Stacocakes US Open thread

raydog · 08-31-10, 11:54 PM

cakes...that clown had +8..jajajaj

Stacocakes · 09-01-10, 12:08 AM

Ray

I've looked over the mens portion of the draw for tomorrow so far and really nothing I like at all. Some -300 fav's that would be good to bet but really not worth it unless they are all parlayed together. Will probably pass on the mens side. Looking at the womens side right now

Stacocakes · 09-01-10, 12:16 AM

Seriously considering one play on the women's side tomorrow and I am glad it's in the afternoon which means I have some time to think about it. Thinking about taking Oudin with the home crowd behind her over Bondarenko. Oudin's +145 which is a decent line. Definately worth a shot here. Going to sleep on it and see if I like it still in the morning. Do you guys like anything for tomorrow??

EaglesPhan36 · 09-01-10, 12:39 AM

Long shot of the day, Ryan Harrison +235 perhaps. Ljubicic beat him in straights at Indian Wells, but that was pretty much his best tournament this season with a rash of injuries since. I probably won't take this, but I highlighted Kukushkin vs. Wawrinka in the 1st round. Wawrinka has been flat and Kukushkin gets to enjoy a Grand Slam main draw. Handicap or +300ish. I've got one total I want to hammer tomorrow if the number is right, but of course have to wait until the morning to see it. I did Simon-Chela in a parlay. Don't think Donald Young matches up well with a guy who likes to put the ball in play and Lu has had injury concerns all summer, so Chela looks a good shot even if hard courts aren't his thing. At -130, he's probably a decent singles shot maybe.

Stacocakes · 09-01-10, 10:24 AM

Like that parlay alot eagles. Young has just been a total disappointment for his career. Like Chela as well. Lu's last match was that retirement in which the chair ump wouldn't grant him an injury timeout so he cried like a baby and retired from the match. The ump might have been at fault there but it really shows a players "fighting spirit" when he retires like a baby.

Oudin has been bet overnight and her current line of +115 does not look as good as the +145 she was last night. I think I am going to pass on her

Going to just have one play for today and it's going to be a parlay.

Simon/Wawrinka/Youzhny/Isner +151

All four of these players should win. I've been kinda scared about the injury concerns revolving around Isner but it looks as though he is good to go here and its better to lose him in a parlay then to lose backing him as a -450 favorite. As mentioned above Simon is playing Young who can't beat anyone really. Youzhny vs Golubev is a match that looks like it should go 4 sets at least but in the end i'll go with Youzhny since he's the better player. Wawrinka is a guy that is just happy to win 2 or 3 matches and then go home with some money. I like him in his match today but I don't think I will be backing him in any future matches here at the open.

I didn't want to go the day without a play so this parlay looks like it should be good for the day. Has a decent payout and it should hit.

Best of luck today guys.I'll be back in a couple hours to watch the matches with everyone

Stacocakes · 09-01-10, 10:34 AM

hmm azarenka down 4-0 in the first set as a -600 favorite.......surprise......

Stacocakes · 09-01-10, 10:49 AM

Azarenka is dying on the court or something.Heat problems.Jesus

Stacocakes · 09-01-10, 10:49 AM

Dulko wins. First set didn't finish so the bets are void. Geez

EaglesPhan36 · 09-01-10, 10:50 AM

She quit again, Dulko backers SCREWED because the whore didn't go one more game. Isn't Azarenka the same one who quit at the Australian against Serena?

Stacocakes · 09-01-10, 10:52 AM

Yup that was her Eagles. While she was beating Serena I believe. Throw this match on the pile as another match that is very suspect by Azarenka. One thing I am surprised about though is that she didn't wait till the first set was over.It was only one game away

EaglesPhan36 · 09-01-10, 10:56 AM

Petrova pulled that shit a couple weeks ago when I had the OVER on a total. She retired down a set and 3-5 in the 2nd. All she had to do was stand there and let the other girl serve four aces.

Her retiring really helps my Venus future though, so I'm not gonna complain. Venus has a very easy draw to the semis if she plays well. Pavlyuchenkova would be the favorite now for the QFs in that bracket I think.

Stacocakes · 09-01-10, 11:01 AM

Venus future does sound very good.Wish I got on that as well. There is no real girl that stands out this year as the clear cut winner so Venus might be able to pull it off

Ivanovic up a set and a break already. Has she turned it around? Hope they slap a big price on her for her next matches.Might be something to look at to fade.

I think the next rounds are going to be good for automatic fade bets. Clement, Blake, Ivanovic, Stosur going forward possibly, Ljubicic, Almagro, etc

EaglesPhan36 · 09-01-10, 11:06 AM

Today was a good match-up for Ana. Zheng has been a mess outside of her mini-run at Montreal. Only reason people would have been on her today was if they were stuck in the Australian Open results still. Ana has been pretty good recently. Maybe she can at least be a semi-factor again and make QFs of tourneys.

ringemup · 09-01-10, 11:36 AM

likin andreev vs monfils

EaglesPhan36 · 09-01-10, 12:27 PM

Harrison close to going up 2-1 on Ljubicic. Wonder if he can avoid flaking out.

MUHerd37 · 09-01-10, 12:28 PM

I had Azarenka in a bet so I'm glad she didn't finish the first set. But yeah the Dulko backers did get screwed. Azarenka just can't be trusted for multiple reasons. Berdych had better watch out as he is down a set. Sucks for him that he has Llodra in the 1st round

MUHerd37 · 09-01-10, 12:50 PM

Looks like Bartoli just shit the bed

Stacocakes · 09-01-10, 01:16 PM

Wow Berdych down 2 sets to 0. This upset would be huge for outrights

Bartoli lost the fisrt set but has the break in the second

Chela up a set over Lu. Good call so far Eagles

Ljubicic about to lose as well wow. Another good call eagles

EaglesPhan36 · 09-01-10, 01:22 PM

Not totally shocked if Berdych loses, but shocked that it could be in straights. Llodra is one of those guys who you never know with any more.

Seppi also loses as a sizeable favorite.

MUHerd37 · 09-01-10, 01:41 PM

Berdych down a break now in the 3rd set. He's done. He can't handle Llodra's serve at all.

Stacocakes · 09-01-10, 01:50 PM

Anyone thinks berdych breaks back?? I don't think so. Not many chances left

Goat Milk · 09-01-10, 01:52 PM

good to see berdych lose.

Stacocakes · 09-01-10, 01:54 PM

This will be big for those that have murray outrights. Was going to be a tough match in the quarterfinals between the two. Also is good for Nadal outright backers

Stacocakes · 09-01-10, 01:57 PM

2 match point chokes haha

Stacocakes · 09-01-10, 01:58 PM

Llodra wins wow

Stacocakes · 09-01-10, 02:07 PM

obviously ljubicic didn't look in the mirror before he got dressed for his match today.Unbelievable

MUHerd37 · 09-01-10, 02:16 PM

Bartoli got upset in straight sets. That surprises me almost as much as the Berdych loss.

Stacocakes · 09-01-10, 02:28 PM

First day was mostly favs and now its been some dogs either winning or at least coming close. Hard to bet big favs these days.To much uncertainty

Goat Milk · 09-01-10, 02:29 PM

Originally posted by MUHerd37

Bartoli got upset in straight sets. That surprises me almost as much as the Berdych loss.

Bartoli doesn't really surprise me. I had the Over in that match but regret not putting money on Razz as well. Last time these two played Bartoli retired and was being a baby about it and didn't shake Razz's hand. They haven't played since and I think the vet defeintely remembers that moment.

Berdych doesn't surprise me that he lost but that he couldn't take a set is a joke. I've never thought Berdych is a world class player. He had his few moments, now its time to come back down to reality. Ljubacic losing to Harrison surprises me. Harrison is not that good of a player in my opinion. I know Ljub wasn't really completely in form, but you can tell his time in tennis is almost over

Stacocakes · 09-01-10, 02:35 PM

Berdych has always had the tools its just he was a mental midget

Wawrinka cruising along

Simon destroying Young.No surprise at all there

Goat Milk · 09-01-10, 02:41 PM

big play on monfils

Stacocakes · 09-01-10, 02:47 PM

Good luck goat

EaglesPhan36 · 09-01-10, 02:48 PM

Line has been moving opposite of Monfils -215 to open, saw it as low as -180 this morning. Monfils has the better talent, but consistency is the issue. Andreev can be a pest when he serves well. GL!

Goat Milk · 09-01-10, 02:51 PM

Thanks guys. Andreev won't have time to position himself for that big forehand like he did against Zeballos and the public is most likely reacting to the H2H between these two which is pretty much irrelevant. Monfils' groundstrokes and the way he's been able to hit down the line consistantly should give Andreev problems and cause him to make several UE. his footwork isn't all that impressive.

lets hope monfils does his job.

How about that first set with simon. Was that the fatest first set at a major ever?

it felt like no more than 7 minutes

MUHerd37 · 09-01-10, 03:11 PM

How about Isner? Anyone know much about his injury and recovery?