
Benjamin Becker ML @ 1.80 (x1) = -1.00
Jose Martinez Sanchez ML @ 1.85 (x1) = +0.85
MJMS vs Hantuchova over 21.5 games @ 1.90 (x1) = -1.00
Azarenka ML & Kirilenko ML & Giraldo ML @ 2.78 (x1) = -1.00

Azarenka ML @ 1.50 (x3) = +1.50
Azarenka 2-0 @ 2.20 (x1) = +1.20

Stepanek ML & Simon ML @ 2.10 (x1) = -1.00

+1.2

Overall record : 19 - 9 - 0 = +13.5

[erkanua]

Clijsters 2-0 @ 1.90 (x2)
Clijsters ML & Pennetta ML & Bartoli ML @ 2.45 (x1)

[erkanua]

Clijsters 2-0 @ 1.90 (x2) = +1.8
Clijsters ML & Pennetta ML & Bartoli ML @ 2.45 (x1) = -1.00

+0.8

Overall record : 20 - 10 - 0 = +14.3

[erkanua]

Nalbandian vs Isner : What an amazing odds for me! Nalbandian is still in uptrend form and he probably considers that this season will be his top form season after his injury. I think there is no discussion about talents of these two player because Nalbandian is surely ahead of Isner in this part. Isner has an huge service game but David is also capable to serve unreturnable services to Isner. In this match, sooner or later Isner will miss his first serves and then David, is one of the best returners, can easily break him. In this tournement, Nalby defeated two +50 rank players, Petzschner and Fognini, in straight sets whereas Isner played with a mediocre player, Haase, and can only beat him in three sets. Nalby wants to be fit for AO and should win this game, may be in two sets.

Nalbandian ML @ 1.55 (x3)
Nalbandian 2-0 @ 2.45 (x1)

[erkanua]

Nalbandian ML @ 1.55 (x3) = +1.65
Nalbandian 2-0 @ 2.45 (x1) = +1.45

+3.1

Overall record : 22 - 10 - 0 = +17.4

[erkanua]

Clijsters 2-0 @ 1.75 (x2)
Troicki ML @ 1.60 (x1)

[erkanua]

Clijsters 2-0 @ 1.75 (x2) = -2.00
Troicki ML @ 1.60 (x1) = +0.60

-1.40

Overall record : 23 - 11 - 0 = +16.0

[erkanua]

Nalbandian vs Ferrer : I think there will be many breaks of serves and these two huge returners will fight on their opponents serves so much. However, I can never be sure about Ferrer's serve performance. I mean he can give a break to his opponet anytime even he is serving for the match. He has 86-86 tie-break record in all time and 29-35 at hard courts. When I watch Ferrer playing tie-breaks I am routinely amazed, you can never understand where this tie-break goes to. He is surely unreliable server and this can be a disaster against Nalbandian, such a good returner. Ferrer is 2-5 against Nalbandian outside of clay courts in which he never lost against him. Their last 3 meeting is also not in clay and Nalbandian won all of them. In addition, Nalbandian still did not lose a single set in this tournement whereas Ferrer can only defeat his opponent in straight sets just one time in three matches. I think Nalbandian is so close to his top form. Ferrer's hard court performance can not be better than this and he must start losing.

David Nalbandian has lost 5 in a row when Opponent is a Top 10 Player.

I think this data also must be reset because Nalbandian is not that bad now after his injury and he is ready to win his third victory after his injury.


Nalbandian ML @ 1.68 (x5)
Nalbandian 2-0 @ 2.50 (x1)
Nalbandian -2.5 games @ 1.85 (x1)

[erkanua]

Simon ML @ 1.85 (x3)
Simon 2-0 @ 2.70 (x1.5)

[ha1ogen]

wanna make a wager on the simon match? pmed you about it

[erkanua]

I'm open for it..however, I have to leave right now..for the next time

[ha1ogen]

i can accept up to 437 points, so you can send me what ever amount you want to wager, and i will send you double back if simon wins

[erkanua]

just sent 244

[ha1ogen]

thank you, and rest assured 488 points will be transferred back to you if simon wins

[erkanua]

Nalbandian ML @ 1.68 (x5) = -5.00
Nalbandian 2-0 @ 2.50 (x1) = -1.00
Nalbandian -2.5 games @ 1.85 (x1) = -1.00

Simon ML @ 1.85 (x3) = +2.55
Simon 2-0 @ 2.70 (x1.5) = +2.55

-1.9

Overall record : 25 - 14 - 0 = +14.1

[erkanua]

Benneteau - Monaco over 38.5 @ 1.90 (x1)
Querrey -5 games @ 1.90 (x2)
De Bakker +6.5 games @ 1.85 (x1)
Querrey ML + Kohlschreiber ML + Davydenko ML + Roddick 3-0 @ 2.47 (x2)

[erkanua]

Cibulkova 2-0 @ 1.90 (x1)
Hantuchova ML @ 1.60 (x1)
Wozniacki - Dulko under 18 games @ 1.85 (x1)

[erkanua]

Harrison - Mannarino over 39 @ 1.90 (x1)
Wickmayer ML @ 2.00 (x3)

[erkanua]

Benneteau - Monaco over 38.5 @ 1.90 (x1)
Querrey -5 games @ 1.90 (x2) = -2.00
De Bakker +6.5 games @ 1.85 (x1) = +0.85
Querrey ML + Kohlschreiber ML + Davydenko ML + Roddick 3-0 @ 2.47 (x2) = -2.00

Cibulkova 2-0 @ 1.90 (x1) = -1.00
Hantuchova ML @ 1.60 (x1) = -1.00
Wozniacki - Dulko under 18 games @ 1.85 (x1) = -1.00

Harrison - Mannarino over 39 @ 1.90 (x1) = -1.00
Wickmayer ML @ 2.00 (x3) = +3.00

-4.15

Overall record : 27 - 20 - 1 = +09.95


wow what a bad start for Australia Open..

[erkanua]

Youzhny - Ilhan under 31 games @ 1.90 (x5)

[erkanua]

Tsonga -6.5 games @ 1.85 (x1)
Soderling 3-0 + Baghdatis ML + Del Potro ML + Dolgopolov ML @ 3.42 (x1)
Youzhny 3-0 + Cilic -1.5 set + Ferrer -1.5 set @ 3.60 (x1)
Clijsters ML + Peer ML + Zvonareva 2-0 + Pennetta ML @ 1.75 (x1)

[Mirar Baseball]

Youzhny - Ilhan under 31 games @ 1.90 (x5)

[erkanua]

Youzhny - Ilhan under 31 games @ 1.90 (x5) = +4.5

Tsonga -6.5 games @ 1.85 (x1) = -1.00
Soderling 3-0 + Baghdatis ML + Del Potro ML + Dolgopolov ML @ 3.42 (x1) = +3.42
Youzhny 3-0 + Cilic -1.5 set + Ferrer -1.5 set @ 3.60 (x1) = +3.60
Clijsters ML + Peer ML + Zvonareva 2-0 + Pennetta ML @ 1.75 (x1) = +1.75

+12.27

Overall record : 31 - 21 - 1 = +22.22

[erkanua]

Verdasco - Tipsarevic : Verdasco has not been defeated in his last second round matches in Grand Slams. I know he is not at his top form but I don't believe he has to be at his best to beat Tipsarevic.

Verdasco ML @ 1.65 (x3)
Verdasco -3 games @ 1.90 (x2)

Federer 3-0 @ 1.55 (x2) (x4)
Federer - Simon under 31.5 @ 1.90 (x1) (x2)

Troicki ML + Roddick 3-0 + Djokovic 3-0 @ 2.16 (x1)
Mannarino - Gasquet over 3.5 set @ 1.85 (x1)

[erkanua]

Wozniacki 2-0 + Henin 2-0 + Wickmayer ML + Cibulkova ML @ 2.30 (x1)
Marino ML @ 3.85(x1)

[erkanua]

adding Federer play some numbers...

[rhinkoll]

Nice numbers and nice record: thank you

[erkanua]

Verdasco ML @ 1.65 (x3) = +1.95
Verdasco -3 games @ 1.90 (x2)

Federer 3-0 @ 1.55 (x2) (x4) = -4.00
Federer - Simon under 31.5 @ 1.90 (x1) (x2) = -2.00

Troicki ML + Roddick 3-0 + Djokovic 3-0 @ 2.16 (x1) = -1.00
Mannarino - Gasquet over 3.5 set @ 1.85 (x1) = -1.00

Wozniacki 2-0 + Henin 2-0 + Wickmayer ML + Cibulkova ML @ 2.30 (x1) = -1.00
Marino ML @ 3.85 (x1) = -1.00

-8.05

Overall record : 32 - 27 - 2 = +14.17

[erkanua]

Nice numbers and nice record: thank you

until last night lol...I am really upset with Federer and Djokovic's 3-0 lost..