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  • Hardcoar
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-17-13
    • 15606

    #1
    Moar Threads? Moar Picks
    Let's give this another go! Bets made on Betfair (listed excluding commission) unless otherwise stated. All bets are one unit for the purposes of this thread.
  • Hardcoar
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-17-13
    • 15606

    #2
    Schiavone @ 1.71
    Comment
    • Vinnie Paz
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-27-12
      • 12177

      #3
      He returns!
      Comment
      • Cappinpicks
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-11-10
        • 14986

        #4
        Schiavone is good tip, garica parlay with puig.
        Comment
        • Cappinpicks
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-11-10
          • 14986

          #5
          What a complete ugly retard shltavone is, cant break at love 40?
          Comment
          • Cappinpicks
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-11-10
            • 14986

            #6
            all in puig
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #7
              Comment
              • girlscoutcookies
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 12-19-14
                • 765

                #8
                Comment
                • Honeybadger44
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-03-14
                  • 1675

                  #9
                  Comment
                  • Hardcoar
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-17-13
                    • 15606

                    #10
                    Kozlova @ 2.32
                    Comment
                    • Vinnie Paz
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-27-12
                      • 12177

                      #11
                      Yes!
                      Comment
                      • kenz
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-09-12
                        • 4879

                        #12
                        Comment
                        • Hardcoar
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-17-13
                          • 15606

                          #13
                          Swing and a miss... congrat's to Kenz for his correct call on Görges being solid today. My condolences to Sebastien Boltz.
                          Comment
                          • Hardcoar
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-17-13
                            • 15606

                            #14
                            Kovalik @ 5.5
                            Comment
                            • Honeybadger44
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-03-14
                              • 1675

                              #15
                              Ah... It hurts when these big underdogs get so close, but "can't get over the hump". Had a similar situation yesterday with Jaksic. Nevertheless, you did a great job here, finding some nice value with Kovalik. Looking forward to see more of those in this thread. Cheers!
                              Comment
                              • Hardcoar
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-17-13
                                • 15606

                                #16
                                Yeah Betfair is great for liquidity and trading (which admittedly, I should be doing more often than I am because there just seems to be value on whoever is playing from behind at any given time, mostly due to that player's tendency to overperform (anti-choke, one might call it), and the leading opponent's tendency to underperform (choke).

                                Does anyone know if Kovalik was up a break in the third at some point?
                                Comment
                                • Honeybadger44
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-03-14
                                  • 1675

                                  #17
                                  There was no breaks in third set.
                                  Comment
                                  • Hardcoar
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-17-13
                                    • 15606

                                    #18
                                    Thanks! I wasn't able to catch the match, unfortunately. Kovalik has consistency issues but can play some great tennis, and Scheep-Scheep did not look sharp at all last week. His "brand" should make him a decent fade at one point or another this week.
                                    Comment
                                    • Hardcoar
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 02-17-13
                                      • 15606

                                      #19
                                      Tsurenko @ 3.55
                                      Comment
                                      • Hardcoar
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 02-17-13
                                        • 15606

                                        #20
                                        Radwanska @ 2.24
                                        Comment
                                        • Hardcoar
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-17-13
                                          • 15606

                                          #21
                                          Golubev @ 3.85
                                          Comment
                                          • Hardcoar
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 02-17-13
                                            • 15606

                                            #22
                                            Witthoeft @ 7.4
                                            Comment
                                            • Hardcoar
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-17-13
                                              • 15606

                                              #23
                                              Authom @ 4.4
                                              Comment
                                              • Hardcoar
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 02-17-13
                                                • 15606

                                                #24
                                                Errani 2-1 @ 5.1
                                                Comment
                                                • fitguy67
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 03-13-11
                                                  • 5082

                                                  #25
                                                  hey EP, just to clarify...

                                                  5.1 is the raw price you got at BF for rat-face, 2-1

                                                  the commission i imagine is 6.5%, making the actual net payout per $1 = (93.5% of 4.1) = 3.8335

                                                  meaning the effective euro-format price (ie. gross payout per $1) is 4.8335
                                                  __________
                                                  followed along with everything so far "to win a unit"...

                                                  persistence and patience pays...we get hot soon...and who better to get it going than the big-grunting, small-hitting rodent-face to grind out a 3-set "weiner" for us
                                                  Last edited by fitguy67; 03-07-15, 04:29 PM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Hardcoar
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-17-13
                                                    • 15606

                                                    #26
                                                    I am aware of that. I'll make a point of deducting commission when posting bets.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • fitguy67
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 03-13-11
                                                      • 5082

                                                      #27
                                                      that's probably a pain in the arse for you...unless you're already in the habit of "excelling" your plays as you place them (then a formula can auto-convert for you)...otherwise, it's good enough that thread-followers know why your odds seem so wonderful

                                                      your commission rate IS 6.5% right?...i've heard it varies by country, but that's their basic (larcenous--it used to be 5% which still allowed them to make money in buckets and all their competitors generally charge less than 3%) rate...
                                                      Last edited by fitguy67; 03-07-15, 05:09 PM.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Tmuston Beltics
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-14-13
                                                        • 1253

                                                        #28
                                                        Hi, good thread
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Hardcoar
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 02-17-13
                                                          • 15606

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Tmuston Beltics
                                                          Hi, good thread
                                                          We can only hope.
                                                          : )
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Hardcoar
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 02-17-13
                                                            • 15606

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by fitguy67
                                                            that's probably a pain in the arse for you...unless you're already in the habit of "excelling" your plays as you place them (then a formula can auto-convert for you)...otherwise, it's good enough that thread-followers know why your odds seem so wonderful

                                                            your commission rate IS 6.5% right?...i've heard it varies by country, but that's their basic (larcenous--it used to be 5% which still allowed them to make money in buckets and all their competitors generally charge less than 3%) rate...
                                                            In my opinion that is already made sufficiently clear in the (unedited, I might add) OP.

                                                            Yes: My particular commission is 6.5%.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • fitguy67
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 03-13-11
                                                              • 5082

                                                              #31
                                                              rat-face cooperating...getting bageled, then going up a break in the second
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Hardcoar
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 02-17-13
                                                                • 15606

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by fitguy67
                                                                rat-face cooperating...getting bageled, then going up a break in the second
                                                                Two even, now just having lost one of the pair.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Hardcoar
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 02-17-13
                                                                  • 15606

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Loses the second half of the pair, then breaks right back and shall be serving at *5-4 when play resumes after the change-over.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • fitguy67
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 03-13-11
                                                                    • 5082

                                                                    #34
                                                                    tough one...(I also had Gajdosova this morning...uggghhh!) hate losing s3TB's...especially such a well-chosen fat-payout bet like this
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Honeybadger44
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-03-14
                                                                      • 1675

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by fitguy67
                                                                      tough one...(I also had Gajdosova this morning...uggghhh!) hate losing s3TB's...especially such a well-chosen fat-payout bet like this
                                                                      Was on Gajdosova as well. It was pretty frustrating to watch that third set. Break point 0/14, if I am not mistaken, in that set alone.
                                                                      Comment
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