I'm gonna be all over Gael Monfils tonight at -150. He's looked pretty solid the last couple tournaments since coming back from injury. He's great on the surface. Monfils beat Simon on the same surface last January. And last but not least Simon did not look great against Go Soeda (who is really bad himself on the hard courts). He got pushed 6-4, 6-4 and I think his shoulder may still be an issue.
For me, I will say this is going to be a big play (bigger than medium, smaller than huge). I'm not really planning on discussing units too often in this thread. If anyone does end up wanting to tail me, I think it's best for you to decide how much you are comfortable in playing.