7-24 Plays

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  • SSVIR
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-07-14
    • 861

    #1
    7-24 Plays
    Talk to me about these plays and if you disagree please state why.


    Viktor Troicki -170
    v Andrey Golubev = winner

    Troicki is clearly the more talented player. With his suspension ending I believe he will be looking to make up for lost time and appeared to be in decent form in his 1st match back beating Thiem who has been playing well.

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Albert Montanes +3½ -105 v Fabio Fognini = loser 6-7 0-6

    Have not seen many upsets lately so looking for a few on Thursday. Montanes had an efficient 2 set win over Zverev while Fognini has lost two matches in a row. Montanes holds a 4-2 career H2H record but those matches were long ago and probably not all too relevant.

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Joao Sousa -120 v Teymuraz Gabashvili = = loser

    Not a whole lot of separation between the two players and Sousa is riding a two match losing streak but this year Sousa has generally won the matches he was favored in. Going with the Spaniard that has trained on red clay his whole life.

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Challenger plays:

    Yuichi Sugita -190 v Ruben Bemelmans = loser
    Alexander Kudryavtsev -210 v Egor Gerasimov = loser

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Horacio Zeballos -175 v Borna Coric = loser

    Going with the veteran player vs the young up-and-coming 17 year old playing in front of his hometown fans. Hopefully he doesn't channel his inner Zverev.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Benjamin Becker +145* vs Yen-Hsun Lu

    I'm taking Becker. Just letting everyone know for fading purposes. Won with Lu but wasn't overly impressed. Had lots of break point saves.
  • sluggy1616
    SBR MVP
    • 07-21-13
    • 1317

    #2
    I'm on Golbuv a half unit cause other dudes been away from tennis so long. I usually lose these bets but im stubborn

    foggy- never know whos gonna show up. I'd play money line. If foggy wants to be there he will win. If not he will lose

    Sousa is probably a good bet. Gaba getting big credit for getting a win in his price. I wouldn't bet it though. If gaba on he could give sousa many problems.

    I like Crazy russian under 21
    Comment
    • lucasdawg
      SBR MVP
      • 02-19-13
      • 3399

      #3
      foggy defending some points and his blow up from last week. im abit worried about him.

      any perspectives on:

      P Cuevas v A Seppi
      J-L Struff v F Verdasco
      H Zeballos v B Coric
      Comment
      • brodie
        SBR MVP
        • 11-25-13
        • 2212

        #4
        only like sousa
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #5
          If they get it in between rain showers, Troicki match has blood bath potential as the World is on Troicki. I don't necessarily like Golubev, but I can see Troicki not matching the level he had in his opener. He put a year of frustration into that match .... be interested to see if he comes out too loose now.
          Comment
          • Zwong
            SBR Hustler
            • 05-18-14
            • 92

            #6
            Golubev is a pretty average clay player to be honest, if Troicki wanna prove to the world that he could still do it, this is the match that he mustn't tank.

            Fognini is arguably the most unpredictable guy in the current state of tennis, always tanks when people predict him to win, always wins when people predict him to tank. I would stay away from his match, current Montanes ain't too reliable anyway.
            Comment
            • Geoff_Saari
              SBR High Roller
              • 04-30-14
              • 166

              #7
              can never trust Montanass

              P.S. Sousa is Portuguese
              Comment
              • sluggy1616
                SBR MVP
                • 07-21-13
                • 1317

                #8
                Originally posted by sluggy1616
                I'm on Golbuv a half unit cause other dudes been away from tennis so long. I usually lose these bets but im stubborn

                foggy- never know whos gonna show up. I'd play money line. If foggy wants to be there he will win. If not he will lose

                Sousa is probably a good bet. Gaba getting big credit for getting a win in his price. I wouldn't bet it though. If gaba on he could give sousa many problems.

                I like Crazy russian under 21
                I got out of my Goubev bet. Stupid bet. Trend is your friend in life and in tennis and the stock market
                Comment
                • Chaz22
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-30-10
                  • 1152

                  #9
                  Troicki I think will still be a winner today. Saw him with interest in his first match and he was ok. Golubev is steadily dropping his form as this clay court tour moves to it's ending. But this can be a lengthy match so over is also a good thought.

                  Fabio indeed is so untrusty these days, but he has to defend some points as last year he was cruising through these tourns. So another disastrous performance (like one vs Kranijovic) is unlikely to happen. Still with all the untrust i think he will win this one.

                  Joao Sousa maybe has trained all his life on clay, but he sure does not feel comfortable on clay as he is on hard courts.
                  And Teymuraz is streaky, meaning if he starts winning he can go far with winning. So Im going opposite here with Teymu
                  Comment
                  • lucasdawg
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-19-13
                    • 3399

                    #10
                    anyone know how the weather will be looking at gstaad
                    Comment
                    • SSVIR
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 07-07-14
                      • 861

                      #11
                      Alexander Kudryavtsev -210 v Egor Gerasimov = Loss 6-7 2-6
                      Comment
                      • SSVIR
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 07-07-14
                        • 861

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Geoff_Saari
                        can never trust Montanass

                        P.S. Sousa is Portuguese
                        My bad. He lives and trains in Spain
                        Comment
                        • SSVIR
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 07-07-14
                          • 861

                          #13
                          Viktor Troicki -170 v Andrey Golubev = winner 6-3 6-4
                          Comment
                          • lucasdawg
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-19-13
                            • 3399

                            #14
                            troicki was pumpeddd - taking lu and seppi parlay might even put foggy in it
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #15
                              Nice job.
                              Comment
                              • SSVIR
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 07-07-14
                                • 861

                                #16
                                Added a Zeballos play
                                Comment
                                • SSVIR
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 07-07-14
                                  • 861

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by lucasdawg
                                  troicki was pumpeddd - taking lu and seppi parlay might even put foggy in it
                                  I was leaning Becker over Lu
                                  Comment
                                  • lucasdawg
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-19-13
                                    • 3399

                                    #18
                                    went for a hail mary parlay - zeballos/foggy/lu/seppi bol
                                    Comment
                                    • SSVIR
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 07-07-14
                                      • 861

                                      #19
                                      Zeballos was up a break and then lost that and the set 6-7.

                                      Sousa was up a set and a break and lost that and the 2nd set 6-4.

                                      Dammit.
                                      Comment
                                      • SSVIR
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 07-07-14
                                        • 861

                                        #20
                                        Zeballos sucks. Unforced error machine.

                                        Coric channeled his inner Zverev (even wearing the same damn shit) and controlled all the points against Zeballos' shitty groundstrokes.

                                        Note to self: Fade Zeballos
                                        Comment
                                        • brodie
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-25-13
                                          • 2212

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by SSVIR
                                          Zeballos sucks. Sousa choked.
                                          dont turn into cappinpicks. let the match finish
                                          Comment
                                          • SSVIR
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 07-07-14
                                            • 861

                                            #22
                                            Horacio Zeballos -175 v Borna Coric = loser 6-7 3-6
                                            Comment
                                            • SSVIR
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 07-07-14
                                              • 861

                                              #23
                                              Joao Sousa -120 v Teymuraz Gabashvili = loser 6-3 4-6 2-6
                                              Comment
                                              • SSVIR
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 07-07-14
                                                • 861

                                                #24
                                                This Yuichi Sugita v Ruben Bemelmans match is AWFUL.

                                                I literally don't think Sugita has one single winner in the two sets I've watched.

                                                He doesn't even get service winners.

                                                UPDATE: Yuichi Sugita -190 v Ruben Bemelmans = Loser 6-7 6-4 4-6
                                                Comment
                                                • SSVIR
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 07-07-14
                                                  • 861

                                                  #25
                                                  Montanes loses the first set 7-6 after being up a break and having a zillion break points and now could give two shits about being on the court.

                                                  Broken twice with no resistance in the 2nd set already.

                                                  What a total bitch down 4-0 and has won about 3 points this set.

                                                  5-0 broken again.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dmoneytx
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-09-12
                                                    • 6450

                                                    #26
                                                    Montanes absolutely QUIT it seems like, wow... Thought he would take the first set, but breaker isn't too bad bec he serves first second set. But it is a fukking disgrace how these ATP pros just fukking quit while they are down, it is laughable... Ask Sousa, he did the same stuff today.. SO many quitters and chokers at the ATP level.. Makes you laugh at times... The best of the best in the world can also be the biggest quitters, it's kind of sickening...

                                                    He plays the first very very well, then just gives up. Sorry for that loss, Montanes will get bageled and not even care, what a quitter...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • pattymayo
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 05-19-09
                                                      • 10221

                                                      #27
                                                      Anyone watching montanes match? Do these guys just stop trying or what? He's one 3 points in 5 games lol
                                                      Comment
                                                      • brodie
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-25-13
                                                        • 2212

                                                        #28
                                                        it's tough but you kind of had a feeling some favorites would go down after smooth sailing the last couple days. we still got atlanta to make up for it.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SSVIR
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 07-07-14
                                                          • 861

                                                          #29
                                                          Awful day of wagers on some pathetic play.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Dmoneytx
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-09-12
                                                            • 6450

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by pattymayo
                                                            Anyone watching montanes match? Do these guys just stop trying or what? He's one 3 points in 5 games lol
                                                            It is SO easy to find the match live yourself.. But you keep asking others what is going on? You ARE worthless, lol...

                                                            8k posts with 36 betpoints??? LOL!!! You are fukking worthless, hahaha... You must suck at gambling pat, for real...

                                                            36 points on almost 8,000 posts, fuktard
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SSVIR
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 07-07-14
                                                              • 861

                                                              #31
                                                              Need a winner.

                                                              Thoughts on:

                                                              Kevin Anderson -450 v Thiemo De Bakker

                                                              Is there any chance Anderson doesn't pound Bakker?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • brodie
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-25-13
                                                                • 2212

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by SSVIR
                                                                Need a winner.

                                                                Thoughts on:

                                                                Kevin Anderson -450 v Thiemo De Bakker

                                                                Is there any chance Anderson doesn't pound Bakker?
                                                                it's always tough to tell what a big name is gonna do after a short time off from a major (especially at a 250)... that being said i think kev anderson should roll past this guy if he's motivated. i'm not on this match though, i'm on matosevic/isner parlay
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SSVIR
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 07-07-14
                                                                  • 861

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by brodie
                                                                  it's always tough to tell what a big name is gonna do after a short time off from a major (especially at a 250)... that being said i think kev anderson should roll past this guy if he's motivated. i'm not on this match though, i'm on matosevic/isner parlay
                                                                  I'm joining in as well.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SSVIR
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 07-07-14
                                                                    • 861

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Benjamin Becker +145* vs Yen-Hsun Lu

                                                                    I'm taking Becker. Just letting everyone know for fading purposes.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Simon Gruber
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 05-02-13
                                                                      • 2342

                                                                      #35
                                                                      On the surface Matosevic should win easily but Smyczek will be a very tough out tonight. Center court, big crowd, night match and Smyczek all but clinches direct acceptance with a win tonight. He made the second round of the Open last year where he had that tough 5 setter against Granollers. Those 90 points are very important to him.

                                                                      Matosevic is playing only his second hard court match is ages and his second match in nearly a month while Smyzcek has been playing the US challenger circuit. Unless you think Matosevic is a real gamer and will go to war tonight I'd tread lightly.
                                                                      Comment
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