[zec]

Of course this happens 5 minutes after I make a wager.. They just got $3 million shipped to them; spoiled brats..

[Dmoneytx]

Awesome 3rd round match coming up HB!!! Monfils vs Gasquet!!! Oh wait, no it isn't.... That match will be Vesley vs Kyrgios, LOL!!!

Try capping that shit fest, lol... BOL man, I hope all is well with you

[frugalgambler]

Thanks for the heads up. I laid off most of my bet on GHA +0.5. Yeah, Ghana has just divided the money among the players and that probably means that they do not expect to advance. Plus the fighting (probably over who gets what). Still liking the over, although that line was really pounded: o3 moved from -110 to -150.

[frugalgambler]

Suarez got suspended btw. The Colombia line did move from -165 to -175, but that happened even before the suspension was announced.

[Hardcoar]

So USA has to beat Germany, don't they??

[zec]

So USA has to beat Germany, don't they??

Not at all.. Draw gets them through for sure and a minimal loss would be enough unless Ghana wins. If Ghana and Portugal draw; USA gets through no matter what. If Portugal wins; as long as it's not blowout they should be safe because they have 5 goals to spare..

[Hardcoar]

What I mean is: For Portugal to advance, USA has to beat Germany, doesn't it?

[zec]

What I mean is: For Portugal to advance, USA has to beat Germany, doesn't it?

No, they have a better chance to catch USA because Portugal would have 4 points and the loser of USA and Germany also 4 points. Then they would look at goal differential; since Germany has the best, Portugal's only chance is to destroy Ghana and hope Germany does the same to USA.

[Hardcoar]

Interesting. Thank you for the heads up.

[frugalgambler]

Suarez got suspended btw. The Colombia line did move from -165 to -175, but that happened even before the suspension was announced.

Wow, the line jumped to -200 five mins my original post. Shoulda pounded it even more.

[frugalgambler]

Zvonareva deceived me, LOL. She is coming off a shoulder injury and she said in her pre-match interview how she could barely lift her arm after the 1st rounder. Yet, today she played like a former Wimdy finalist she is. At least, I had a decent FIFA day. Some interesting lines tomorrow. Cibulkova owns Safarova, BZS to take a set off Li Na. Let's see how it goes.

[Marillion]

I like a square soccer bet today, Brazil -1.

Just cause it's World Cup in Brazil and I'm into conspiracy/fixing theories (like Brazil's losses in 1998 and 2006).

[matt1216]

Mar.... This game is going over 2.5 goals@1.71....

[Honeybadger44]

I like a square soccer bet today, Brazil -1.

Just cause it's World Cup in Brazil and I'm into conspiracy/fixing theories (like Brazil's losses in 1998 and 2006).

Mar.... This game is going over 2.5 goals@1.71....

Hmmm, -1 doesn't seem to offer any value. As I wrote before, this Brazilian team is built to get the job done, with defensive minded and very stricktly disciplined game. They also lack some quality up front, to beat other teams with big margins, at this level. I am actualy liking under 2.75 bet, unlike Matt, who is leaning toward the over. Chile is aggressive team, but their coach knows what to expect from Brazil here, so I don't believe that they are going to attack with numbers. Cautious approach from both sides and I am liking the under at this line.

[matt1216]

Good god, there shoulda been 4 or 5 goals by now... That goal disallowed wtf was that... Clean goal

[Honeybadger44]

Good god, there shoulda been 4 or 5 goals by now... That goal disallowed wtf was that... Clean goal

Over would be deserved, considering number of nice goal opportunities... But that disallowed goal was a correct decision. Hulk controled that ball with his biceps. Clear handball...

[Marillion]

Guys what do you think about Netherlands ML at 2.00?

[Spinny]

I like Netherlands but Mexico is playing well so don't expect an easy win. I have opted for Netherlands to qualify as a safer bet

[Honeybadger44]

For me, by far the toughest game to predict in this round. I feel that Netherlands might be slightly overrated and a most possible public burrial of the round (alongside Belgium). Other favorites doesn't have enough strong opponents, while Mexico is very dangerous and can pull an upset here... I am definitely staying away from this one, form betting perspective.

[matt1216]

Ndtherlands/Mexico Under 2.5 goals @ 1.77... This hits

[Hardcoar]

That's tricky with the Dutchmen's insane counters and dynamic game (particularly given such a worthy adversary offensively as well), but with a brick wall before Mexico's goal, it might work.

How well acquainted are you with foot football, Matty?

[Marillion]

IMO public is going to hit Netherlands way more than Belgium, I'm also pretty impressed with the names in the Belgian squad but OMG most of them play so bad. Dutchies are playing well (except Sneijder, no idea what this guy is doing there).

As for the game, I'm actually not very impressed with Mexico. They were lucky to get a draw against an otherwise (in this tournament) unconvincing Brazil side (Chile did much better, I think). They had two nice wins, of course, but Cameroon are horrible and Croatia have been overrated due to their past glory.

Not that it is huge value but I definitely think the Dutchies win this more than 50% of the time.

As for the current under and over lines I have, I find them holding no value (2.20 over, 1.65 under at bet365). GL with your bet matt, I think I'd stay away even at 1.77 but I hope you win this. : )

[Hardcoar]

I like Netherlands but Mexico is playing well so don't expect an easy win. I have opted for Netherlands to qualify as a safer bet

I'm on the same thing myself @ 1.555, but I have to say DNB (+0) is a safer option; If shit comes down to penalties, I'm worried the poverty-support crew might outweigh the technical skill and experience of the Dutchmen.

[Hardcoar]

Rolling with CR @ 2.82 just before closing.

[Marillion]

Good luck to you with CR, I have absolutely no idea what a good bet here is. I have a suspicion that there may be an overreaction from the bettors and over 3.5 at odds of 6.00 holds some value (but my soccer predictions are hardly better than shots in the dark).

[Hardcoar]

Hook me up with a football winner you badger f*ck!

[Hardcoar]

Not even an ill-spirited reactive flame.
: (

[Honeybadger44]

Hook me up with a football winner you badger f*ck!

It's tough to do that today. I would go with France -1, but at current line -1.25 there is no value.

Algeria played really good so far, in my eyes. +1.5 might hold some value, especially with Germany being overrated since game 1, imho. But, I am bit worried, becuase Ramadan started for Muslims, so some players on Algerian team will be fasting... They have to be in top shape, to get a good result here, so we will see.

[Marillion]

I'm gonna keep on posting square predictions - IMO Germany to qualify at 1.11 holds small value.