Bye Bye Schiavone .
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Schiavone got broken for the 3rd straight time to lose the match!
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Ferrer
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well Schiavone match was the best in the womans side so far especially liking the fact when she fell on her face going side to sideComment -
fail soderling..Comment -
damn soderling worst 5th seed i ever saw!!Comment -
Wow nice hit for those Tomic backers.Very surprised SOderling lost here.Was like -500 something to I think.
Baghdatis takes the second set over Djokovic. Surprising stuff today
Nice hit on Ferrer Muherd
Almagro's ride comes to an end.Glad I got off the train earlyComment -
Djokovic gets the break. Will probably cruise from hereComment -
Malisse destroys MelzerComment -
haha line judge blows a call 2 times in the last couple of minsComment -
Well Pennetta choked away the match but I am hoping that you guys hedged inplay like I did when I was posting about it. Were many chances in the third set to do it. I know that some of you don't have live betting for tennis so I am sorry about the Pennetta loss. She had that match. Its frustrating watching womens tennis.
Well a deserved day off for all tomorrow from tennis. Hope the first week was good for everyone. Let's come back fresh on monday with some winnersComment -
Tomic did surprise today eliminating Soderling if maintained at how he played today i think he will reach in top 10 in more than 1 year.Comment -
Just a quick look ahead has some interesting matches. Ferrer as a +188 dog against Tsonga.... not to shabby
Murray/Gasquet match will be interesting.
A bit worried about Rafa facing Del Potro but he SHOULD be able to get through it. Big price though stay away
Venus and Serena will probably find some way to win as usual.
Azarenka + Petrova = over
Some good stuff to think about. Will be goodComment -
Tomic definately on a path to top 10 at some point in his career. Really if Fish and monfils can be in the top 10 then anyone canComment -
Wow Tomic at +400...that would have been lovely!!!Comment -
That sucks...I can imagine how pissed off you are...
You have out thought yourself....Comment -
Haha, nah not too bad. Was only a small play for some action
Theres always tomorrow!
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Do wish i got a piece of it though!Comment -
Cakes...where you at buddy??Comment -
Hey stack - been giving quite a bit of thought to what you said. I am still relatively new to sports betting, and I played penetta straight and cap last night. The ml play was small, so I still made money on my larger cap play.
However, after what you were talking about, I realise i should be playing the strong ml leans the same as the cap, and looking to green out at some point and guarantee profit.
BtbComment -
Haase is a twat for retiring. Cost me good money since i had the over. Pushed on it.
See you later in chat, Staco.
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Bruce it's always good to have an out with your bets. There are many people that don't believe that "Greening out" is a good move to do or it isn't "manly" but guaranteed money is better then a chance of no money at all.The shitty thing is that most people on this site are american and there are not many books, if any, that allow for in-game betting on tennis so when most bet on the matches here they have to bet on the match and hope for the best. When Pennetta was serving for the match yesterday I didn't green out at that point because I was giving her the chance to hopefully serve it out and give us all a nice +255 profit on the match but she choked it so I knew that it was pretty much a coin flip at that point. So if we have +255 odds on a 50/50 coin flip most would say that we have a great bet and to let it ride but I guess I like to be a bit conservative and green out to guarantee some money on the match. I believe you said you were in Australia Bruce is that right? Don't Australians have this stupid rule where you can only bet live by placing phone bets or is that just for Betfair and not other sites?
Having live betting is also not just good for greening out but it's also a good way to jump ship like if you have a guy like Chela was this past week. Blew the first set 6-0 and wasn't even trying at all. I just rode it out and took the loss but I could have taken the juiced up other side and at least got back a portion of my Chela bet. This can also lead to a massive meltdown though because you could find yourself backing the other player and then Chela comes back so then you put more on Chela and then he tanks it so you bet more on the other guy and on and on and then you realize that you are going to lose 3k on both sides. Been there before.Just have to be smart about things and sometimes take a $100 loss.
No tennis today but we have some great matches tomorrow. Baseball ends relatively early tonight so I will be looking at the tennis plays after the games are done. Hope you guys are having a good weekend
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Maybe you can advise me on how to green out my petrova future at 240-1 and Peng at over 320..5 dimes will only have live betting from the QF on I think, so no good to do for live for the 4th..Maybe an Azarenaa/Sharapova parlay..?Comment -
Azarenka/Sharapova parlay would only be good for you if both of them won. If say Sharapova won and Azarenka lost then you would have lost the parlay and lost the peng outright and would just be left with the Petrova outright so you would be down more then you should be. Both Petrova and Peng have to win four matches to win Wimbledon. Since both are dogs going into their next matches you can't really hedge out at this point. You would need for your outrights to make it to the quarterfinals at least and ideally the semifinals before you can start hedging out the outright, unless your outright was playing in matches in which she was a big fav then it would be easier to hedge out your outright betting on the opponent who is a big dog.
Hope that made senseComment -
Looking ahead to tomorrow, here's some things I like:
Gasquet over Murray seems like a popular play. Last two times they have played in a major the match has gone five sets. I Think this match will be very close as well. Definate value at those odds for Gasquet. Another thing to possibly consider would be the +5 games BUT when the gas man goes downhill he goes downhill losing 6-1 or 6-2 type of stuff so that is something that could hurt a handicap bet. Something to keep in mind. Also throw on top the pressure that Murray is under to win which can't be good for Murray
Love Ferrer over Tsonga at +205. Ferrer has a great return game and unbelievable defence so he should be able to frustrate Tsonga tomorrow. Grass isn't Ferrer's best surface but Tsonga can be a mental midget at times so getting a top player like Ferrer at +205 odds is to good to pass up. I think this match has the possibility to be a long match, possibly five sets, and that favors Ferrer since he is one of the most fit players on tour. Ferrer is definately a player to look at here
Some decent sized dogs on the womens side tomorrow but I think they are that way for a reason. Don't see many upsets tomorrow on the women's side so if you wanted to you could probably put together a decent fav parlay and make some money. I'm going to pass on the womens tennis though
Some things to consider.Will put the plays in here when I pull the trigger later in the nightComment -
Was just fooling around with some parlays and noticed that you can get Wozniacki, Sharapova, Venus and Serena +176. This is women's tennis so I am thinking that one of these players will lose tomorrow but +176 is pretty decent here. If you didn't like all of these girls you could maybe take out two of them and put a couple male players in there as well. This is interesting though. Might bet this.Going to think about it.
As for the regular plays, I think I will just bet Ferrer. I think Gasquet has a shot but I think the best approach to bet Gasquet in this match is if you wanted to trade the match by taking Gasquet from the start and then trading out with Murray as the match went on. Highly doubt murray will cruise to a three set victory here.Comment -
Thanks for the advice man. I noticed that Bet 365 has betting on the Four different quarters, and that would make hedging out easy and worth it. But of course I cant do that living here in America.
So i might have to wait and see if one can make a run to the semis. Maybe 5 dimes will offer live betting for the QF..
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If Tsonga serves like he did last round, Ferrer's return game won't matter. That match is a tough read. I had Tsonga to the QFs, so I like him here, but if his serve isn't popping as much - then Ferrer has a definite shot. I'm personally riding with Tomic & Kubot for dogs tomorrow. Lopez getting overvalued for beating Roddick IMO and if Kubot can beat Monfils, he can beat Lopez. Lopez played a near perfect match against Roddick and that match still was a few key points in breakers from going either way. I don't expect Flodonis to be near perfect again. Kubot just battles without a classic grass game and I think that is a good fit against someone like Lopez who can be an error machine when things go south. Tomic at this point is in some of the best grass form of any of the players regardless of age and experience. Admittedly, the Soderling win might be taken with a grain of salt because the rumor was Soderling was ill, but still if he can show nerves to come back 0-2 against Andreev and straight Soderling regardless of his status ... Malisse is certainly not unbeatable and I've seen him from go from stud to dud quick in tournaments before. Remember, this is unchartered territory for him too. I think that is going to be a fun match.Comment -
Like your point about Lopez Eagles. His serve was great against Roddick but Lopez won that match because Roddick was playing like an idiot constantly coming to the net and trying to volley which he can't do so that's why he lost. Kubot is definately a live dog tomorrow
It's going to be warm out there tomorrow and that is going to be an advantage to Ferrer. A case could be made for both players here I just see some value in the line at +205.
I like your call on Tomic as well.Comment
Liked him at +400 pre-match, but thought the over would be safer!
