Tennis Plays Few and Far between... shooting for 70% and above.

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  • PharaohUB
    SBR MVP
    • 01-23-07
    • 4865

    #36
    Nvmd
    Last edited by PharaohUB; 05-18-14, 09:51 AM.
    Comment
    • matt1216
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-27-11
      • 14683

      #37
      Originally posted by pattymayo
      poor reasoning? matt is a pompous prikk. Just the simple fact that he discovered a "trend" yet won't share any details of this "trend". then he goes on to say this new thread is for "trend" plays, yet somehow the Rafa Nadal over is the only play thus far that fits the trend?

      get real matt
      Patty for the love of god, I can't explain it because it deals with a certain book and it's taking a lot recordings on certain Opening Money lines. I'm not trying to be a dikk here.
      Comment
      • matt1216
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-27-11
        • 14683

        #38
        Originally posted by matt1216
        5. Nadal/Djokovic Over 23.5 games 1.87 x 5 units



        GL
        As long as there's no retirement, this one comes thru
        Comment
        • matt1216
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-27-11
          • 14683

          #39
          YTD: 3-2 +3 units
          Comment
          • matt1216
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-27-11
            • 14683

            #40
            6. LU-Y/Brown Over 22 games 1.78 x 2 units




            GL
            Comment
            • xauwatroi
              SBR High Roller
              • 09-07-13
              • 187

              #41
              Originally posted by matt1216
              6. LU-Y/Brown Over 22 games 1.78 x 2 units




              GL
              My book doesn't have this. It has Brown to win 2-0 or 2-1. What do you think matt?
              Comment
              • fitguy67
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-13-11
                • 5082

                #42
                Originally posted by xauwatroi
                My book doesn't have this. It has Brown to win 2-0 or 2-1. What do you think matt?
                get another book that does have the plays you want...and keep the original one as well, so you have additional choice...and build up a "stable" of books you can shop for your plays at...to get the exact play you want at the very best price......even if you are a US-captive, it makes little sense to limit your choices like this...following good plays with bad prices is a guaranteed way to lose money over time...

                i always hear people saying they are going to CHANGE their book...don't change...ADD...more is better...shopping skill is just as important as play selection in the long run

                _____________

                Good luk on your new project Matt...1 request...could you at least tell us at the outset exactly WHICH PLAYS ARE YOUR SYSTEM (AKA. TREND-FOLLOWING) PLAYS...and keep their record separate from the spot plays that will otherwise get mixed in with them and defeat the stated purpose of this thread...to record the results of a method you're working on based on closely studying the lines you get at one of your books


                ________
                Last edited by fitguy67; 05-18-14, 11:33 PM.
                Comment
                • matt1216
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-27-11
                  • 14683

                  #43
                  Originally posted by fitguy67
                  get another book that does have the plays you want...and keep the original one as well, so you have additional choice...and build up a "stable" of books you can shop for your plays at...to get the exact play you want at the very best price......even if you are a US-captive, it makes little sense to limit your choices like this...following good plays with bad prices is a guaranteed way to lose money over time...

                  i always hear people saying they are going to CHANGE their book...don't change...ADD...more is better...shopping skill is just as important as play selection in the long run

                  _____________

                  Good luk on your new project Matt...1 request...could you at least tell us at the outset exactly WHICH PLAYS ARE YOUR SYSTEM (AKA. TREND-FOLLOWING) PLAYS...and keep their record separate from the spot plays that will otherwise get mixed in with them and defeat the stated purpose of this thread...to record the results of a method you're working on based on closely studying the lines you get at one of your books


                  ________
                  Will do fitguy, the above brown/LU for the over 22 is part of the system. Vesley/Sjsling has a small very strong possibility of going over the total as well.
                  Comment
                  • matt1216
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-27-11
                    • 14683

                    #44
                    Originally posted by xauwatroi
                    My book doesn't have this. It has Brown to win 2-0 or 2-1. What do you think matt?
                    Sorry man, couldn't tell you. Either guy could win 2-1 but I expect two close sets at the very least
                    Comment
                    • matt1216
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-27-11
                      • 14683

                      #45
                      7. Pfizenmaier ML 1.61 x 2 units

                      SU lean^ part of a small trend




                      GL
                      Comment
                      • xauwatroi
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 09-07-13
                        • 187

                        #46
                        Thanks guys. Matt what u think about Gabashvili? U chose him several times last season
                        Comment
                        • matt1216
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-27-11
                          • 14683

                          #47
                          Originally posted by xauwatroi
                          Thanks guys. Matt what u think about Gabashvili? U chose him several times last season
                          Yeah, I don't mind him. Lajovic has been awful on this surface.
                          Comment
                          • fcmb
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 03-02-14
                            • 628

                            #48
                            Clay is the surface on which Dusan has played most matches..
                            He is 216/120 on clay
                            Comment
                            • fcmb
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 03-02-14
                              • 628

                              #49
                              hard : 35/17

                              indoors : 43/35

                              grass : 0/4
                              Comment
                              • matt1216
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-27-11
                                • 14683

                                #50
                                Originally posted by fcmb
                                Clay is the surface on which Dusan has played most matches..
                                He is 216/120 on clay
                                Sorry recent form is what I was looking at
                                Comment
                                • matt1216
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-27-11
                                  • 14683

                                  #51
                                  YTD: 4-3 +2.2 units

                                  off by 1 game on the LU/Brown match. I can't believe LU Y shit the bed that hard after being up 6-5 in set one. The trend on these matchs have been hitting the over at a very high rate. Unfortunately this one missed. Our WTA action was no issue.
                                  Comment
                                  • matt1216
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-27-11
                                    • 14683

                                    #52
                                    8. Barty 1st set ML 2.10 x 2 units




                                    GL
                                    Comment
                                    • matt1216
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-27-11
                                      • 14683

                                      #53
                                      ​9. Kokkinakis + A. Pavic 1.91 x 2 units
                                      Comment
                                      • brodie
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-25-13
                                        • 2212

                                        #54
                                        so your other thread is done im guessing lol
                                        Comment
                                        • addictedto
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-03-08
                                          • 1935

                                          #55
                                          Yeah, once it goes negative, it's prety much done.
                                          Comment
                                          • ManeOnFire
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 05-13-14
                                            • 851

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by addictedto
                                            Yeah, once it goes negative, it's prety much done.
                                            "Everyone deserves a second chance, unless you have AIDS."
                                            -Donald Sterling
                                            Comment
                                            • matt1216
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-27-11
                                              • 14683

                                              #57
                                              10. Shevdova/Nara over 21 games 1.83 x 2 units
                                              Comment
                                              • matt1216
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-27-11
                                                • 14683

                                                #58
                                                YTD: 5-5 - 1 unit

                                                the first set trend is legit since I have gone 0-9 in two threads with this. First set + over/unders have been decent

                                                Note: there's no trend for WTA over under except for the V agina factor. Sticking to men's over under only. Both Shedova/Nara and Berloc/Bennateau both had the exact starting ML's. I chose the wrong match to go over. Still a bit of a work in progress, but it's getting closer as I seem to realize where I'm going wrong with the plays.

                                                Good od luck to anyone on tomorrow's wagers
                                                Comment
                                                • matt1216
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-27-11
                                                  • 14683

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by addictedto
                                                  Yeah, once it goes negative, it's prety much done.

                                                  start a track record, I'll be more than happy to always comment on your winning picks
                                                  Comment
                                                  • addictedto
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 07-03-08
                                                    • 1935

                                                    #60
                                                    You can find me in the soccer thread Matt, I do winners for breakfast.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • matt1216
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 10-27-11
                                                      • 14683

                                                      #61
                                                      11. Myneni ML 1.69 x 2 units

                                                      12. Monaco 1st set ML 1.71 x 3 units


                                                      *play 12. Is part of the first set trend



                                                      GL
                                                      Comment
                                                      • xauwatroi
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 09-07-13
                                                        • 187

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by matt1216
                                                        11. Myneni ML 1.69 x 2 units

                                                        12. Monaco 1st set ML 1.71 x 3 units


                                                        *play 12. Is part of the first set trend



                                                        GL
                                                        Myneni vs Van der Duim and Monaco vs Granollers right?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • matt1216
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-27-11
                                                          • 14683

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by xauwatroi
                                                          Myneni vs Van der Duim and Monaco vs Granollers right?
                                                          Yes.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • matt1216
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 10-27-11
                                                            • 14683

                                                            #64
                                                            13. Vesley/Davydenko Total over 21 games 1.71 x 2 units
                                                            Comment
                                                            • matt1216
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-27-11
                                                              • 14683

                                                              #65
                                                              ​Play 13. Part of the trend
                                                              Comment
                                                              • matt1216
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 10-27-11
                                                                • 14683

                                                                #66
                                                                M.Delic 1st set 2.25 x 2 units

                                                                *still working out some of the kinks on the over under. Play #14 is not part of the trend as of yet. Just a play I like.

                                                                M. Delic is about as talk as Cilic with a solid 70% first service on the year. He returns ok, but as long as that first serve is up we should have a chance here. His Fav surface is clay as well.



                                                                GL
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JC1186
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-21-14
                                                                  • 1070

                                                                  #67
                                                                  How someone knowledgeable (and without rocks in their head) can ever genuinely believe there can be a betting/market/whatever "trend" in tennis boggles my mind.

                                                                  Quite simply, there are way too many variable. You don't get "trends" in tennis betting. It just doesn't happen.

                                                                  A few things may fall into place from time to time in support of said "trend". However it will end there.

                                                                  *Edit. I mean to be harsh but do not mean to be rude Matt, but you are coming across as a desperate man trying to save his reputation.
                                                                  Last edited by JC1186; 05-21-14, 10:29 AM.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • matt1216
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 10-27-11
                                                                    • 14683

                                                                    #68
                                                                    14. Seppi 2-0 sets 1.71 x 2 units



                                                                    GL
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • matt1216
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-27-11
                                                                      • 14683

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by JC1186
                                                                      How someone knowledgeable (and without rocks in their head) can ever genuinely believe there can be a betting/market/whatever "trend" in tennis boggles my mind.

                                                                      Quite simply, there are way too many variable. You don't get "trends" in tennis betting. It just doesn't happen.

                                                                      A few things may fall into place from time to time in support of said "trend". However it will end there.
                                                                      Not a market trend exactly, more of a book trend. I get what your saying
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • matt1216
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 10-27-11
                                                                        • 14683

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Play 14. Is part of the trend
                                                                        Comment
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