Matt's POD Picks

[matt1216]

I thought the Jano hedge was ok. Risky wagers compared to your usual unit size, but def a good recovery Matt. Congrats. Any particular diff in formulating your picks compared to before, or do u regard it simply as variance? Good luck going forward & please try & minimize the parlays.

Maybe something about this time of the year.... I did stop a lot of parlays and +1.5 sets

[matt1216]

23rd August Winston-Salem:

- Janowicz ML 1.67 Risk 250$ to win 183$

- Cabal/Farah Doubles ML 1.67 Risk 300$ to win 200$



GL

[Hardcoar]

Maybe something about this time of the year.... I did stop a lot of parlays and +1.5 sets

Maybe it's the color of your socks...

[eddycash]

whats the diff between jano games won -1 vs betting the ml? if he wins, doesnt he have to cover the -1 also?

[eddycash]

better yet, there is a line for -1.5, how can he win and not cover that?

[brodie]

whats the diff between jano games won -1 vs betting the ml? if he wins, doesnt he have to cover the -1 also?

better yet, there is a line for -1.5, how can he win and not cover that?

jerz could win the match 7-6 0-6 7-6... while still losing the spread by 4 games

[eddycash]

thanks brodie im learning

[Hardcoar]

Indeed, game spreads are only related to total games for the respective player. That said, it is quite uncommon for the ML and spread not to coincide.

[matt1216]

23rd August WTA:

Rybarikova/Kvitova Under 19.5 games 1.91 Risk 280$ to win 250$



GL

[matt1216]

23rd August WTA:

Rybarkova Game 9 winner 2nd set 4.25 Risk 50$ to win 165$ *live

small hedge for the under... Incase these two F around




GL

[matt1216]

23rd August Winston Salem:

Murray J/Peers Doubles ML 5.50 Risk 50$ to win 225$ *live 4-4 second set

Hedge^^^ to the above doubles play



GL

[matt1216]

Thanks to jerzy it's a 2/3 Day.

[matt1216]

66-51 + 2732$

Pre Posted Plays: 57-36
Live Plays: 9-15

6-6 + 374$ Today

Summary:

I hit both my larger Plays (Cabal/Farah, Barty ML) there was a lot of shitting the bed today... Vecino up 5-3 second set after winning first set 6-0... Somehow blows the match. Rampras up 6-5 serving for match... Blows it.. Querry blows it young kid vs Bagnis up 5/3 serving for set blows it.Wtf, lol. I don't regret any picks today.nothing you can do sometimes. Good luck guys.



GL

68-52 + 2832$

Pre Posted Plays: 59-37
Live Plays: 9-15

2-1 + 100$ Today

Summary:

Janowicz, wtf. 0/for OMG on break points. I was on the wrong side of another epic fail. Kvitova/Rybarkova... Kvitova giving fits by ball bashing wide on easy shots... I'm just happy Rybarkova had a touch of mental fckness as well. Cabal/Farah.... I hope people jumped on this train this week... I went 4-0 close to 1000$ just on these two... The only real team assembled for this tourney other than Murray J/Peers. Good luck monday guys.




GL

[sluggy1616]

68-52 + 2832$

Pre Posted Plays: 59-37
Live Plays: 9-15

2-1 + 100$ Today

Summary:

Janowicz, wtf. 0/for OMG on break points. I was on the wrong side of another epic fail. Kvitova/Rybarkova... Kvitova giving fits by ball bashing wide on easy shots... I'm just happy Rybarkova had a touch of mental fckness as well. Cabal/Farah.... I hope people jumped on this train this week... I went 4-0 close to 1000$ just on these two... The only real team assembled for this tourney other than Murray J/Peers. Good luck monday guys.




GL

Dude, you can't complain if you put cash on or against Jerzy and it doesnt go your way. Jerzey is unpredictable

[Hardcoar]

Actually IMO Jerzy should have won today at least as much as Queer should have won yesterday.

[matt1216]

Dude, you can't complain if you put cash on or against Jerzy and it doesnt go your way. Jerzey is unpredictable

Of course I can complain, he had multiple chances

[matt1216]

25th August US Open:

- Youhzny ML + Tsonga ML 1.80 Risk 300$ to win 250$

- Nara ML + Pospisil ML 1.85 Risk 200$ to win 170$

- Bennateau ML + Chardy ML 2.00 Risk 200$ to win 200$


I like Youhzny here, he has finally played well the past two weeks and only lost to a in form ferrer. Youhzny likes to study players and I think he will get under the skin of Kyrgios. Kyrgios has a solid serve but is erratic at times on his ground strokes, creating a lot of Unforced errors. I also see Youhzny being motivated here as there is not a lot of time left in the hardcourt season. I think Kyrgios will make a match of this but ultimately lose in 4 sets.

Tsonga should win here. His serving alone should be good enough. Complete mis match with a weak serving Monaco.

Nara has played well the past few weeks, she has lost to top opponents but beat the opponents she's needed. Wozniak has not played well lately. Even when she has led she has found a way to lose. I expect Nara to exact revenge from earlier this year.

Benny, he is 0-2 vs Paire but I think finally he can beat him. Benny has been in good form and he has had a decent rest befor this tournament. Paire is very up and down. His knee injury has really hampered his play. I think Benny may give a set up here but ultimately win in 4 sets.

Chardy, I'm usually skeptical of taking this man in any match but I believe he has actually played ok recently. His serve has looked good and his return game has been good as well. Chardy lost to Tsonga and Kohl his last two times out.... Tsonga went on to win 1000 event, kohl collapsed vs ferrer but should have won. Falla has been off lately and I believe he is in trouble here as his serve is not strong enough to keep up with Chardy.

Vasek, he is feeling good. He has a big serve and a good overall return game with a monster forehand. I think Bolleli is in trouble. Bolleli likes the clays courts better. He has a solid return game. I think Vasek wins in 3 or 4 sets here.



GL

[matt1216]

25th August US Open:

- Stephens ML + Rosol ML 1.71 Risk 300$ to win 225$



GL

[Simon Gruber]

Falla moves like he's 100 years old. He has one foot in retirement. Unless Chardy is poisoned during the match, better chance of Hasse beating Murray AND Mad Dog beating Federer.

[sluggy1616]

A 100% french parlay!? I wish you luck.

[EaglesPhan36]

Be strong this week tadpole. As your life coach, I would install a no live bet rule until at least the 4th round. You're going to have plenty of matches to play without overplaying live.

[sluggy1616]

Be strong this week tadpole. As your life coach, I would install a no live bet rule until at least the 4th round. You're going to have plenty of matches to play without overplaying live.

I might do some live betting if I'm around to do it. Only for hedging a pre-match bet though. I also bet live if Feds or serena are down early in a match.

[Simon Gruber]

i think rosol loses. dude was ready to tank against ryan harrison last week. almost got bagel'ed by andujar lol before waking up. i think he used up a lot of energy in that shit tournament which he probably should have lost.

Coric is easily the best of the Kyrgios, Zverev, Coric trio. He's still only 17 though, will probably make Rosol work, but lose in 3 or 4 tight sets.

[SirtySree]

Coric is easily the best of the Kyrgios, Zverev, Coric trio. He's still only 17 though, will probably make Rosol work, but lose in 3 or 4 tight sets.

Coric is trash. He has potential but his current ability is nothing near Kyrios and Zverev and his results show exactly that. Also Zverev is only 17 too.

All 3 have the chance to be good in the future but Coric's current level is no where near the other two.

[brodie]

Coric is easily the best of the Kyrgios, Zverev, Coric trio. He's still only 17 though, will probably make Rosol work, but lose in 3 or 4 tight sets.

kyrgios shits on coric.

[Simon Gruber]

I was at the US OPEN qualifiers last week and had a chance to see Coric up close, Zverev as well. Coric and Zverev may be the same age, but Zverev at 6 foot 6 wins a lot of free points with his serve, similar to Kyrgios. Coric plays more like Djokovic and even though he's 17 he could easily pass for 15 while Zverev could pass for 21. In 2 years Coric will be better than Kyrgios by a mile, with Zverev a close second.

[SirtySree]

I was at the US OPEN qualifiers last week and had a chance to see Coric up close, Zverev as well. Coric and Zverev may be the same age, but Zverev at 6 foot 6 wins a lot of free points with his serve, similar to Kyrgios. Coric plays more like Djokovic and even though he's 17 he could easily pass for 15 while Zverev could pass for 21. In 2 years Coric will be better than Kyrgios by a mile, with Zverev a close second.

Judging players off one tournament or a few never gives you a good indication of how they are. If you watched Coric outside of this qualifiers and in Umag, you would see his game is full of weaknesses and inconsistencies. Just like Zverev outside of the two recent clay tournaments and the Aussie Open juniors that he won, his game also is inconsistent and has holes.

Both showed great potential at times but potential is just potential. Majority of players across all sports never live up to their potential or go anywhere near it.

Kygrios was in the same boat as Zverev and Coric when he was 17 but at least he's lived up to the potential or sorts so far. (This is coming from someone who doesn't even like Kygrios and thinks he's overhyped)

[Simon Gruber]

Judging players off one tournament or a few never gives you a good indication of how they are. If you watched Coric outside of this qualifiers and in Umag, you would see his game is full of weaknesses and inconsistencies. Just like Zverev outside of the two recent clay tournaments and the Aussie Open juniors that he won, his game also is inconsistent and has holes.

Both showed great potential at times but potential is just potential. Majority of players across all sports never live up to their potential or go anywhere near it.

Kygrios was in the same boat as Zverev and Coric when he was 17 but at least he's lived up to the potential or sorts so far.

Novak's serve was a disaster when he was 17 also. Every junior prospect has holes in their games. Kyrgios is living up to the potential because he's reached more of it already due to his physical maturity. When I said Coric was the best of the trio, I meant to say that he is the best prospect and has the most potential.

[matt1216]

i think rosol loses. dude was ready to tank against ryan harrison last week. almost got bagel'ed by andujar lol before waking up. i think he used up a lot of energy in that shit tournament which he probably should have lost.

Rosol has shown that he cares over the past two months... Something I have never seen this guy show. Coric is still very green on this surface.

[matt1216]

Thanks for a lot of good insight guys... I will be carefully with the live wagering, that's for sure. In regards to Coric, I don't even see him winning a set on Tuesday. Kyrgios is miles better on hardcourt. Coric has the return game to win on clay.

[eddycash]

25th August US Open:

- Stephens ML + Rosol ML 1.71 Risk 300$ to win 225$



GL

is stephens from the women's atp? and is rosol playing on tuesday the 26th? im still new lol

[matt1216]

is stephens from the women's atp? and is rosol playing on tuesday the 26th? im still new lol

Yes, and yes.

[matt1216]

25th August US Open:

- Pironkova ML 2.45 Risk 125$ to win 180$



GL

[matt1216]

25th August US Open:

Pervak ML 4.75 Risk 100$ to win 375$ *Live 3rd set 0-0




GL

[mcdonae101]

25th August US Open:

Pervak ML 4.75 Risk 100$ to win 375$ *Live 3rd set 0-0




GL

looking good