YTD 36-29 +9.28 Gave a little bit back yesterday.
Federer -2.5 sets +165 risk 2 These h2h stats and hard court stats on the players I was looking at last night really dont provide alot of insight into this match considering most of the h2h matches took place before Del Potros wrist injury. Fed has the upper hand 7-2 in these matchups, but most people remember Del Potro taking Fed to 5 sets at the French and beating him at the US Open and I guess some people are taking a punt on Del Potro being back in form.
I just dont see how you can judge Del Potros return from his performances here at the Open or to end last year. Del Potro has only played Lu, Kavcic, and Mannarino here at the Aussie, and while I agree he looked awesome against Kohli , this was Kohlschreiber we are talking about, not Roger Federer. Del Potro lost to Baghdatis in Sydney in the quarterfinals to start the year and really didnt do much last year after his loss to Federer in Cincinnati.
Last year Federer crushed Del Potro on the hard courts in Cincinnati, and Feds serve was firing on all cylinders. Federer only faced one break the whole match, getting 75% of his first serves in. Del Potro certainly won't be serving as bad as he did last year, but if Del Potro has any chance it will be have to be from his power on groundstrokes and that cross court forehand. If Del Potro can get that powerful cross court forehand moving Fed around and with Federers backhand certainly erratic at times, Del Potro may have a good chance to open up the court.
Looking at hard court stats with a guy like Federer is really pointless, they are just phenomenal over the years. I am mainly looking at Federers recent form and he is probably playing as well as anyone on the tour right now, finishing up last year in dominant fashion winning in Basel, Paris and London. He has looked awesome here so far, facing tougher opponents than Del Potro has and demolishing Tomic and Karlovic. Fed hasnt dropped a set here yet. If Federer is serving well, I just dont see Del Potro having a chance here.
Nadal -2.5 sets +140 risk 1 Nadals serve has been his achilles heel at times lately, he has moved to a heavier racquet, but he still just doesnt have much on these serves. Rafas injuries are always a concern and he should be taped up, but like Ferrer, you know when you put money on Nadal he is going to fight.
I dont know how Berdych handles the fallout and crowd hostility from the Almagro match but looking at the stats and h2h here isnt real comforting if you are thinking of taking Berdych here, even with the handicap. Berdychs recent form is impressive, he played well to end last year and he has had much tougher tests here at the Aussie than Nadal has. I just cant go against Nadal with these past numbers between the two.
Clijsters +110 risk 1
Federer -2.5 sets +165 risk 2 These h2h stats and hard court stats on the players I was looking at last night really dont provide alot of insight into this match considering most of the h2h matches took place before Del Potros wrist injury. Fed has the upper hand 7-2 in these matchups, but most people remember Del Potro taking Fed to 5 sets at the French and beating him at the US Open and I guess some people are taking a punt on Del Potro being back in form.
I just dont see how you can judge Del Potros return from his performances here at the Open or to end last year. Del Potro has only played Lu, Kavcic, and Mannarino here at the Aussie, and while I agree he looked awesome against Kohli , this was Kohlschreiber we are talking about, not Roger Federer. Del Potro lost to Baghdatis in Sydney in the quarterfinals to start the year and really didnt do much last year after his loss to Federer in Cincinnati.
Last year Federer crushed Del Potro on the hard courts in Cincinnati, and Feds serve was firing on all cylinders. Federer only faced one break the whole match, getting 75% of his first serves in. Del Potro certainly won't be serving as bad as he did last year, but if Del Potro has any chance it will be have to be from his power on groundstrokes and that cross court forehand. If Del Potro can get that powerful cross court forehand moving Fed around and with Federers backhand certainly erratic at times, Del Potro may have a good chance to open up the court.
Looking at hard court stats with a guy like Federer is really pointless, they are just phenomenal over the years. I am mainly looking at Federers recent form and he is probably playing as well as anyone on the tour right now, finishing up last year in dominant fashion winning in Basel, Paris and London. He has looked awesome here so far, facing tougher opponents than Del Potro has and demolishing Tomic and Karlovic. Fed hasnt dropped a set here yet. If Federer is serving well, I just dont see Del Potro having a chance here.
Nadal -2.5 sets +140 risk 1 Nadals serve has been his achilles heel at times lately, he has moved to a heavier racquet, but he still just doesnt have much on these serves. Rafas injuries are always a concern and he should be taped up, but like Ferrer, you know when you put money on Nadal he is going to fight.
I dont know how Berdych handles the fallout and crowd hostility from the Almagro match but looking at the stats and h2h here isnt real comforting if you are thinking of taking Berdych here, even with the handicap. Berdychs recent form is impressive, he played well to end last year and he has had much tougher tests here at the Aussie than Nadal has. I just cant go against Nadal with these past numbers between the two.
Clijsters +110 risk 1