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  • DavidGoliath5003
    SBR MVP
    • 03-20-18
    • 4100

    #876
    ATP Houston:

    Sandgren/Tipserevic Over 22 Games @1.97 *8 x 2 units
    Comment
    • flabrah5
      SBR MVP
      • 11-11-12
      • 1743

      #877
      Dude, day of dogs. Bencic goes down in straights and then Ostapenko loses in 3 sets after taking the 1st 6-2. She was even up serving for match at 5-4 in the 3rd and loses 5-7.

      Pre-match was like -400. What do you think live was after the 1st set? Or even up 5-4 in the 3rd and serving?

      Also, I took my bankroll and found out DraftKings has daily fantasy tennis now. I have a 85% hit rate so far on Head-to-Head tournaments ranging from $200-$1k.

      I highly suggest with your tennis knowledge that you head over there and give it a shot. These guys make a living on NBA and MLB, and I do well in MLB, but I've never done this well and been this consistent until tennis. Highly suggest you give it at least a look.

      If you don't have DraftKings, I can refer you and we both get a free $40 Head-to-head ticket to play each other - winner takes $80.

      Let me know what you think but I've moved my tennis wagering to fantasy and bad beats are a lot easier to swallow and make up for as the other player can experience them as well.

      BOL on clay, I know you've been waiting to this.

      Tomic also looked great today. I paid up for him instead of Bencic on my lineup and the other guy had Bencic. Let's just say it was a nice cruise to a W.
      Comment
      • DavidGoliath5003
        SBR MVP
        • 03-20-18
        • 4100

        #878
        I knew Tipserevic was going to win and i took the over instead wondering why the line on tipsy kept going up... smh. I need to trust myself more
        Comment
        • DavidGoliath5003
          SBR MVP
          • 03-20-18
          • 4100

          #879
          Originally posted by flabrah5
          Dude, day of dogs. Bencic goes down in straights and then Ostapenko loses in 3 sets after taking the 1st 6-2. She was even up serving for match at 5-4 in the 3rd and loses 5-7.

          Pre-match was like -400. What do you think live was after the 1st set? Or even up 5-4 in the 3rd and serving?

          Also, I took my bankroll and found out DraftKings has daily fantasy tennis now. I have a 85% hit rate so far on Head-to-Head tournaments ranging from $200-$1k.

          I highly suggest with your tennis knowledge that you head over there and give it a shot. These guys make a living on NBA and MLB, and I do well in MLB, but I've never done this well and been this consistent until tennis. Highly suggest you give it at least a look.

          If you don't have DraftKings, I can refer you and we both get a free $40 Head-to-head ticket to play each other - winner takes $80.

          Let me know what you think but I've moved my tennis wagering to fantasy and bad beats are a lot easier to swallow and make up for as the other player can experience them as well.

          BOL on clay, I know you've been waiting to this.

          Tomic also looked great today. I paid up for him instead of Bencic on my lineup and the other guy had Bencic. Let's just say it was a nice cruise to a W.
          Thanks for that ill look into this for sure.
          Comment
          • Conqueror
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-08-13
            • 16778

            #880
            Don't know what's going on with our dear Bencic.
            Comment
            • DavidGoliath5003
              SBR MVP
              • 03-20-18
              • 4100

              #881
              Originally posted by Conqueror
              Don't know what's going on with our dear Bencic.
              Its tradition to take part of the season off if said players kill it at the the beginning of the season.
              Comment
              • DavidGoliath5003
                SBR MVP
                • 03-20-18
                • 4100

                #882
                ATP Marrackech:

                Sonego ML @1.71 *8 x 2 units
                Andreozzi ML @2.32 *8 x 2 units
                Comment
                • Gaze73
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-27-14
                  • 3291

                  #883
                  Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
                  I knew Tipserevic was going to win and i took the over instead wondering why the line on tipsy kept going up... smh. I need to trust myself more
                  Sometimes you just have to go against the market, even if you're wrong it's usually a break-even bet long term. But yeah, the line movements in tennis are weird. In other sports it makes sense because of player substitutions and whatnot, but what kind of info moves the price of a tennis player by 50% or more? It can't always be info about injuries because Tipsarevic wasn't injured.
                  Comment
                  • Jeff_Black
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-04-15
                    • 3571

                    #884
                    Yeah I took several long looks at that Simon and Andreozzi game before deciding to pass on it heh.

                    I feel like fading Zverev at some point soon too. Can't see him going full tilt in a tournament right before Monte Carlo.
                    Comment
                    • flabrah5
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-11-12
                      • 1743

                      #885
                      Ruud over Opelka today. Much better clay player.

                      I like Laaksonen to do it again. Great match yesterday with ease. Another clay advantage IMO as well.
                      Comment
                      • DavidGoliath5003
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-20-18
                        • 4100

                        #886
                        Originally posted by Gaze73
                        Sometimes you just have to go against the market, even if you're wrong it's usually a break-even bet long term. But yeah, the line movements in tennis are weird. In other sports it makes sense because of player substitutions and whatnot, but what kind of info moves the price of a tennis player by 50% or more? It can't always be info about injuries because Tipsarevic wasn't injured.
                        I think it told he how young the Tennis market is. Tipserevic was once a top 20 clay player.
                        Comment
                        • DavidGoliath5003
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-20-18
                          • 4100

                          #887
                          Originally posted by flabrah5
                          Ruud over Opelka today. Much better clay player.

                          I like Laaksonen to do it again. Great match yesterday with ease. Another clay advantage IMO as well.
                          This clay is like a dust of clay on a hardcourt incase you are wondering. Tread carefully
                          Comment
                          • DavidGoliath5003
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-20-18
                            • 4100

                            #888
                            Originally posted by Jeff_Black
                            Yeah I took several long looks at that Simon and Andreozzi game before deciding to pass on it heh.

                            I feel like fading Zverev at some point soon too. Can't see him going full tilt in a tournament right before Monte Carlo.
                            Yeah it was more of a play against Simon... i thought he could care less here... normally i would fade zverev here but he may be told to use this tournament to find form
                            Comment
                            • DavidGoliath5003
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-20-18
                              • 4100

                              #889
                              ATP Marrakech:

                              Tsonga ML @2.85 *6 x 1 unit
                              Comment
                              • DavidGoliath5003
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-20-18
                                • 4100

                                #890
                                The more i look at it Opelka should beat Rudd here.
                                Comment
                                • flabrah5
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-11-12
                                  • 1743

                                  #891
                                  Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
                                  This clay is like a dust of clay on a hardcourt incase you are wondering. Tread carefully
                                  Valid point. Tsonga was huge value vs Edmund. Like your play there.

                                  Opelka serves should be on, but Ruud is playing well. I think the line is fishy more than anything.

                                  BOL
                                  Comment
                                  • DavidGoliath5003
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-20-18
                                    • 4100

                                    #892
                                    Originally posted by flabrah5
                                    Valid point. Tsonga was huge value vs Edmund. Like your play there.

                                    Opelka serves should be on, but Ruud is playing well. I think the line is fishy more than anything.

                                    BOL
                                    Rudd is better than Opelka on a conventional clay court. Rudd will be at a disadvantage on this court on service games.
                                    Comment
                                    • DavidGoliath5003
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-20-18
                                      • 4100

                                      #893
                                      ATP Houston:

                                      Tomic ML @2.44 *8 x 2 units
                                      Comment
                                      • Conqueror
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-08-13
                                        • 16778

                                        #894
                                        Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
                                        ATP Houston:

                                        Tomic ML @2.44 *8 x 2 units
                                        Tailed.
                                        Comment
                                        • flabrah5
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-11-12
                                          • 1743

                                          #895
                                          Wish they had replay. Tsonga did not double fault. Ball doesn't lie, first good set! Played a $2k H2H in DraftKings and don't know why I couldnt lay Tsonga as he was so cheap. Luckily the other guy has Edmund and he was expensive. Tsonga take the 2nd set for both of us!
                                          Comment
                                          • Conqueror
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-08-13
                                            • 16778

                                            #896
                                            Originally posted by flabrah5
                                            Valid point. Tsonga was huge value vs Edmund. Like your play there.

                                            Opelka serves should be on, but Ruud is playing well. I think the line is fishy more than anything.

                                            BOL
                                            Like the OVER in the Opelka match.
                                            Comment
                                            • flabrah5
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-11-12
                                              • 1743

                                              #897
                                              Originally posted by Conqueror
                                              Like the OVER in the Opelka match.
                                              I could have afforded Opelka, but took Ruud in fantasy. He has Opelka so this is a crucial game for me and now I wish I did Opelka as his Edmund play is tanking.

                                              If I had to wager, I agree on the over. I see 3 sets.
                                              Comment
                                              • DavidGoliath5003
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-20-18
                                                • 4100

                                                #898
                                                Originally posted by Conqueror
                                                Tailed.
                                                Lol im sorry... Tomic is so scary to back at times. I couldnt pass these odds up
                                                Comment
                                                • DavidGoliath5003
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-20-18
                                                  • 4100

                                                  #899
                                                  Originally posted by flabrah5
                                                  I could have afforded Opelka, but took Ruud in fantasy. He has Opelka so this is a crucial game for me and now I wish I did Opelka as his Edmund play is tanking.

                                                  If I had to wager, I agree on the over. I see 3 sets.
                                                  Ill PM you in a bit here
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Conqueror
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-08-13
                                                    • 16778

                                                    #900
                                                    Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
                                                    Lol im sorry... Tomic is so scary to back at times. I couldnt pass these odds up
                                                    Is he on a wheel chair?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • flabrah5
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-11-12
                                                      • 1743

                                                      #901
                                                      Harrison is looking like crap right now. Loving this! Laak was cheap and I have him in the lineup.

                                                      Telling you guys, with our tennis knowledge there is a lot to be made on DraftKings daily tennis.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DavidGoliath5003
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-20-18
                                                        • 4100

                                                        #902
                                                        Originally posted by flabrah5
                                                        Harrison is looking like crap right now. Loving this! Laak was cheap and I have him in the lineup.

                                                        Telling you guys, with our tennis knowledge there is a lot to be made on DraftKings daily tennis.
                                                        Yeah i think you are right. I will take a look when i get home
                                                        Comment
                                                        • flabrah5
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-11-12
                                                          • 1743

                                                          #903
                                                          Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
                                                          Yeah i think you are right. I will take a look when i get home
                                                          DM me your number. Let's take this down together. About to easily cash a $2k head to head today.

                                                          If you had Tsonga you would have made serious money in the larger tournies.

                                                          Id like to work with you on this. I'm on a 6 game win streak. 4 $500 H2Hs and 2 $1k H2Hs. $4k win in past two days. And I had players do bad who I would have lost if I bet straight up.

                                                          And let me refer you. We get two $40 tickets to play each other H2H, so one of us walks away with $80 just because I signed you up.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DavidGoliath5003
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-20-18
                                                            • 4100

                                                            #904
                                                            ATP Houston:

                                                            Opelka ML @1.98 *8 x 2 units
                                                            Comment
                                                            • DavidGoliath5003
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-20-18
                                                              • 4100

                                                              #905
                                                              Record: 234-208-10: +3742$

                                                              a rough stretch the past 2-3 weeks, these things happen. Now its time to grind our way back up. 1 play pending
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ELNATURAL
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-27-17
                                                                • 1957

                                                                #906
                                                                Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
                                                                ATP Houston:

                                                                Opelka ML @1.98 *8 x 2 units
                                                                Opelka should be favoured a bit more here and odds are a little fishy.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • DavidGoliath5003
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-20-18
                                                                  • 4100

                                                                  #907
                                                                  Originally posted by ELNATURAL
                                                                  Opelka should be favoured a bit more here and odds are a little fishy.
                                                                  The odds makers hear the word clay and assume Rudd is better. Opelka could come out rusty... maybe hes spent from his early success. IF Opelka is on with his serves Rudd will have a tough time getting depth on his shots. I know what you’re saying regarding the odds, but this is more on how Opelka is feeling imo
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • DavidGoliath5003
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-20-18
                                                                    • 4100

                                                                    #908
                                                                    WTA Bogota:

                                                                    Ahn K. ML @1.71 *9 x 2.5 units
                                                                    Lepchenko ML @4.22 *6 x .5 units

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • gorwin068
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 05-16-16
                                                                      • 920

                                                                      #909
                                                                      Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
                                                                      WTA Bogota:

                                                                      Ahn K. ML @1.71 *9 x 2.5 units
                                                                      Lepchenko ML @4.22 *6 x .5 units

                                                                      There was a large odds movement for Ahn K. ??? It was around 1.40 at the beginning ?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • DavidGoliath5003
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 03-20-18
                                                                        • 4100

                                                                        #910
                                                                        Originally posted by gorwin068
                                                                        There was a large odds movement for Ahn K. ??? It was around 1.40 at the beginning ?
                                                                        Maybe people think there will be a letdown after a long match vs Ostapenko.
                                                                        Comment
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