Moar Threads? Moar Picks

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Hardcoar
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-17-13
    • 15606

    #281
    I'm not sure what your question is, but both of the latest bets are for the respective player to win the match, now non-void as the first set has been completed in both matches.
    Comment
    • tsimmns
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-23-13
      • 677

      #282
      Yes I was wondering if you picked both to win outright. I like to follow your picks as you seem very knowledgeable about tennis.
      Comment
      • Hardcoar
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-17-13
        • 15606

        #283
        I'd say I'm better at betting tennis (reading specific matches and how they are reflected in the odds) than at having knowledge of the actual sports and its technicalities, but thanks!

        Also, if the bets are not ML (money-line/match-line/outright), it will be noted in the post.
        Comment
        • tsimmns
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-23-13
          • 677

          #284
          Any thoughts on Nadal?. Im used to high juice but made a good but last year betting tennis and high juice, mainly majors and favorites in early rounds.
          Comment
          • Hardcoar
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-17-13
            • 15606

            #285
            I think the odds on offer for Nadal @ 1.16 are shit, and would not touch them. If anything Verdasco looks tempting as Nadal brand inflates the odds of his opponent; partly justified, partly not.
            Comment
            • Hardcoar
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-17-13
              • 15606

              #286
              Errani @ 3.95
              Comment
              • Hardcoar
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-17-13
                • 15606

                #287
                Bellis @ 14.5
                Comment
                • tsimmns
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 10-23-13
                  • 677

                  #288
                  Might take the spread on Verdasco or the over at 20.5, that's probably what I end up going with.
                  Comment
                  • Hardcoar
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-17-13
                    • 15606

                    #289
                    Verdasco could lose 6-0;6-0, or he could win in straights. What I do know is this: Nadal has not been consistently good at all this year. He simply has not played anyone that good. Raonic beat him last week and he didn't play great; barely even good IMO.

                    Also, Verdasco's form the past couple of weeks seems decent or better, whereas Nadal was shit against Almugro and Young both.
                    Comment
                    • tsimmns
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 10-23-13
                      • 677

                      #290
                      Tailing you on Bellis. But taking her at +7 for 1 unit
                      Comment
                      • Hardcoar
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-17-13
                        • 15606

                        #291
                        My thoughts on that one is that Serena's status is very questionable, and she wasn't playing well at all last week either. Even if she doesn't retire, it is quite reasonable to expect her to perform poorly, by her standards. Bellis meanwhile has been putting in impressive results this week and isn't the worst case for fading Serena, especially at such high odds.

                        Again, much like in the case of Nadal–Verdasco, she could get smoked 6-0;6-0, but I foresee a mediocre Serena potentially struggling against an audacious and confident youngster.
                        Comment
                        • Hardcoar
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-17-13
                          • 15606

                          #292
                          F-f-f-f-f-f-f-f-f-f-fer-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-rNANDOo-o-o-o-o-o-o-o-o-o-o-o-o-o-o @ 7.8
                          Comment
                          • Hardcoar
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-17-13
                            • 15606

                            #293
                            Lisicki @ 3 – 2 units
                            Comment
                            • JohnnyRudeboy
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-30-09
                              • 1646

                              #294
                              Rafa looking like poo wish I tailed
                              Comment
                              • Hardcoar
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-17-13
                                • 15606

                                #295
                                It's not like it's a newsflash. Is this the first time you're watching Nadal? He has been looking like whoreshit all year, and he keeps winning matches against the midgets that constitute most of the ATP tour. It's just what he does best: Winning doing absolutely nothing. The most hilarious thing of all is that he'll probably win Roland Garros in the exact same fashion!

                                Thoroughly expect Fiasco to find a way of losing this one too!
                                Comment
                                • JohnnyRudeboy
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-30-09
                                  • 1646

                                  #296
                                  Only the second time I've been laid up on the couch in time to catch him play actually. He didn't look bad in whatever it was I saw him play previously, but as you mentioned, it was probably against some cupcake. Incidentally, I do think the wind is partly to blame for fugging him up a bit.
                                  Last edited by JohnnyRudeboy; 03-29-15, 05:10 PM. Reason: typing hungover is difficult
                                  Comment
                                  • Hardcoar
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-17-13
                                    • 15606

                                    #297
                                    If Fiasco does manage to go up a break in 3:rd I'm hedging the f*ck out, lol...
                                    Comment
                                    • JohnnyRudeboy
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-30-09
                                      • 1646

                                      #298
                                      Just did
                                      Comment
                                      • Hardcoar
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 02-17-13
                                        • 15606

                                        #299
                                        Hedged for 70% of initial profit after the hold with Verdasco @ 1.39 (Nadal @ 3.6).
                                        Comment
                                        • tsimmns
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 10-23-13
                                          • 677

                                          #300
                                          What's best site to watch tennis live ESPN sucks
                                          Comment
                                          • Hardcoar
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 02-17-13
                                            • 15606

                                            #301
                                            The bookies are the best since they are the only ones whose feeds aren't delayed by five or more seconds.

                                            Secondary alternatives:





                                            Now why the f*ck would you post this here?
                                            Comment
                                            • Hardcoar
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-17-13
                                              • 15606

                                              #302
                                              Lisicki @ 3.2 – 2 units
                                              Comment
                                              • Hardcoar
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 02-17-13
                                                • 15606

                                                #303
                                                Garcia-Lopez 2-1 @ 5.2 – 2 units
                                                Comment
                                                • Hardcoar
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 02-17-13
                                                  • 15606

                                                  #304
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Begu @ 1.59
                                                  W
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Golubev @ 2.4 – 2 units
                                                  L
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Lorenzi @ 3.95
                                                  L
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Kukushkin @ 3.35
                                                  W
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Falla @ 2.24
                                                  W
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Schmiedlova @ 8.2
                                                  L
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Vögele @ 4.9 – 2 units
                                                  L
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Petkovic 2-1 @ 4.1
                                                  L
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Zverev @ 1.86
                                                  W
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Mladenovic @ 3.2 – 2 units
                                                  W
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Roger-Vasselin @ 2.38 – 3 units
                                                  L
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Brengle @ 5.5 – 2 units
                                                  L
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Jovanovski @ 4.6
                                                  L
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Vaidisova @ 10.5
                                                  L
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Krajicek @ 3.95 – 2 units
                                                  L
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Bellis @ 3.15
                                                  W
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Vaidisova @ 12
                                                  L
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Jankovic @ 4.1
                                                  L
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Lopez @ 1.59 – 5 units
                                                  L
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Pironkova @ 3.15
                                                  L
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Almagro @ 6.2 – 2 units
                                                  L
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Bouchard @ 5.8 – 2 units
                                                  W
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Youzhny @ 8.2
                                                  L
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Janowicz @ 2.4 – 3 units
                                                  W
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Melzer @ 2.58 – 2 units
                                                  L
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Delbonis @ 10.5
                                                  L
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Melzer @ 3.05 – 2 units
                                                  L
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Thiem @ 2.9 – 3 units
                                                  W
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Mannarino @ 4.7 – 3 units
                                                  W
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Errani @ 3.95
                                                  W
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Bellis @ 14.5
                                                  L
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  F-f-f-f-f-f-f-f-f-f-fer-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-r-rNANDOo-o-o-o-o-o-o-o-o-o-o-o-o-o-o @ 7.8
                                                  W
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Lisicki @ 3 – 2 units
                                                  W
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Lisicki @ 3.2 – 2 units
                                                  W
                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                  Garcia-Lopez 2-1 @ 5.2 – 2 units
                                                  L

                                                  Total Wins: 44
                                                  Total Losses: 79
                                                  Total stake: 177u
                                                  Yield (including commission): +29.3149u
                                                  Return on investment (rounded): 16.56%
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Hardcoar
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-17-13
                                                    • 15606

                                                    #305
                                                    Good times, bad times... lucky day that Sunday!

                                                    I recognize that this thread is unsatisfactory in terms of tailability (making words up is enjoyable, after all), more than anything because a lot of bets are posted more or less close towards the start of a match. This is generally speaking due to late odds movement (meaning in this case either that odds become better just before a match starts prompting me to make a bet, or that my bet just wasn't matched until late for that same reason), or myself just making the actual decision to bet with short notice.

                                                    Because of the aforementioned, I will attempt to:

                                                    1. Post bets earlier whenever feasible.
                                                    2. Post thoughts on potential bets – leans, if you will – of mine, so as to be more helpful and with longer notice.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Hardcoar
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 02-17-13
                                                      • 15606

                                                      #306
                                                      On the men's side, there is not a whole lot in today's pre-match markets that appeals to me. Bellucci @ 4+, Darcis @ 25+, and Rosol @ 8+ might be worth a shot, although I'm not sure. The only thing that really stands out to me on the men's side is Dimitrov @ 1.7+, who I think will win rather comfortably against an over-rated Isner.

                                                      As for the women's pre-match markets, a red-hot (in the strictly figurative sense) Suarez-Navarro to beat a pathetic wanker @ 2.3++ is a must-play for me, as is Gavrilova @ 3+, to a lesser extent. Petkovic around @ 3 might be worth a try given how well she was playing against Mladenovic, although troll-faced Makaron has been playing well in her past couple of matches, seemingly. Lisicki (who is granted yet another night-session) @ 1.65+ and possibly Venus @ 1.8+ are the only favorites that really catch my eye.

                                                      N.B: None of the above bets have been made at this time, and there is no guarantee whatsoever that they ever will be. Only bets posted individually and in bold herein (this thread) have actually been made by me.
                                                      Last edited by Hardcoar; 03-30-15, 04:30 AM.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Hardcoar
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 02-17-13
                                                        • 15606

                                                        #307
                                                        Suarez-Navarro @ 2.44 – 3 units
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Honeybadger44
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-03-14
                                                          • 1675

                                                          #308
                                                          Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                          On the men's side, there is not a whole lot in today's pre-match markets that appeals to me. Bellucci @ 4+, Darcis @ 25+, and Rosol @ 8+ might be worth a shot, although I'm not sure. The only thing that really stands out to me on the men's side is Dimitrov @ 1.7+, who I think will win rather comfortably against an over-rated Isner.

                                                          As for the women's pre-match markets, a red-hot (in the strictly figurative sense) Suarez-Navarro to beat a pathetic wanker @ 2.3++ is a must-play for me, as is Gavrilova @ 3+, to a lesser extent. Petkovic around @ 3 might be worth a try given how well she was playing against Mladenovic, although troll-faced Makaron has been playing well in her past couple of matches, seemingly. Lisicki (who is granted yet another night-session) @ 1.65+ and possibly Venus @ 1.8+ are the only favorites that really catch my eye.

                                                          N.B: None of the above bets have been made at this time, and there is no guarantee whatsoever that they ever will be. Only bets posted individually and in bold herein (this thread) have actually been made by me.
                                                          First of all, great job yesterday! Big underdogs were winning left and right. It was kind of a day that I like as well.

                                                          You have some interesting leans today. It would be interesting to hear if you have any special reasons why you like them. For example, I will most likely get on Rosol today. He is one of those guys who really struggles to get out of the lossing streak. But once he gets couple of consecutive wins under his belt, he becomes really dangerous and a potential giant killer. He had a decent run in IW. He started of well in this tournament and imho David is not as solid as he was before. These odds look really nice.

                                                          Speaking about Isner, you are probably right about him being overrated. But imho, Grigor is getting very close to him in that category. Also, surface similar to one in IW. Bouncy. Great kick serve which is difficult to control for single-handed backhands...

                                                          Bellucci maybe. Just because Dolgopolov is still Dolgopolov. But match should be played out pretty similar as the one against Roberdo, I believe. These dirtballers doesn't like to be rushed into their shots and ukrainan does exactly that.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Hardcoar
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 02-17-13
                                                            • 15606

                                                            #309
                                                            Now there's the real badger, not that phony badger-king-usurping bitch!

                                                            With Rosol, like you say, it's that he can win against essentially anyone if he has a good performance, and with a few matches won excluding a tight loss to Birdshit in Indian Wells that isn't all too unlikely to happen. Meanwhile, Ferrer has not been looking anywhere near his great and unless he lifts his level he could easily struggle.

                                                            I absolutely agree that Dimitrov is overrated in general, but I think that has not been the case this particular tournament. He was quite outstanding against Pospisil, as well.

                                                            I also agree on Bellucci. It being Dogpoolove and those odds makes it worth a try potentially, however. If the Ukrainian is solid throughout Tomaz likely won't stand a true chance, but that isn't too likely to happen, to me. Also, the commie-bastards will be out in force for that one!

                                                            I suppose we mostly agree then? lol...
                                                            Last edited by Hardcoar; 03-30-15, 05:09 AM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Honeybadger44
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-03-14
                                                              • 1675

                                                              #310


                                                              When was I a phony Badger? I had to google what "usurping" means. If I understood well, you do not appreciate that I am not as active as I was before in this tennis sub-forum. Guilty.

                                                              Speeking of WTA, I am undecided on CSN, but gonna tail you with that one, considering you seem pretty confident .

                                                              Petko @3 not enough for me. Have a lot respect for Makarova. Most of the times she is just too solid for these girls "in the middle of the pack/ranking".
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Hardcoar
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 02-17-13
                                                                • 15606

                                                                #311
                                                                I never said you are a phony badger. I'm saying you're not, actually. This is the imposter:

                                                                Talk tennis handicapping, betting, picks, matchups, player odds and tournaments in the tennis forum.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Honeybadger44
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-03-14
                                                                  • 1675

                                                                  #312
                                                                  Oh, I get it now. We're cool (despite the fact you reffered to me as "serbian piece of shit" in that other thread )
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Hardcoar
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 02-17-13
                                                                    • 15606

                                                                    #313
                                                                    I was wondering whether you'd seen that. I suppose that eliminated the possibility of you not seeing it.

                                                                    You are Serbian, are you not?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Honeybadger44
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-03-14
                                                                      • 1675

                                                                      #314
                                                                      Yup
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Hardcoar
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 02-17-13
                                                                        • 15606

                                                                        #315
                                                                        CASH DAT N1GGA!
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...