ATP/WTA/Challengers

[DavidGoliath5003]

Galan is only +104 to win the 2nd set. Duh.

I knew it, i was to much of a pussy to pull the trigger on Galan FML

[Conqueror]

Im going to lose my mind if Riveiros wins this in straights..... i was like surely Johnson can take a set here

As gamblers, we're in trouble. How can you predict these shady results?

[DavidGoliath5003]

As gamblers, we're in trouble. How can you predict these shady results?

Nahh dude ill stop being a pussy. Anything over +200 and my book tells me who will win. All they have to do is lean .30-.40 cents in the opposite direction

[DavidGoliath5003]

Ill be on top of it next time

[DavidGoliath5003]

ATP Houston:

Giraldo ML @2.33 *8 x 2 units
Giraldo +3 Games @1.75 *9 x 3 units

heavier conditions with the weather in Houston should help slow down the conditions for Giraldo

[Conqueror]

Galan to win the 2nd set by 6-3 was at +1900 early in the 2nd set. Crazy!

[DavidGoliath5003]

Galan to win the 2nd set by 6-3 was at +1900 early in the 2nd set. Crazy!

Yup my book told me i ignored it. Giraldo line is not inflated at my book, so it should be a Giraldo win or a 3 setter at worst

[Conqueror]

Yup my book told me i ignored it. Giraldo line is not inflated at my book, so it should be a Giraldo win or a 3 setter at worst

The line movement on the Giraldo match suggests he wins in straight sets at +296. The ML went down to +125 at Bookmaker.

[DavidGoliath5003]

The line movement on the Giraldo match suggests he wins in straight sets at +296. The ML went down to +125 at Bookmaker.

We saw line movement on tipserevic that killed people day 1 +120 to
+200...

however i know the books usually get a grip on these players and forsee a better outcome as the tourney moves along. I believe the weather and heavy air might have something to do with the line movement. Johnson likes faster clay... obviously he was horse crap when it slowed down. Giraldo will like it slower, atleast slower than it has been

[flabrah5]

You won't believe this (or you probably will bc we've all been there) but I finally got my bad cooler on tennis in DraftKings. Had my most prized lineup that I played a $5k H2H and entered the $300 contest, winner takes 20k.

Everyone had Zverev of course, I did not. I chose Johnson and when Zverev went down I was looking at 1st place and 10k on the H2H. My biggest play to date after building a nice bankroll. Had Errani, Pliskova, Querry, Tipsarevic, etc. Everyone won in straight sets and it comes down to Johnson. Bought some beer, turned the match on, and was grinning ear to ear as i was up on the head to head by 12 points once the match started (you get 30 points for a match start and go from there).

All I needed was Johnson to at least win a set and I'd take the 20k contest + 10k from the head to head. Well, what happened you ask? He loses in straight sets and finishes the night with 14 fantasy points.

I double up the $300 bc the lineup was unbelievable and lose the H2H. ($4700) on the day when I had even odds for Johnson to take a set to win $25k.

Boy oh boy I will never forget this match.

BTW - I'll be writing that post soon. If you would have made a lineup on dog picks today you would have won it all. Thing is, you have $50k fantasy dollars to build a team. Would be ballsy to only use around $30k of the $50k, but with the dogs barking it would have worked.

This is where fantasy hurts bc you can't roster a heavy heavy dog in a lineup unless you truly think they are going to win and leave all the usable salary on the table.

BOL, write up soon to come I'm just hurting so bad. Frankly, I should have found a way to put 15k on Galan ML. No joke, if Johnson wins I win 25k, so no idea why I don't hedge in wagering vs daily fantasy. It's a good strategy but it only happened bc Johnson was so late and Zverev had a chance to finish way early to know the outcomes. Rare time for it to happen, but even laying 5k on Galan if I could find a place to do it, gives me a $7k gain or $20k gain. I mean Johnson just had to win a set but lesson learned. Anything can happen.

Still can't process anything right now 😒

[DavidGoliath5003]

You won't believe this (or you probably will bc we've all been there) but I finally got my bad cooler on tennis in DraftKings. Had my most prized lineup that I played a $5k H2H and entered the $300 contest, winner takes 20k.

Everyone had Zverev of course, I did not. I chose Johnson and when Zverev went down I was looking at 1st place and 10k on the H2H. My biggest play to date after building a nice bankroll. Had Errani, Pliskova, Querry, Tipsarevic, etc. Everyone won in straight sets and it comes down to Johnson. Bought some beer, turned the match on, and was grinning ear to ear as i was up on the head to head by 12 points once the match started (you get 30 points for a match start and go from there).

All I needed was Johnson to at least win a set and I'd take the 20k contest + 10k from the head to head. Well, what happened you ask? He loses in straight sets and finishes the night with 14 fantasy points.

I double up the $300 bc the lineup was unbelievable and lose the H2H. ($4700) on the day when I had even odds for Johnson to take a set to win $25k.

Boy oh boy I will never forget this match.

BTW - I'll be writing that post soon. If you would have made a lineup on dog picks today you would have won it all. Thing is, you have $50k fantasy dollars to build a team. Would be ballsy to only use around $30k of the $50k, but with the dogs barking it would have worked.

This is where fantasy hurts bc you can't roster a heavy heavy dog in a lineup unless you truly think they are going to win and leave all the usable salary on the table.

BOL, write up soon to come I'm just hurting so bad. Frankly, I should have found a way to put 15k on Galan ML. No joke, if Johnson wins I win 25k, so no idea why I don't hedge in wagering vs daily fantasy. It's a good strategy but it only happened bc Johnson was so late and Zverev had a chance to finish way early to know the outcomes. Rare time for it to happen, but even laying 5k on Galan if I could find a place to do it, gives me a $7k gain or $20k gain. I mean Johnson just had to win a set but lesson learned. Anything can happen.

Still can't process anything right now 

Sorry to hear bud... i cant believe everyone had Zverev... the odds told us it was sketchy at best. Tipserevic was the steal of the day imo. Keep killin it bud. It sounds line you are doing great

[ELNATURAL]

Giraldo Up 2-1 as he broke Thompson 2nd set.

Up 40-0 4th game and then completely lost focus. Not only losing that game but 3 games after.

Total collapse.

[DavidGoliath5003]

Challenger Taipei:

Jung ML @1.68 x 2 units *8

[DavidGoliath5003]

Kohscriber up 5-3 1st set ... loss 6-7
Ahn K up 3-0 3rd set loss 3-6
Giraldo up 5-3 3rd set loss 5-7

cant make this shit up

[ELNATURAL]

Giraldo forced some difficult shots instead of playing out the rally with Thompson when he had the chance to finish him.

He had better success when he was patient. Match got away from him when he decided to do to much in my opinion.

Thompson didn’t look very good or comfortable at all throughout the whole match.

[DavidGoliath5003]

Giraldo forced some difficult shots instead of playing out the rally with Thompson when he had the chance to finish him.

He had better success when he was patient. Match got away from him when he decided to do to much in my opinion.

Thompson didn’t look very good or comfortable at all throughout the whole match.

I suppose that is why Giraldo has wasted a solid career. Too bad

[ELNATURAL]

I’m a little puzzled as to why Novak is a substantial favourite over Sugita. He was slightly more of a favourite over Uchida last match and Uchida is hot trash. Is Sugita just that much worse?

Can’t really trust Novak at the moment in my opinion.

[DavidGoliath5003]

I’m a little puzzled as to why Novak is a substantial favourite over Sugita. He was slightly more of a favourite over Uchida last match and Uchida is hot trash. Is Sugita just that much worse?

Can’t really trust Novak at the moment in my opinion.

So both guys like the indoor Hardcourt conditions, i think slightly slower favours Sugita.. both guys are trying to progress to get better. I agree with you, i wouldnt take Novak as a favorite.

[ELNATURAL]

So both guys like the indoor Hardcourt conditions, i think slightly slower favours Sugita.. both guys are trying to progress to get better. I agree with you, i wouldnt take Novak as a favorite.

Makes me want to wager on Novak here.

Odds make you want to take the dog especially where they are playing. Oddsmakers giving Novak a lot of respect here for a reason.

[DavidGoliath5003]

ATP Marrakech:

Andujar/Vesley Over 22 Games @1.91 *9 x 3 units
Paire 1st set @2.40 *8 x 1.5 units

[Gaze73]

I like Tipsarevic again, what do you think? Great odds.

[ELNATURAL]

Makes me want to wager on Novak here.

Odds make you want to take the dog especially where they are playing. Oddsmakers giving Novak a lot of respect here for a reason.

Novak straight set winner.

[DavidGoliath5003]

I like Tipsarevic again, what do you think? Great odds.

Yeah, i wouldnt fade him.

[DavidGoliath5003]

Novak straight set winner.

Good call.

[DavidGoliath5003]

ATP Marrakech/ATP Houston:

Tsonga -2.5 Games @1.81 *9 x 2.5 units
Tipserevic ML @2.92 *8 x 1.5 units

[ELNATURAL]

Good call.

Thanks good luck today !

[ThinkingTrip]

Paire vs Andujar Marrakech Final wait for it lol

Becomming a reality, but my guess is a Simon - Tsonga final

[DavidGoliath5003]

WTA Lugano:

Pliskova ML @2.55 *7 x 2 units

[flabrah5]

Liking Tips today vs Querry. Too much value given there historic head to heads.

[Gaze73]

The market doesn't like Tipsarevic today and yet you, Jeff and me chose him. Hopefully it will be a repeat of the Zverev scenario.

[DavidGoliath5003]

The market doesn't like Tipsarevic today and yet you, Jeff and me chose him. Hopefully it will be a repeat of the Zverev scenario.

My book was fading him too... my book is almost always right. I however value my own opinion and believe Tipsy at +150 or greater is a decent play.

[ELNATURAL]

I took Querrey so you guys are in good shape already.

Good luck.

[DavidGoliath5003]

I took Querrey so you guys are in good shape already.

Good luck.

Im a bit nervous about this one however the last time the public faded Tipsy hard Tipsy won in straights 6-1 7-6.

[richierich25]

Thanks for the plays brother! Great day so far

[DavidGoliath5003]

Thanks for the plays brother! Great day so far

Anytime bud... about time we get some of these back