erkanua's Tennis Thread 2011

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  • serc
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 04-15-10
    • 729

    #71
    What do you have for today Erkan? you think Marin Cilic and David Nalbandian parlay is likely to cash? Thanks for your response and good luck!
    Comment
    • erkanua
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-18-10
      • 773

      #72
      I haven't looked at all games for today. I probably have one big play and I will post my plays in 3-4 hours. Now, I am just interested in soccer and european basketball games...
      Comment
      • serc
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 04-15-10
        • 729

        #73
        I see, do you have thread for eurobasket and soccer. as well? Thanks
        Comment
        • erkanua
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-18-10
          • 773

          #74
          No, in SBR I'm just posting my tennis plays.
          Comment
          • erkanua
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 10-18-10
            • 773

            #75
            Tomic vs F.Lopez : Tomic is in his home-court and I know he is very young, talented boy. He will probably be in Top 20 in few years. He passed Jeremy Chardy in straight sets at first round and prove that he is able to beat higher ranked players. However, when I looked at his previous Autralian Open matches, this is regular for him. He won first matches and then lost the second matches three times in this tournement. I think beating Lopez will be too much for him at this moment and this age. #30 ranked player against #199 ranked player and we have almost even odds. I think there is lot of value in Lopez side here.


            Feliciano Lopez ML @ 1.70 (x4)
            Feliciano Lopez -2.5 games @ 1.95 (x3)
            Comment
            • erkanua
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 10-18-10
              • 773

              #76
              Nalbandian -6 games @ 2.00 (x1)
              Cilic ML + Nalbandian ML @ 1.80 (x2)
              Seppi +6.5 games @ 1.90 (x1)
              Stepanek ML @ 1.75 (x2)
              Isner - Stepanek over 41.5 @ 1.85 (x1)
              Youzhny -1.5 set + Nadal 3-0 + Garcia Lopez -1.5 set @ 2.12
              (x1)
              Comment
              • erkanua
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 10-18-10
                • 773

                #77
                Navarro - Clijsters under 16.5 @ 1.90 (x1)
                Jankovic ML + Clijsters 2-0 + Stosur ML @ 2.15
                (x1)
                Comment
                • erkanua
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 10-18-10
                  • 773

                  #78
                  Clijsters is just playing unbelievable tennis right now..and it was an easy winner also
                  Comment
                  • erkanua
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 10-18-10
                    • 773

                    #79
                    I can't believe that Lopez lost this match and as well in straight sets...
                    Comment
                    • erkanua
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 10-18-10
                      • 773

                      #80
                      Stepanek -1.5 games + Nalbandian -1.5 sets @ 2.80 (x5)
                      Comment
                      • erkanua
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 10-18-10
                        • 773

                        #81
                        wow absolutely the worst day of my life..I almost won nothing..
                        Comment
                        • Mirar Baseball
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-05-10
                          • 1263

                          #82
                          I almost joined you in this chase. Lost both on Stepanek and Nalbandian, but could have lost double (or triple) the amount. It's a good thing I slept through most of this nightmare.

                          The only good thing about a night like this is ... the next day is always better.

                          Well, shit.
                          Comment
                          • erkanua
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 10-18-10
                            • 773

                            #83
                            Originally posted by erkanua
                            Feliciano Lopez ML @ 1.70 (x4) = -4.00
                            Feliciano Lopez -2.5 games @ 1.95 (x3) = -3.00
                            Originally posted by erkanua
                            Nalbandian -6 games @ 2.00 (x1)
                            Cilic ML + Nalbandian ML @ 1.80 (x2) = -2.00
                            Seppi +6.5 games @ 1.90 (x1) = +0.90
                            Stepanek ML @ 1.75 (x2) = -2.00
                            Isner - Stepanek over 41.5 @ 1.85 (x1) = -1.00
                            Youzhny -1.5 set + Nadal 3-0 + Garcia Lopez -1.5 set @ 2.12
                            (x1) =-1.00
                            Originally posted by erkanua
                            Navarro - Clijsters under 16.5 @ 1.90 (x1) = +0.90
                            Jankovic ML + Clijsters 2-0 + Stosur ML @ 2.15
                            (x1) = -1.00
                            Originally posted by erkanua
                            Stepanek -1.5 games + Nalbandian -1.5 sets @ 2.80 (x5) = -5.00

                            -17.20

                            Overall record : 34 - 35 - 3 = -03.03
                            Comment
                            • erkanua
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 10-18-10
                              • 773

                              #84
                              wow...let's start it again..who is with me?
                              Comment
                              • JC2008
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-27-08
                                • 2258

                                #85
                                Think Sharapova wins today?
                                Comment
                                • erkanua
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 10-18-10
                                  • 773

                                  #86
                                  Yes, she will probably win it but I can't see any value in these odds which is between 1.40-1.50.
                                  Comment
                                  • erkanua
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 10-18-10
                                    • 773

                                    #87
                                    Wozniacki - Cibulkova : Revenge of their last match which was few days ago in Sydney and Cibulkova won it in straight sets. Now, it is more serious match in Grand Slam and I think this time Caroline will win it in straight sets as she did 5 times against his opponent.

                                    Henin - Kuznetsova : Do you really pay me 1.40 if I am with 16-2 h2h? I don't really care about Kuznetsova's form because she just defeated +100 ranked players in this tournement. Justine beat her exactly 16 times in 18 matches and she did this 12 times in straight sets. I just can't see Svetlana will be the winner here.

                                    Wozniacki 2-0 + Henin ML @ 2.35
                                    (x5)
                                    Henin 2-0 @ 1.95 (x2)
                                    Comment
                                    • erkanua
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 10-18-10
                                      • 773

                                      #88
                                      Wozniacki ML + Azarenka 2-0 + Roddick ML + Djokovic ML + Federer 3-0 @ 3.00 (x2)
                                      Djokovic -6.5 games @ 1.90 (x1)
                                      Federer - Malisse under 30.5 games @ 1.90 (x1)
                                      Comment
                                      • erkanua
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 10-18-10
                                        • 773

                                        #89
                                        Originally posted by erkanua
                                        Wozniacki 2-0 + Henin ML @ 2.35 (x5) = -5.00
                                        Henin 2-0 @ 1.95
                                        (x2) = -2.00
                                        Originally posted by erkanua
                                        Wozniacki ML + Azarenka 2-0 + Roddick ML + Djokovic ML + Federer 3-0 @ 3.00 (x2) = +4.00
                                        Djokovic -6.5 games @ 1.90 (x1) = +0.90
                                        Federer - Malisse under 30.5 games @ 1.90 (x1) = +0.90
                                        -1.20

                                        Overall record : 37 - 37 - 3 = -04.23
                                        Comment
                                        • erkanua
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 10-18-10
                                          • 773

                                          #90
                                          I have an early play for tonight games. I think this best should be the bet of this thread so far and will be the highest one.

                                          Isner vs Cilic :
                                          First of all, I think Cilic is more talented and completely better player than Isner in this one. The only problem was his mental quality and his shot selections in critical points. However, Isner's game is just based on his serves and Cilic will be dominant in rallies when Isner starts to miss his first serves. Cilic played against Young and Giraldo so far and won both matches in straight sets. Isner played against Serra and Stepanek, lost first set against Stepanek. I don't believe Isner is %100 fit and in his top form. Cilic proved me that he is better than last year in his previous matches. Cilic is 3 age younger than Isner but he played 57 matches in Grand Slams whereas Isner only played 26 times. Isner just won 15 of 26, Cilic won 39 of that 57 matches in Grand Slams. Cilic also won %63 of his matches against Big Servers whereas Isner's performance is %58. Isner is 16-19 when his odds is between 2.00-2.99 and I can't see him winning as an underdog again after Stepanek match. Also, I'm not sure this will be a 5 setter.


                                          Cilic ML @ 1.70 (x10)
                                          Cilic -1.5 set @ 2.30 (x3)
                                          Cilic -3 games @ 1.95 (x2)
                                          Comment
                                          • erkanua
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 10-18-10
                                            • 773

                                            #91
                                            Dolgopolov ML @ 2.55 (x1)
                                            Dolgopolov +1.5 set @ 1.85 (x1)
                                            Over 3.5 set @ 1.55 (x2)
                                            Comment
                                            • mlb
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-04-09
                                              • 10509

                                              #92
                                              all over this one as well .. good luck dude
                                              Comment
                                              • erkanua
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 10-18-10
                                                • 773

                                                #93
                                                Youzhny ML + Soderling 3-0 + Ferrer ML @ 2.12 (x1)
                                                Nadal - Tomic under 26.5 @ 1.90 (x2)
                                                Petrova -1.5 games @ 1.85 (x1)
                                                Nadal 3-0 + Pavlyuchenkova ML + Zvonareva ML @ 1.95 (x1)
                                                Comment
                                                • Mitch Buchannon
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 08-31-10
                                                  • 51

                                                  #94
                                                  Originally posted by erkanua
                                                  Dolgopolov ML @ 2.55 (x1)
                                                  Dolgopolov +1.5 set @ 1.85 (x1)
                                                  Over 3.5 set @ 1.55 (x2)
                                                  We Ukies haven't been this far in men's singles in a while! Go Alex!

                                                  Comment
                                                  • erkanua
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 10-18-10
                                                    • 773

                                                    #95
                                                    Originally posted by erkanua
                                                    Cilic ML @ 1.70 (x10) = +7.00
                                                    Cilic -1.5 set @ 2.30 (x3) = -3.00
                                                    Cilic -3 games @ 1.95 (x2) = +1.90
                                                    Originally posted by erkanua
                                                    Dolgopolov ML @ 2.55 (x1) = +1.55
                                                    Dolgopolov +1.5 set @ 1.85 (x1) = +0.85
                                                    Over 3.5 set @ 1.55 (x2) = +1.10
                                                    Originally posted by erkanua
                                                    Youzhny ML + Soderling 3-0 + Ferrer ML @ 2.12 (x1) = -1.00
                                                    Nadal - Tomic under 26.5 @ 1.90 (x2) = -2.00
                                                    Petrova -1.5 games @ 1.85 (x1) = -1.00
                                                    Nadal 3-0 + Pavlyuchenkova ML + Zvonareva ML @ 1.95 (x1) = -1.00
                                                    +4.40

                                                    Overall record : 42 - 42 - 3 = +00.17
                                                    Comment
                                                    • erkanua
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 10-18-10
                                                      • 773

                                                      #96
                                                      I like Azarenka more than Na Li but I have to go with Chinese girl in this one. She is unstoppable right now.

                                                      Na Li ML @ 1.90 (x3)
                                                      Na Li -1.5 games @ 2.10 (x2)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • erkanua
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 10-18-10
                                                        • 773

                                                        #97
                                                        Kuznetsova ML + Sharapova ML @ 2.10 (x1)
                                                        Berdych-Verdasco over 3.5 set + Roddick-Wawrinka over 3.5 set @ 2.25
                                                        (x2)
                                                        Federer 3-0 + Djokovic-Almagro under 3.5 set @ 1.95
                                                        (x1)
                                                        Almagro-Djokovic under 34 @ 1.90 (x1)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • erkanua
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 10-18-10
                                                          • 773

                                                          #98
                                                          One late play ;

                                                          Roddick ML @ 2.12 (x2)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • erkanua
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 10-18-10
                                                            • 773

                                                            #99
                                                            Originally posted by erkanua
                                                            Na Li ML @ 1.90 (x3) = +2.70
                                                            Na Li -1.5 games @ 2.10 (x2) = +2.20
                                                            Originally posted by erkanua
                                                            Kuznetsova ML + Sharapova ML @ 2.10 (x1) = -1.00
                                                            Berdych-Verdasco over 3.5 set + Roddick-Wawrinka over 3.5 set @ 2.25
                                                            (x2) = -2.00
                                                            Federer 3-0 + Djokovic-Almagro under 3.5 set @ 1.95
                                                            (x1) = -1.00
                                                            Almagro-Djokovic under 34 @ 1.90 (x1) = +0.90
                                                            Originally posted by erkanua
                                                            Roddick ML @ 2.12 (x2) = -2.00
                                                            -0.20


                                                            Overall record : 45 - 46 - 3 = -0.03
                                                            Comment
                                                            • erkanua
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 10-18-10
                                                              • 773

                                                              #100
                                                              Clijsters 2-0 + Radwanska ML @ 2.10 (x3)
                                                              Raonic - Ferrer over 3.5 set @ 2.05 (x4)
                                                              Pennetta ML @ 2.45 (x1)
                                                              Cilic ML @ 7.80 (0.5x)
                                                              Cilic - Nadal over 3.5 set @ 2.40 (x1)
                                                              Cilic - Nadal over 33 games @ 1.90 (x1)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Mirar Baseball
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 04-05-10
                                                                • 1263

                                                                #101
                                                                dolgopolov knocks off another favorite!

                                                                cilic RAONIC with a first set break!!!!

                                                                Comment
                                                                • erkanua
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 10-18-10
                                                                  • 773

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Originally posted by Mirar Baseball
                                                                  dolgopolov knocks off another favorite!

                                                                  I've thought about that but can't be brave enough to predict the Ukrainian to beat Soderling!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • erkanua
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 10-18-10
                                                                    • 773

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Originally posted by erkanua
                                                                    Clijsters 2-0 + Radwanska ML @ 2.10 (x3) = +3.30
                                                                    Raonic - Ferrer over 3.5 set @ 2.05 (x4) = +4.20
                                                                    Pennetta ML @ 2.45 (x1) = -1.00
                                                                    Cilic ML @ 7.80 (0.5x) = -0.50
                                                                    Cilic - Nadal over 3.5 set @ 2.40 (x1) = -1.00
                                                                    Cilic - Nadal over 33 games @ 1.90 (x1) = -1.00
                                                                    +4.00

                                                                    Overall record : 47 - 50 - 3 = +3.97
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • erkanua
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 10-18-10
                                                                      • 773

                                                                      #104
                                                                      I can't miss that one. Tomas is not an hard court specialist as Novak. He is 1-8 against Top 10 players at Hard Courts in Grand Slams and 8-23 against Top 10 players in hard court matches. Also, Tomas Berdych has lost 7 of last 8 when priced as Moderate Underdog ($3.00 to $5.999).

                                                                      Djokovic -1.5 set @ 1.65 (x10)
                                                                      Djokovic -4.5 games @ 1.90 (x5)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • erkanua
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 10-18-10
                                                                        • 773

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Don't know why but I really can't see any underdog for today..
                                                                        Comment
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