Stacocakes US Open thread

MUHerd37 · 08-30-10, 05:01 PM

Azarenka just got broken again!

WTF!!! Now the other chick is serving for the 2nd set. This is not good.

ochenta y cinco · 08-30-10, 05:02 PM

Originally posted by MUHerd37

Azarenka just got broken again!

WTF!!! Now the other chick is serving for the 2nd set. This is not good.

I think I'm going to throw up...

Stacocakes · 08-30-10, 05:06 PM

What did I say about Azarenka earlier in this thread

Stacocakes · 08-30-10, 05:06 PM

Azarenka will win in the third set. She needed to lose the second set to get her odds lower so she could be backed again by her followers........

MUHerd37 · 08-30-10, 05:06 PM

I need Azarenka badly. She and Pentta win and I should have a monster day. But if Azarenka loses I'm royally screwed. She bageled this bitch in the 1st set and then got broken like 4 times in the 2nd set and lost it 7-5.

TopGun1 · 08-30-10, 05:08 PM

Nice work Staco and MU, agree - far too close though!

Goat Milk · 08-30-10, 05:08 PM

why would you throw pennetta in a parlay at -1500. its not even worth it.

Stacocakes · 08-30-10, 05:13 PM

azarenka probably wins this set by a break or two

MUHerd37 · 08-30-10, 05:15 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

why would you throw pennetta in a parlay at -1500. its not even worth it.

Not really sure. She has been playing great. I seem to always add people that prolly don't help the payout that much. She's been playing great tho. I only took Azarenka because she has been playing good too.

ochenta y cinco · 08-30-10, 05:15 PM

Niculescu is returning everything, I'm puking...

MUHerd37 · 08-30-10, 05:18 PM

Azarenka has faced and beaten Niculescu twice! She won 6-3, 6-2 and 6-0, 6-0. Both were 2 years ago and the last one was on the hard courts. She had won 3 straight sets against her at 6-0 and now drops one to her in the biggest tourney. WTF?

MUHerd37 · 08-30-10, 05:22 PM

Azarenka breaks and is up 3-1 and serving! Gotta hold the rest of the way out woman!

MUHerd37 · 08-30-10, 05:34 PM

Azarenka breaks again!! Serving for the match at 5-1!!!

Stacocakes · 08-30-10, 05:36 PM

There ya go Muherd. Azarenka finishes her off

MUHerd37 · 08-30-10, 05:37 PM

Azarenka wins the 3rd set 6-1. Wow you might be right about her screwing with her own matches. I like to give the other person the benefit of the doubt but that sure was fishy.

MUHerd37 · 08-30-10, 05:40 PM

Just need Pennetta and Federer! Venus Williams would be nice too. Looks like Hewitt will be a disappointment tho.

ochenta y cinco · 08-30-10, 05:43 PM

Originally posted by MUHerd37

Just need Pennetta and Federer! Venus Williams would be nice too. Looks like Hewitt will be a disappointment tho.

I'm rooting for every player you just mentioned to win their match. Lleyton must get his head out of his ass ASAP though...

MUHerd37 · 08-30-10, 06:37 PM

Just when you think Hewitt can come back, he goes and shits the bed. He has held his serve just 1 time in his last 5 service games. Maybe he should go join the WTA tour.

MUHerd37 · 08-30-10, 08:41 PM

Hewitt goes down 2 sets to 0 and fights back to take it to 5 sets just to go down 4-0. What a damn little cock tease.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-30-10, 08:45 PM

Yeah these are the ones where I'd rather he just lost in 3 and saved the false hope. Figured if anyone would be tired and turn gutless, it'd be Mathieu. Hate to say it, but I think Hewitt needs to consider where his career is going now. Health or whatever, his 2010 has a couple pops, but was mostly forgetful. Whenever he quits, I hope he does it at the Australian Open - only seems fitting.

MUHerd37 · 08-30-10, 09:10 PM

That Hewitt loss was so deflating. I made a little money today but not much at all. Had he won I would have had a massive day.

Stacocakes · 08-30-10, 10:27 PM

I would never bet Hewitt as a -300 favorite against anyone but with that being said, I didn't think he was going to lose today. I agree with you guys, if he can't beat mathieu, he needs to retire

raydog · 08-30-10, 11:25 PM

i also agree...

Stacocakes · 08-30-10, 11:40 PM

Some great insight ray haha

Did you tail the stosur play Ray? Let me know who the granny picks for tomorrow on the women's side

Stacocakes · 08-30-10, 11:49 PM

Some early leans for tomorrow:

Monaco over Polansky. Polansky is Canadian and very bad. Gotta take Monaco here especially at the low low price. I know Monaco is very bad on hardcourts but the odds are screaming for this bet to be played.

Stepanek might be a good play as a dog over Benneteau but I don't know if its worth a play

Dolgopolov is jumping off the page at a price of +262. They played a couple weeks ago in Cincinatti and it was a tight three set match. These courts are definately not Ferrer's best surface so an upset here might happen. At a price of +262 its hard to pass up

Fading Blake when he is a -200 favorite is always a good play but I just don't trust Vliegen. Might wait till blake's next match to start fading him

Going to think about these plays for a bit. Really like Monaco and Dolgopolov though

ItsMeMrMattE · 08-31-10, 12:05 AM

Originally posted by Stacocakes

Fading Blake when he is a -200 favorite is always a good play but I just don't trust Vliegen.

I Agree. It was tuff choice in my parlay. Let me know what you think of the rest of them. Here are the winners.

Lopez,Fish,Isner,Baghdatis,Blake,Nadal,N ieminen,Ginepri,Ferrer,Djokovic,Istomin, Robredo

birdmanweezy · 08-31-10, 12:06 AM

Monaco it is

EaglesPhan36 · 08-31-10, 12:09 AM

Stepanek sucks, period. I know he had the run at New Haven, but I don't think he's fit enough to do a best of 5 right now. Look at who he beat there, NO ONE and Troicki crushed him without playing well. I actually like Benneteau a lot there. He's not always great on this surface but when he serves well, I don't think Stepanek will beath him. Dolgopolov will be a popular play, but I think he lacks the consistency to win three sets on hard courts I think. Obviously I wouldn't play Ferrer at the price, but I think Dologopolov would have to have a superb serving day to win this one. He's capable, but again I don't think consistent enough to get it done. I can see taking the shot with Dolgopolov though and you won't be alone I'm certain. GL, I need a better finish to the day tomorrow.

Stacocakes · 08-31-10, 12:30 AM

Itsmemrmatte -

Lopez,Fish,Isner,Baghdatis,Blake,Nadal,N ieminen,Ginepri,Ferrer,Djokovic,Istomin, Robredo

Of those plays I think all should win but I could see Lopez, Blake and Nieminen possibly lose.I don't have much faith in any of those players. The rest of the players are all big favs and should win.

You are right Eagles, Stepanek can't be trusted. I won't be playing him. Just was something I was looking at.

I know that most might not like the Monaco play but it's more of a play against Polansky for me. Being from Canada I watch all of the Roger's cups where they basically give Polansky a wild card so he can enter into a tournament. He reminds me of a poor mans Juan Carlos Ferrero but he is really not good at all.I have seen him play many times. Monaco might not be suited for this surface and might not be the in the greatest of form but he is definately the better player of the two. Will go with the better player in an instance like this where the match is basically a pick em. If Polansky happens to show up and play a great match and win then we haven't lost much. I think it's definately worth a play on monaco

EaglesPhan36 · 08-31-10, 12:39 AM

Monaco is a tough one to gauge. If he has more match time on hard courts this summer, I'd definitely agree with you because he's had some mini-runs at the Australian and US Opens before and isn't strictly a dirtballer. Polansky surely hasn't done anything to indicate he's ready to win his first main draw match at a Slam though. Think you're probably one the right side here - experience edge to Monaco.

Stacocakes · 08-31-10, 12:44 AM

Plays for tuesday:

Monaco -124

Dolgopolov +262

Best of luck tomorrow guys

MUHerd37 · 08-31-10, 01:23 AM

I can't play Monaco or Polansky. Polansky scares me. He cost me money when he upset Melzer but he made me money during the US Open qualifiers. His game is improving and he does have some skill. I gotta stay away from that one. I might have to make a small play on Benneteau tho. He has been playing pretty damn solid. The Dolgo/Ferrer is about a toss-up for me. I like Dolgo as a player but Ferrer is such a veteran with all the experience and he is a real fighter. They just played each other in Cincinnati and Ferrer won in 3 sets. I would lean Ferrer.

ItsMeMrMattE · 08-31-10, 01:30 AM

Round 2

3 Team Parlay

Small bet parlay i wanted to play +250

Winners: Malisse,Istomin, Monaco

Anyone predict an upset in those matches?

MUHerd37 · 08-31-10, 01:38 AM

2 people worth considering. As an underdog you could go with Fognini at +505 over Verdasco. Verdasco has been playing at shit. They have played each other 3 times and Fognini won the last meeting which was at Wimbledon in 4 sets. Fognini also knocked out Monfils in the French so he can definitely knock out the bigger players in the majors. Also, I like Na Li at -455 in a parlay. Na Li has been playing great all year long and is now #9 in the world. Kateryna Bondarenko is total shit. Her sister is better than she is. I love Na Li in some parlays.

MUHerd37 · 08-31-10, 01:42 AM

Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE

Round 2 3 Team Parlay Small bet parlay i wanted to play +250 Winners: Malisse,Istomin, Monaco Anyone predict an upset in those matches?

They should win. Malisse has been playing pretty good but Sela beat him in their only meeting which was earlier this year in LA which was on hard courts. Maximo Gonzales is 2-1 against Istomin however those matches were years ago and on clay. Istomin is much better now. I have never trusted Monaco. That parlay could definitely win. Good luck if you play it.